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The effects of climate change on groundwater extraction for agriculture and land-use change

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  • Bertone Oehninger, Ernst
  • Lin Lawell, C.-Y. Cynthia
  • Sanchirico, James
  • Springborn, Michael

Abstract

Climate change has the potential to impact groundwater availability in several ways. For example, it may cause farmers to change the crops they plant or the amount of water they apply, both of which have implications for water availability. Climate change also affect water availability directly by changes in precipitation and evapotranspiration patterns. In this paper, we analyze the effects of changes in temperature, precipitation, and humidity on groundwater extraction for agriculture using an econometric model of a farmer’s irrigation water pumping decision that accounts for both the intensive (water use) and extensive margins (crop acreage). Our research focuses on the groundwater used for agriculture in the High Plains (Ogallala) Aquifer system of the Midwestern United States. We find that changes in climate variables will influence crop selection decisions, crop acreage allocation decisions, technology adoption, and the demand for water by farmers. We also find that such changes in behavior can affect the diversity of crops planted, potentially impacting agricultural biodiversity.

Suggested Citation

  • Bertone Oehninger, Ernst & Lin Lawell, C.-Y. Cynthia & Sanchirico, James & Springborn, Michael, 2016. "The effects of climate change on groundwater extraction for agriculture and land-use change," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235724, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea16:235724
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.235724
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jagnani, Maulik & Barrett, Christopher B. & Liu, Yanyan & You, Liangzhi, 2018. "In the Weeds: Effects of Temperature on Agricultural Input Decisions in Moderate Climates," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274241, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Ghadir Asadi & Mohammad H. Mostafavi-Dehzooei, 2022. "The Role of Learning in Adaptation to Technology: The Case of Groundwater Extraction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-37, June.

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    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use;

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