Report NEP-FOR-2019-02-11

This is the archive for NEP-FOR, a report on new working papers in the area of Forecasting. Rob J Hyndman issued this report. It is usually issued weekly.

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Other reports in NEP-FOR

The following items were announced in this report:

• Travis J. Berge & Andrew C. Chang & Nitish R. Sinha, 2019. "Evaluating the Conditionality of Judgmental Forecasts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-002, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and the Predictability of Bond Premia," Working Papers 201906, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Leopoldo Catania & Tommaso Proietti, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects," CEIS Research Paper 450, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Feb 2019.
• Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution," CESifo Working Paper Series 7460, CESifo.
• Niels Haldrup & Carsten P. T. Rosenskjold, 2018. "A Parametric Factor Model of the Term Structure of Mortality," CREATES Research Papers 2018-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
• Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2018. "Forecasting dynamically asymmetric fluctuations of the U.S. business cycle," CREATES Research Papers 2018-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
• Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks," Discussion Papers 56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2018. "Forecaster’s utility and forecasts coherence," CREATES Research Papers 2018-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
• Stéphanie Combes & Catherine Doz, 2018. "Forecasting French GDP with Dynamic Factor Models : a pseudo-real time experiment using Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," Working Papers halshs-01819516, HAL.
• Pérez, Fernando, 2018. "Nowcasting Peruvian GDP using Leading Indicators and Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 2018-010, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
• Congressional Budget Office, 2017. "CBO’s Economic Forecasting Record: 2017 Update," Reports 53090, Congressional Budget Office.
• Guanhao Feng & Jingyu He, 2019. "Factor Investing: A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach," Papers 1902.01015, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
• Craig S. Hakkio & Jun Nie, 2018. "Forecasting Foreign Economic Growth Using Cross-Country Data," Research Working Paper RWP 18-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.