IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/aep/anales/4643.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

What is a relevant control?: An algorithmic proposal

Author

Listed:
  • Delbianco Fernando
  • Tohmé Fernando

Abstract

Individualized inference (or prediction) is an approach to data analysis that is increasingly relevant thanks to the availability of large datasets. In this paper, we present an algorithm that starts by detecting the relevant observations for a given query. Further refinement of that subsample is obtained by selecting the ones with the largest Shapley values. The probability distribution over this selection allows to generate synthetic controls, which in turn can be used to generate a robust inference (or prediction). Data collected from repeating this procedure for different queries provides a deeper understanding of the general process that generates the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Delbianco Fernando & Tohmé Fernando, 2023. "What is a relevant control?: An algorithmic proposal," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4643, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
  • Handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4643
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://aaep.org.ar/works/works2023/4643.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Min-ge Xie & Kesar Singh, 2013. "Confidence Distribution, the Frequentist Distribution Estimator of a Parameter: A Review," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 81(1), pages 3-39, April.
    2. Xinran Li & Xiao-Li Meng, 2021. "A Multi-resolution Theory for Approximating Infinite-p-Zero-n: Transitional Inference, Individualized Predictions, and a World Without Bias-Variance Tradeoff," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 116(533), pages 353-367, January.
    3. Andrew Gelman & Christian Hennig, 2017. "Beyond subjective and objective in statistics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(4), pages 967-1033, October.
    4. Salvador Romaguera, 2022. "Basic Contractions of Suzuki-Type on Quasi-Metric Spaces and Fixed Point Results," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-13, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fernando Delbianco & Fernando Tohmé, 2023. "Individualized Conformal," Working Papers 247, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    2. Mayo, Deborah, 2024. "Error statistics, Bayes-factor Tests and the Fallacy of Non-exhaustive Alternatives," OSF Preprints tmgqd, Center for Open Science.
    3. Xuhua Liu & Xingzhong Xu, 2016. "Confidence distribution inferences in one-way random effects model," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 25(1), pages 59-74, March.
    4. Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
    5. Claudia Biancotti & Alfonso Rosolia & Giovanni Veronese & Robert Kirchner & Francois Mouriaux, 2021. "Covid-19 and official statistics: a wakeup call?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 605, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Eugenio Melilli & Piero Veronese, 2024. "Confidence distributions and hypothesis testing," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 3789-3820, August.
    7. Francesco De Pretis & Barbara Osimani, 2019. "New Insights in Computational Methods for Pharmacovigilance: E-Synthesis , a Bayesian Framework for Causal Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-19, June.
    8. Seungyong Hwang & Randy C. S. Lai & Thomas C. M. Lee, 2022. "Generalized Fiducial Inference for Threshold Estimation in Dose–Response and Regression Settings," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 109-124, March.
    9. Guang Yang & Dungang Liu & Junyuan Wang & Min‐ge Xie, 2016. "Meta‐analysis framework for exact inferences with application to the analysis of rare events," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1378-1386, December.
    10. David R. Bickel, 2014. "Small-scale Inference: Empirical Bayes and Confidence Methods for as Few as a Single Comparison," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 82(3), pages 457-476, December.
    11. La Vecchia, Davide & Moor, Alban & Scaillet, Olivier, 2023. "A higher-order correct fast moving-average bootstrap for dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 65-81.
    12. Lee Youngjo & Gwangsu Kim, 2020. "Properties of h‐Likelihood Estimators in Clustered Data," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(2), pages 380-395, August.
    13. Hector, Emily C. & Luo, Lan & Song, Peter X.-K., 2023. "Parallel-and-stream accelerator for computationally fast supervised learning," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    14. Xiaokang Luo & Tirthankar Dasgupta & Minge Xie & Regina Y. Liu, 2021. "Leveraging the Fisher randomization test using confidence distributions: Inference, combination and fusion learning," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 83(4), pages 777-797, September.
    15. Helfgott, Ariella & Midgley, Gerald & Chaudhury, Abrar & Vervoort, Joost & Sova, Chase & Ryan, Alex, 2023. "Multi-level participation in integrative, systemic planning: The case of climate adaptation in Ghana," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 1201-1217.
    16. Wei-Chao Lin & Ching Chen, 2021. "Novel World University Rankings Combining Academic, Environmental and Resource Indicators," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-15, December.
    17. Andrea Ongaro & Sonia Migliorati & Roberto Ascari & Enrico Ripamonti, 2024. "Testing practical relevance of treatment effects," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(7), pages 4121-4145, September.
    18. Glenn Shafer, 2021. "Testing by betting: A strategy for statistical and scientific communication," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 407-431, April.
    19. Steven E. Pav, 2015. "Inference on the Sharpe ratio via the upsilon distribution," Papers 1505.00829, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    20. Zhao, Xiujie & Chen, Piao & Gaudoin, Olivier & Doyen, Laurent, 2021. "Accelerated degradation tests with inspection effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(3), pages 1099-1114.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C4 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4643. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Juan Manuel Quintero (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaeppea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.