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External Conditions and Growth Performance

In: External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies

Author

Listed:
  • César Calderón

    (Banco Mundial)

  • Norman Loayza

    (Banco Mundial)

  • Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel

    (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)

Abstract

This paper provides an empirical evaluation of the influence of external conditions and international integration on growth performance, using panel methods for a large cross-country data set. Controlling for domestic conditions, the paper examines the growth effects of trade and financial integration as well as four types of foreign shocks: terms of trade changes, trading partners' GDP growth, changes in international real interest rates, and net regional capital inflows. We analyze the possibility of nonlinearities by allowing the growth effects of openness to vary with the general level of economic development and by letting the effects of foreign shocks to depend on the degree of trade and financial integration. The findings point toward non-monotonic effects of openness, in the sense that the growth effects of trade and financial openness increase with the level of development, tapering off for high levels of income. In addition, the paper finds that trade openness tends to dampen the growth effect of trade-related shocks while amplifying the shocks related to financial markets. Interestingly, financial openness tends to have the opposite effect.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • César Calderón & Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2006. "External Conditions and Growth Performance," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Ricardo Caballero & César Calderón & Luis Felipe Céspedes & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Sc (ed.),External Vulnerability and Preventive Policies, edition 1, volume 10, chapter 3, pages 041-070, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchsb:v10c03pp041-070
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    Cited by:

    1. Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar S. & Terrones, Marco E., 2006. "How do trade and financial integration affect the relationship between growth and volatility?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 176-202, June.
    2. Yunyong Thaicharoen & Sra Chuenchoksan & Ashvin Ahuja, 2007. "Big elephants in small ponds: Risk absorption, risk diversification and management of capital flows," Working Papers 2007-02, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    3. Jorge E. Restrepo & Andrea Tokman R., 2005. "Labor Markets and Institutions: An Overview," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Jorge Restrepo & Andrea Tokman R. & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Edi (ed.),Labor Markets and Institutions, edition 1, volume 8, chapter 1, pages 001-016, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Carmen D. Álvarez‐Albelo & Antonio Manresa & Mònica Pigem‐Vigo, 2018. "Growing through trade in intermediate goods: the role of foreign growth and domestic tariffs," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 65(4), pages 414-436, September.
    5. Chang, Roberto & Kaltani, Linda & Loayza, Norman V., 2009. "Openness can be good for growth: The role of policy complementarities," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 33-49, September.
    6. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2010. "Macroeconomic Regimes, Policies and Outcomes in the World," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 37(2 Year 20), pages 161-187, December.
    7. Vittorio Corbo & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2011. "The International Crisis and Latin America: Growth Effects and Development Strategies," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 429, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    8. Bertrand Gruss & Malhar Nabar & Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro, 2020. "Growth Accelerations and Reversals in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: External Conditions and Domestic Amplifiers," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 753-786, September.
    9. Marie Daumal, 2013. "The Impact of Trade Openness on Regional Inequality: The Cases of India and Brazil," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 243-280, August.
    10. Mohammed B. Yusoff & Ilza Febrina, 2014. "Trade Openness, Real Exchange Rate, Gross Domestic Investment and Growth in Indonesia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, February.
    11. Candelon, Bertrand & Carare, Alina & Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lu, Jing, 2020. "The post-crises output growth effects in a globalized economy," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 139-158.
    12. Saida Daly & Mohamed Abdouli, 2023. "The Nexus between Environmental Quality, Economic Growth, and Trade Openness in Saudi Arabia (1990-2017)," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 579-598, July.
    13. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2006. "Comments on S. Edwards: “Monetary unions, external shocks and economic performance: a Latin American perspectiveâ€\x9D," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 249-258, December.
    14. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4295 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2006. "Chile's Economic Growth," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 43(127), pages 5-48.
    16. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4297 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Ansgar Belke & Andreas Wernet, 2015. "Poverty Reduction through Growth and Redistribution Policies—a Panel Analysis for 59 Developing Countries," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 143-162, February.
    18. Faleiros, João Paulo Martin & Alves, Denisard Cneio de Oliveira, 2014. "Especialização Setorial do Comércio Internacional Condiciona o Impacto da Abertura Comercial Sobre a Renda?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(4), October.

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