Guido Schultefrankenfeld
Personal Details
First Name: | Guido |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Schultefrankenfeld |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | psc644 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
https://www.bundesbank.de/en/guido-schultefrankenfeld | |
Deutsche Bundesbank Research Centre Wilhelm-Epstein-Str. 14 D-60431 Frankfurt am Main Germany | |
Affiliation
Deutsche Bundesbank
Frankfurt, Germanyhttp://www.bundesbank.de/
RePEc:edi:dbbgvde (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022.
"Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 52-66.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Pavlova, Lora & Mönch, Emanuel & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Discussion Papers 17/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
- Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks,"
Discussion Papers
56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017.
"Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC,"
Discussion Papers
39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013.
"The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts,"
Discussion Papers
11/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017. "Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80042, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011.
"How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2011,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012. "How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011. "Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2008. "How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Articles
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022.
"Would households understand average inflation targeting?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 52-66.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Pavlova, Lora & Mönch, Emanuel & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Discussion Papers 17/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020.
"Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Discussion Papers 39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks," Discussion Papers 56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017.
"Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80042, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts," Discussion Papers 11/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012.
"How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011. "How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022.
"Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 52-66.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Pavlova, Lora & Mönch, Emanuel & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Discussion Papers 17/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Cited by:
- Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2024. "Examining spillovers and connectedness among commodities, inflation, and uncertainty: A quantile-VAR framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Yamin Ahmad & James Murray, 2023. "Implications for determinacy with average inflation targeting," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 510-517.
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024.
"Consumers' macroeconomic expectations,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J., 2023. "Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-714, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla & Michael Lamla, 2023. "Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10709, CESifo.
- Joris Wauters & Zivile Zekaite & Garo Garabedian, 2024.
"Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations,"
French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024
11, Stata Users Group.
- Wauters, Joris & Zekaite, Zivile & Garabedian, Garo, 2024. "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/24, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Joris Wauters & Zivile Zekaite & Garo Garabedian, 2024. "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," Working Paper Research 449, National Bank of Belgium.
- Lena Dräger, 2023.
"Central Bank Communication with the General Public,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
10713, CESifo.
- Dräger, Lena, 2023. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-713, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Moritz Grebe & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "Household Expectations and Dissent Among Policymakers," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202226, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2022. "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," IMFS Working Paper Series 169, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022.
"Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices,"
Working Papers
2218, Banco de España.
- Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
- Nghiem, Giang & Dräger, Lena & Dalloul, Ami, 2024.
"Anchoring Households' Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-719, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Giang Nghiem & Lena Dräger & Ami Dalloul, 2024. "Anchoring Households’ Inflation Expectations When Inflation Is High," CESifo Working Paper Series 11042, CESifo.
- Dräger, Lena & Dalloul, Ami & Nghiem, Giang, 2024. "Anchoring Household's Inflation Expectations when Inflation is High," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302397, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J. & Damjan, Pfajfar, 2023.
"How to Limit the Spillover from an Inflation Surge to Inflation Expectations?,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-694, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Michael Lamla, 2023. "How to Limit the Spillover from an Inflation Surge to Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10330, CESifo.
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J. & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2024. "How to limit the spillover from an inflation surge to inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2022. "How to limit the spillover from an inflation surge to inflation expectations," IMFS Working Paper Series 168, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Szwacka-Mokrzycka Joanna & Marzena Lemanowicz, 2023. "The Influence of Inflation on the Economic Situation of Households in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 119-132.
- Muhammed Bulutay, 2024. "Better than Perceived? Correcting Misperceptions about Central Bank Inflation Forecasts," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0034, Berlin School of Economics.
- Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2023.
"Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
- Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2022. "Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 2022/5, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2023. "Forceful or persistent: Wow the ECB's new inflation target affects households' inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 27/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Schwemmer, Alexander, 2023. "Monetary policy rules under bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 18/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy," Working Paper Series 2785, European Central Bank.
- Ahmad, Yamin & Murray, James, 2022. "Implications for Determinacy with Average Inflation Targeting," MPRA Paper 113119, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Niizeki, Takeshi, 2023. "Trust in the central bank and inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021.
"Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world,"
Occasional Paper Series
274, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023.
"Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany,"
Discussion Papers
34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2024. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: evidence from Germany," Working Paper Series 2930, European Central Bank.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Holton, Sarah & Kedan, Danielle & Phelan, Gillian, 2022. "Monetary policy communication – past ECB policymakers commend Bank’s progress and call for more," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 93.
- Herzog, Bodo, 2023. "How credible is average and symmetric inflation targeting in an episode of high inflation?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1750-1761.
- Angino, Siria & Robitu, Robert, 2023. "One question at a time! A text mining analysis of the ECB Q&A session," Working Paper Series 2852, European Central Bank.
- Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023.
"Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany,"
Discussion Papers
34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021.
"The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges,"
Occasional Paper Series
269, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Corbisiero, Giuseppe & Lawton, Neil, 2021. "The ECB’s Review of its Monetary Policy Strategy," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 70-103, October.
- Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Reimers, Hans-Eggert & Roffia, Barbara, 2023. "Investigating the inflation-output-nexus for the euro area: Old questions and new results," Wismar Discussion Papers 01/2023, Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School.
- Hans-Eggert Reimers & Dieter Gerdesmeier & Barbara Roffia, 2023. "Investigating the Inflation–Output Nexus for the Euro Area: Old Questions and New Results," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, October.
- BENIGNO, Pierpaolo & CANOFARI, Paola & DI BARTOLOMEO, Giovanni & MESSORI, Marcello, 2023.
"The ECB’s new inflation target from a short- and long-term perspective,"
Working Papers
2023006, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
- Benigno, Pierpaolo & Canofari, Paolo & Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni & Messori, Marcello, 2023. "The ECB’s new inflation target from a short- and long-term perspective," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 286-304.
- Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Scheer, Alexander, 2022. "On the macroeconomic effects of reinvestments in asset purchase programmes," Discussion Papers 47/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022.
"Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices,"
Working Papers
2218, Banco de España.
- Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
- Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
- Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Scheer, Alexander, 2021. "Unconventional monetary policies at the effective lower bound," Technical Papers 03/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Debrun, Xavier & Masuch, Klaus & Ferrero, Guiseppe & Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Ferdinandusse, Marien & von Thadden, Leopold & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Alloza, Mario & Derouen, Chloé & Bańkowski, Krzyszto, 2021. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 273, European Central Bank.
- Edouard Djeutem & Mario He & Abeer Reza & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Household Heterogeneity and the Performance of Monetary Policy Frameworks," Staff Working Papers 22-12, Bank of Canada.
- Lucian Briciu & Stefan Hohberger & Luca Onorante & Beatrice Pataracchia & Marco Ratto & Lukas Vogel, 2023. "The ECB Strategy Review - Implications for the Space of Monetary Policy," European Economy - Discussion Papers 193, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Eleni Argiri & Ifigeneia Skotida, 2021. "The 2021 review of the monetary policy strategy of the Eurosystem: an economy of forces," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 54, pages 23-57, December.
- Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel & Röttger, Joost & Scheer, Alexander, 2021. "A comparison of monetary policy rules in an estimated TANK model," Technical Papers 05/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2023. "Make-up strategies with incomplete markets and bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 01/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Ignazio Visco, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(2), pages 111-129, September.
- Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Kienzler, Daniel & Schwemmer, Alexander, 2023. "Monetary policy rules under bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 18/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2021. "A comparison of monetary policy rules in a HANK model," Technical Papers 02/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks,"
Discussion Papers
56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
Cited by:
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?," EMF Research Papers 33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017.
"Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC,"
Discussion Papers
39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
Cited by:
- Arai, Natsuki, 2023.
"The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Natsuki Arai, 2020. "The FOMC’s New Individual Economic Projections and Macroeconomic Theories," Working Papers 2020-007, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023.
"Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey,"
Staff Working Papers
23-18, Bank of Canada.
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024. "Central bank forecasting: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 342-364, April.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2024.
"Firm level expectations and macroeconomic conditions underpinnings and disagreement,"
Working Papers
11058, South African Reserve Bank.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2024. "Firm Level Expectations and Macroeconomic Conditions: Underpinnings and Disagreement," CAMA Working Papers 2024-05, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013.
"The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts,"
Discussion Papers
11/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017. "Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80042, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Cited by:
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023.
"Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey,"
Staff Working Papers
23-18, Bank of Canada.
- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024. "Central bank forecasting: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 342-364, April.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013.
"The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts,"
Discussion Papers
11/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017. "Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80042, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks,"
Discussion Papers
56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
- Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2018.
"How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?,"
Staff Working Papers
18-2, Bank of Canada.
- Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 179-218, October.
- Otmar Issing, 2013. "A New Paradigm for Monetary Policy?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 273-288, June.
- Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020.
"Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Discussion Papers 39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Issing, Otmar, 2013. "A new paradigm for monetary policy?," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/02, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Reifschneider, David & Tulip, Peter, 2019. "Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook using historical forecasting errors: The Federal Reserve’s approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1564-1582.
- Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2021. "Conditional macroeconomic forecasts: Disagreement, revisions and forecast errors," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Glas, Alexander & Heinisch, Katja, 2023. "Conditional macroeconomic survey forecasts: Revisions and errors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
- Robert P. Lieli & Augusto Nieto-Barthaburu, 2023. "Forecasting with Feedback," Papers 2308.15062, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2020. "The Murphy Decomposition and the Calibration-Resolution Principle: A New Perspective on Forecast Evaluation," Papers 2005.01835, arXiv.org.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011.
"How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2011,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012. "How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
Cited by:
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks,"
Discussion Papers
56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2020.
"Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(1), pages 17-33, March.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers 17-15R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E Clark & Michael W McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," BIS Working Papers 667, Bank for International Settlements.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers 2017-026, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1715, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Galbraith, John W. & van Norden, Simon, 2019. "Asymmetry in unemployment rate forecast errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1613-1626.
- Geoff Kenny & Thomas Kostka & Federico Masera, 2015.
"Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1203-1231, May.
- Kenny, Geoff & Kostka, Thomas & Masera, Federico, 2014. "Density characteristics and density forecast performance: a panel analysis," Working Paper Series 1679, European Central Bank.
- Andrade, P. & Ghysels, E. & Idier, J., 2012. "Tails of Inflation Forecasts and Tales of Monetary Policy," Working papers 407, Banque de France.
- Knut Are Aastveit & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2018. "The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Reifschneider, David & Tulip, Peter, 2019. "Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook using historical forecasting errors: The Federal Reserve’s approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1564-1582.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013.
"Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?,"
VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order
79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Juan C. Méndez-Vizcaíno & Alexander Guarin & César Anzola-Bravo & Anderson Grajales-Olarte, 2021. "Characterizing and Communicating the Balance of Risks of Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Predictive Density Approach for Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1178, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Stocker,Marc & Some,Modeste Y., 2016. "Quantifying uncertainties in global growth forecasts," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7770, The World Bank.
- Knüppel, Malte, 2014.
"Forecast-error-based estimation of forecast uncertainty when the horizon is increased,"
Discussion Papers
40/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte, 2018. "Forecast-error-based estimation of forecast uncertainty when the horizon is increased," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 105-116.
- Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2022. "Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 321-330.
- Michael Clements, 2016.
"Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?,"
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance
icma-dp2016-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Clements, Michael P., 2018. "Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 181-198.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?," EMF Research Papers 33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2021. "The value added of the Bank of Japan's range forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 817-833, August.
- Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Forecast uncertainty in the neighborhood of the effective lower bound: How much asymmetry should we expect?," Working Paper 2016/13, Norges Bank.
- G. Kenny, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 500-504, October.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014.
"Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4711, CESifo.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- David L. Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017.
"Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors : The Federal Reserve's Approach,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2017-020, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- David Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011.
"Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2011,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Cited by:
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011.
"How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2011,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012. "How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011.
"How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2011,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
Cited by:
- William H.Greene & Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer, 2013.
"The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) model with an application to monetary policy,"
Discussion Paper Series
2013_10, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Sep 2013.
- Greene, William H. & Gillman, Max & Harris, Mark N. & Spencer, Christopher, 2013. "The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) Model with an Application to Monetary Policy," CEI Working Paper Series 2013-04, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Belderbos, Rene & Ikeuchi, Kenta & Fukao, Kyoji & Kim, Young Gak & Kwon, Hyeog Ug, 2013. "Plant Productivity Dynamics and Private and Public R&D Spillovers: Technological, Geographic and Relational Proximity," CEI Working Paper Series 2013-05, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Zhu, Sheng & Kavanagh, Ella & O’Sullivan, Niall, 2021. "Inflation targeting and financial conditions: UK monetary policy during the great moderation and financial crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2008.
"How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Cited by:
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Karolina Tura-Gawron, 2016. "Credibility Of Central Banks Inflation Forecasts," GUT FME Working Paper Series A 37, Faculty of Management and Economics, Gdansk University of Technology.
- Bratu, Mihaela, 2013. "The Assessment And Improvement Of The Accuracy For The Forecast Intervals," Working Papers of Macroeconomic Modelling Seminar 132602, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
- Tura-Gawron, Karolina, 2019. "Consumers’ approach to the credibility of the inflation forecasts published by central banks: A new methodological solution," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Mihaela BRATU, 2012. "The prediction of inflation in Romania in uncertainty conditions," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 1(31), pages 87-94, February.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
Articles
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022.
"Would households understand average inflation targeting?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 52-66.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hoffmann, Mathias & Pavlova, Lora & Mönch, Emanuel & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Discussion Papers 17/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2020.
"Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 223-255, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Discussion Papers 39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks," Discussion Papers 56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017.
"Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80042, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts," Discussion Papers 11/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schultefrankenfeld Guido, 2013.
"Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-20, February.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012.
"How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011. "How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
More information
Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.Statistics
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Rankings
This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:Co-authorship network on CollEc
NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 8 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (8) 2008-09-20 2013-04-27 2014-02-02 2018-01-08 2019-02-11 2021-09-27 2021-09-27 2022-07-11. Author is listed
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (7) 2008-09-20 2013-04-27 2014-02-02 2019-02-11 2021-09-27 2021-09-27 2022-07-11. Author is listed
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (6) 2008-09-20 2014-02-02 2018-01-08 2021-09-27 2021-09-27 2022-07-11. Author is listed
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (5) 2008-09-20 2013-04-27 2014-02-02 2018-01-08 2019-02-11. Author is listed
- NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2021-09-27 2022-07-11
- NEP-ISF: Islamic Finance (2) 2021-09-27 2021-09-27
- NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2022-07-11
- NEP-IFN: International Finance (1) 2022-07-11
- NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2008-09-20
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