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A Model of the World’s Wine Markets

In: The International Economics of Wine

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  • Glyn Wittwer
  • Nick Berger
  • Kym Anderson

Abstract

This paper describes the theoretical and empirical structure of the World Multisectoral Wine Model, which uses some of the features of general equilibrium models. The model is disaggregated into the expanding premium and shrinking non-premium segments of the wine market. To illustrate its usefulness, we model the impact on the global market of the projected rapid premium supply expansion in New World wine production to 2005. The results show supply-induced falls in producer prices of New World producers are dampened or even reversed in the projection period by a growing consumer preference globally for premium wine. © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Suggested Citation

  • Glyn Wittwer & Nick Berger & Kym Anderson, 2019. "A Model of the World’s Wine Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 1, pages 3-26, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811202094_0001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hertel, Thomas W. & Mark Horridge, J. & Pearson, K. R., 1992. "Mending the family tree a reconciliation of the linearization and levels schools of AGE modelling," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 385-407, October.
    2. Anderson, Kym & Strutt, Anna, 1999. "Impact Of East Asia’s Growth Interruption and Policy Responses: The Case Of Indonesia," 1999 Conference (43th), January 20-22, 1999, Christchurch, New Zealand 125027, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    3. Harrison, W Jill & Pearson, K R, 1996. "Computing Solutions for Large General Equilibrium Models Using GEMPACK," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 83-127, May.
    4. Berger, Nicholas & Anderson, Kym, 1999. "Consumer And Import Taxes In The World Wine Market: Australia In International Perspective," 1999 Conference (43th), January 20-22, 1999, Christchurch, New Zealand 123770, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kym Anderson & Glyn Wittwer, 2019. "Asia’s Evolving Role in Global Wine Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 14, pages 347-377, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. George Verikios, 2004. "A Model of the World Wool Market," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 04-24, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    3. Labys, Walter C. & Cohen, Bruce C., 2006. "Trends versus cycles in global wine export shares," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Marette, Stephan & Zago, Angelo M., 2003. "Advertising, Collective Action, And Labeling In The European Wine Markets," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 34(3), pages 1-10, November.
    5. Xueyan Zhao, 2003. "Who bears the burden and who receives the gain?-The case of GWRDC R&D investments in the Australian grape and wine industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 355-366.
    6. Paroissien, Emmanuel, 2020. "Forecasting bulk prices of Bordeaux wines using leading indicators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 292-309.
    7. Xueyan Zhao & Kym Anderson & Glyn Wittwer, 2019. "Who Gains from Australian Generic Wine Promotion and R&D?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 9, pages 189-223, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Zhao, Xueyan & Anderson, Kym & Wittwer, Glyn, 2002. "Who Gains from Australian Generic Wine R&D and Promotion?," 2002 Conference (46th), February 13-15, 2002, Canberra, Australia 125627, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    9. Kym Anderson, 2010. "The New World in Globalizing Wine Markets: Lessons from Australia," Wine Economics Research Centre Working Papers 2010-09, University of Adelaide, Wine Economics Research Centre.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wine Globalization; Australia's Wine Internationalization; Wine Markets in Asia; Wine Price Distortions; Modelling Global Wine Markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • L66 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Food; Beverages; Cosmetics; Tobacco

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