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Optimal Hedging Under Forward-Looking Behaviour

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  • Lence, Sergio H
  • Hayes, Dermot J.

Abstract

The study focuses on the production and hedging behavior of forward-looking risk-averse competitive firms. It is shown that there is separation between production and hedging. Optimal production for a forward-looking firm is identical to that of an otherwise equivalent myopic firm. However, the optimal forward-looking hedge differs from the optimal myopic hedge. If forward prices are unbiased, full hedging is suboptimal when the firm is forward-looking and output and material input prices are contemporaneously related. Furthermore, under certain conditions, the optimal forward-looking hedge under unbiased forward prices is strictly smaller than the full hedge.

Suggested Citation

  • Lence, Sergio H & Hayes, Dermot J., 1995. "Optimal Hedging Under Forward-Looking Behaviour," ISU General Staff Papers 199512010800001137, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:199512010800001137
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    1. Wong, Kit Pong, 2006. "The effects of abandonment options on operating leverage and forward hedging," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 72-86.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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