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Chris Redl

Personal Details

First Name:Chris
Middle Name:
Last Name:Redl
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pre392
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
https://sites.google.com/site/redlchris/home

Affiliation

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
http://www.imf.org/
RePEc:edi:imfffus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters

Working papers

  1. Chris Redl & Sandile Hlatshwayo, 2021. "Forecasting Social Unrest: A Machine Learning Approach," IMF Working Papers 2021/263, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Kalamara, Eleni & Turrell, Arthur & Redl, Chris & Kapetanios, George & Kapadia, Sujit, 2020. "Making text count: economic forecasting using newspaper text," Bank of England working papers 865, Bank of England.
  3. Redl, Chris, 2018. "Uncertainty matters: evidence from close elections," Bank of England working papers 722, Bank of England.
  4. Redl, Chris, 2017. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 695, Bank of England.
  5. Chris Redl, 2015. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Learning by Doing," Working Papers 490, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  6. Chris Redl, 2015. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 509, Economic Research Southern Africa.

Articles

  1. Redl, Chris, 2020. "Uncertainty matters: Evidence from close elections," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  2. Chris Redl, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(3), pages 361-380, September.
  3. Redl, Chris, 2015. "Noisy news and exchange rates: A SVAR approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 150-171.

Chapters

  1. Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Chris Redl & Sandile Hlatshwayo, 2021. "Forecasting Social Unrest: A Machine Learning Approach," IMF Working Papers 2021/263, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Barrett, Philip & Appendino, Maximiliano & Nguyen, Kate & de Leon Miranda, Jorge, 2022. "Measuring social unrest using media reports," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).

  2. Kalamara, Eleni & Turrell, Arthur & Redl, Chris & Kapetanios, George & Kapadia, Sujit, 2020. "Making text count: economic forecasting using newspaper text," Bank of England working papers 865, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Nyman, Rickard & Kapadia, Sujit & Tuckett, David & Gregory, David & Ormerod, Paul & Smith, Robert, 2018. "News and narratives in financial systems: exploiting big data for systemic risk assessment," Bank of England working papers 704, Bank of England.
    2. Sebastian Doerr & Leonardo Gambacorta & José María Serena Garralda, 2021. "Big data and machine learning in central banking," BIS Working Papers 930, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Saiz, Lorena & Ashwin, Julian & Kalamara, Eleni, 2021. "Nowcasting euro area GDP with news sentiment: a tale of two crises," Working Paper Series 2616, European Central Bank.
    4. Pijush Kanti Das & Prabir Kumar Das, 2024. "Improvement in Inflation Forecasting: Ensembling Text Mining with Macro Data in Machine Learning Models," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(6), pages 1-92, June.
    5. Rho Caterina & Fernández Raúl & Palma Brenda, 2021. "A Sentiment-based Risk Indicator for the Mexican Financial Sector," Working Papers 2021-04, Banco de México.
    6. Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro & Mohammed Mohsin, 2021. "Time-Varying Dictionary and the Predictive Power of FED Minutes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 149-181, January.
    7. He, Yu & Lu, Shanglin & Wei, Ran & Wang, Shixuan, 2024. "Local media sentiment towards pollution and its effect on corporate green innovation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    8. Efstathios Polyzos & Ghulame Rubbaniy & Mieszko Mazur, 2024. "Efficient Market Hypothesis on the blockchain: A social‐media‐based index for cryptocurrency efficiency," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 807-829, August.
    9. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Raquel Caldeira, 2024. "Should Central Banks Care About Text Mining? A Literature Review," Working papers 950, Banque de France.
    10. Jon Ellingsen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "News media vs. FRED-MD for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers No 08/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    11. Martin Baumgaertner & Johannes Zahner, 2021. "Whatever it takes to understand a central banker - Embedding their words using neural networks," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202130, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    12. Hongcheng Ding & Xuanze Zhao & Zixiao Jiang & Shamsul Nahar Abdullah & Deshinta Arrova Dewi, 2024. "EUR-USD Exchange Rate Forecasting Based on Information Fusion with Large Language Models and Deep Learning Methods," Papers 2408.13214, arXiv.org.
    13. Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023. "Text-Based Recession Probabilities," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 415-438, June.
    14. Felix Drinkall & Janet B. Pierrehumbert & Stefan Zohren, 2024. "Traditional Methods Outperform Generative LLMs at Forecasting Credit Ratings," Papers 2407.17624, arXiv.org.
    15. Kurov, Alexander & Sancetta, Alessio & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2022. "Drift Begone! Release policies and preannouncement informed trading," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    16. Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    17. Erik Andres-Escayola & Corinna Ghirelli & Luis Molina & Javier J. Pérez & Elena Vidal, 2022. "Using newspapers for textual indicators: which and how many?," Working Papers 2235, Banco de España.
    18. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
    19. Dooruj Rambaccussing & Craig Menzies & Andrzej Kwiatkowski, 2022. "Look who’s Talking: Individual Committee members’ impact on inflation expectations," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 305, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
    20. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria & Karminsky, Alexander, 2022. "When central bank research meets Google search: A sentiment index of global financial stress," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    21. Aprigliano, Valentina & Emiliozzi, Simone & Guaitoli, Gabriele & Luciani, Andrea & Marcucci, Juri & Monteforte, Libero, 2023. "The power of text-based indicators in forecasting Italian economic activity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 791-808.
    22. Dorinth van Dijk & Jasper de Winter, 2023. "Nowcasting GDP using tone-adjusted time varying news topics: Evidence from the financial press," Working Papers 766, DNB.
    23. Mikhaylov, Dmitry, 2023. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with the Use of News Data," Working Papers w20220250, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    24. Jon Ellingsen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2022. "News media versus FRED‐MD for macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 63-81, January.
    25. Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.
    26. Francesco Cusano & Giuseppe Marinelli & Stefano Piermattei, 2022. "Learning from revisions: an algorithm to detect errors in banks’ balance sheet statistical reporting," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4025-4059, December.
    27. Bondarenko, Yevheniia & Lewis, Vivien & Rottner, Matthias & Schüler, Yves, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk Perceptions," CEPR Discussion Papers 18123, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Erik Andres-Escayola & Corinna Ghirelli & Luis Molina & Javier J. Perez & Elena Vidal, 2024. "Using Newspapers for Textual Indicators: Guidance Based on Spanish- and Portuguese-Speaking Countries," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 643-692, August.
    29. Gerardin Mathilde, & Ranvier Martial., 2021. "Enrichment of the Banque de France’s monthly business survey: lessons from textual analysis of business leaders’ comments," Working papers 821, Banque de France.
    30. Luca Barbaglia & Sergio Consoli & Sebastiano Manzan, 2024. "Forecasting GDP in Europe with textual data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 338-355, March.
    31. Anesti, Nikoleta & Kalamara, Eleni & Kapetanios, George, 2021. "Forecasting UK GDP growth with large survey panels," Bank of England working papers 923, Bank of England.
    32. Lange, Kai-Robin & Reccius, Matthias & Schmidt, Tobias & Müller, Henrik & Roos, Michael W. M. & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Towards extracting collective economic narratives from texts," Ruhr Economic Papers 963, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    33. Mary Chen & Matthew DeHaven & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Martin Sicilian, 2023. "Identifying Financial Crises Using Machine Learning on Textual Data," International Finance Discussion Papers 1374, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Olivier De Bandt & Jean-Charles Bricongne & Julien Denes & Alexandre Dhenin & Annabelle De Gaye & Pierre-Antoine Robert, 2023. "Using the Press to Construct a New Indicator of Inflation Perceptions in France," Working papers 921, Banque de France.
    35. Leonardo N. Ferreira, 2021. "Forecasting with VAR-teXt and DFM-teXt Models:exploring the predictive power of central bank communication," Working Papers Series 559, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    36. Maureen Cowhey & Seung Jung Lee & Thomas Popeck Spiller & Cindy M. Vojtech, 2022. "Sentiment in Bank Examination Reports and Bank Outcomes," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-077, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    37. Shrub, Yuliya & Rieger, Jonas & Müller, Henrik & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Text data rule - don't they? A study on the (additional) information of Handelsblatt data for nowcasting German GDP in comparison to established economic indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 964, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    38. Hanjo Odendaal, 2021. "A machine learning approach to domain specific dictionary generation. An economic time series framework," Working Papers 06/2021, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    39. Andres Algaba & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt & Brecht Verbeken, 2021. "Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed–frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence," Working Paper Research 396, National Bank of Belgium.
    40. Ibrahim Filiz & Jan René Judek & Marco Lorenz & Markus Spiwoks, 2021. "Sticky Stock Market Analysts," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-27, December.
    41. Lin Chen & Stephanie Houle, 2023. "Turning Words into Numbers: Measuring News Media Coverage of Shortages," Discussion Papers 2023-8, Bank of Canada.
    42. María del Pilar Cruz N. & Hugo Peralta V. & Juan Pablo Cova M., 2022. "Utilización de noticias de prensa como indicador de confianza económica en tiempo real," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 938, Central Bank of Chile.
    43. Łukasz Baszczak, 2023. "Ekonomia narracji – początki nowego nurtu," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 66-81.
    44. Sonya Georgieva, 2023. "Application of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Conduct of Monetary Policy by Central Banks," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 177-199.

  3. Redl, Chris, 2018. "Uncertainty matters: evidence from close elections," Bank of England working papers 722, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Silvia Delrio & Richard Kima, 2020. "Financial Uncertainty and Real Activity: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly," CESifo Working Paper Series 8426, CESifo.
    2. Raffaella Giacomini & Toru Kitagawa & Matthew Read, 2023. "Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2023-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    3. Wojciech Charemza & Svetlana Makarova & Krzysztof Rybiński, 2023. "Anti-pandemic restrictions, uncertainty and sentiment in seven countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 1-27, February.
    4. Müller, Gernot & Georgiadis, Georgios & Schumann, Ben, 2021. "Global Risk and the Dollar," CEPR Discussion Papers 16245, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    6. Miescu, Mirela S., 2023. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local approach for identification," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    7. Thanh C. Nguyen & Vítor Castro & Justine Wood, 2022. "Political environment and financial crises," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 417-438, January.
    8. Fetzer, Thiemo & Yotzov, Ivan, 2023. "(How) Do electoral surprises drive business cycles? Evidence from a new dataset," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 672, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    9. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Network Analysis of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Advanced Economies: Evidence from Graph-Theory," Working Papers 201982, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    11. Michael Ryan, 2020. "A Narrative Approach to Creating Instruments with Unstructured and Voluminous Text: An Application to Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers in Economics 20/10, University of Waikato.
    12. Kalamara, Eleni & Turrell, Arthur & Redl, Chris & Kapetanios, George & Kapadia, Sujit, 2020. "Making text count: economic forecasting using newspaper text," Bank of England working papers 865, Bank of England.
    13. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
    14. Thanh Cong Nguyen & Vítor Castro & Justine Wood, 2022. "Political economy of financial crisis duration," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 192(3), pages 309-330, September.
    15. Nicolas Himounet, 2021. "Searching for the Nature of Uncertainty: Macroeconomic VS Financial," Working Papers 2021.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    16. Bryan W. Husted & Walid Saffar, 2023. "Elections and CSR Engagement: International Evidence," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 184(1), pages 115-138, April.
    17. Andreas Dibiasi & Samad Sarferaz, 2020. "Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: The Labor Channel of Uncertainty from a Cross-Country Perspective," Papers 2006.09007, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    18. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo, 2023. "Global financial uncertainty," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 432-449, April.
    19. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    20. Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi, Yasmeen, 2022. "Presidential honeymoons, political cycles and the commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    21. Dibiasi, Andreas & Sarferaz, Samad, 2023. "Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    22. Firrell, Alastair & Reinold, Kate, 2020. "Uncertainty and voting on the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee," Bank of England working papers 898, Bank of England.
    23. Rivolta, Giulia & Trecroci, Carmine, 2020. "Measuring the effects of U.S. uncertainty and monetary conditions on EMEs' macroeconomic dynamics," MPRA Paper 99403, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  4. Redl, Chris, 2017. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 695, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Born, Benjamin & Müller, Gernot & Schularick, Moritz & SedlÃ¡Ä ek, Petr, 2017. "The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment," CEPR Discussion Papers 12454, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    4. Nina Biljanovska & Mr. Francesco Grigoli & Martina Hengge, 2017. "Fear Thy Neighbor: Spillovers from Economic Policy Uncertainty," IMF Working Papers 2017/240, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2020. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Does it Matter for Thailand?," PIER Discussion Papers 130, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    6. Lucyna Gornicka, 2018. "Brexit Referendum and Business Investment in the UK," IMF Working Papers 2018/247, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Bobasu, Alina & Geis, André & Quaglietti, Lucia & Ricci, Martino, 2021. "Tracking global economic uncertainty: implications for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2541, European Central Bank.
    8. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald. A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2018. "Financial and non-financial global stock market volatility shocks," Working Papers 2018-07, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    9. Abiad, Abdul & Qureshi, Irfan A., 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty : An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth," EMF Research Papers 24, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
    11. Bloom , Nicholas & Bunn, Philip & Chen, Scarlet & Mizen, Paul & Smietanka, Pawel & Thwaites, Greg & Young, Garry, 2019. "Brexit and uncertainty: insights from the Decision Maker Panel," Bank of England working papers 780, Bank of England.
    12. Kalamara, Eleni & Turrell, Arthur & Redl, Chris & Kapetanios, George & Kapadia, Sujit, 2020. "Making text count: economic forecasting using newspaper text," Bank of England working papers 865, Bank of England.
    13. Kim, Wongi, 2019. "Government spending policy uncertainty and economic activity: US time series evidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
    14. Tsvetomir Tsvetkov & Sonya Georgieva, 2022. "Inflation, Inflation Instability and Nominal Uncertainty in Bulgarian Economy," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 41-64.
    15. Andreas Dibiasi & Samad Sarferaz, 2020. "Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: The Labor Channel of Uncertainty from a Cross-Country Perspective," Papers 2006.09007, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    16. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    17. Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2022. "Uncertainty in an emerging market economy: evidence from Thailand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 933-989, March.
    18. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2020. "Revising the Impact of Financial and Non-Financial Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks," MPRA Paper 103019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Dibiasi, Andreas & Sarferaz, Samad, 2023. "Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).

  5. Chris Redl, 2015. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Learning by Doing," Working Papers 490, Economic Research Southern Africa.

    Cited by:

    1. Dolado, Juan J & Motyovszki, Gergo & Pappa, Evi, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Inequality under Labor Market Frictions and Capital-Skill Complementarity," CEPR Discussion Papers 12734, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  6. Chris Redl, 2015. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 509, Economic Research Southern Africa.

    Cited by:

    1. Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 1008-1026, March.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-20.
    4. Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2020. "Economic uncertainty in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-131.
    5. Kabundi, Alain & Mlachila, Montfort, 2019. "The role of monetary policy credibility in explaining the decline in exchange rate pass-through in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 173-185.
    6. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    7. Ken Miyajima, 2020. "Exchange rate volatility and pass‐through to inflation in South Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 404-418, September.
    8. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Sandile Hlatshwayo & Mr. Magnus Saxegaard, 2016. "The Consequences of Policy Uncertainty: Disconnects and Dilutions in the South African Real Effective Exchange Rate-Export Relationship," IMF Working Papers 2016/113, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi, 2023. "Dynamics of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Economic Growth in the Presence of Fiscal Consolidation in South Africa from 1994 to 2022," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, April.
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    12. Sandile Hlatshwayo & Anne Oeking & Mr. Manuk Ghazanchyan & David Corvino & Ananya Shukla & Mr. Lamin Y Leigh, 2018. "The Measurement and Macro-Relevance of Corruption: A Big Data Approach," IMF Working Papers 2018/195, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Johnson Worlanyo Ahiadorme, 2022. "On the aggregate effects of global uncertainty: Evidence from an emerging economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 390-407, September.
    14. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    15. Chris Redl, 2015. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 509, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    16. Balcilar, Mehmet & Usman, Ojonugwa & Gungor, Hasan & Roubaud, David & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Role of global, regional, and advanced market economic policy uncertainty on bond spreads in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    17. Pavitra Dhamija, 2020. "Economic Development and South Africa: 25 Years Analysis (1994 to 2019)," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 298-322, September.
    18. Alain Kabundi & Montfort Mlachila, 2018. "Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate PassThrough in South Africa," Working Papers 8690, South African Reserve Bank.
    19. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    20. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Charteris, Ailie & Kallinterakis, Vasileios, 2021. "Feedback trading in retail-dominated assets: Evidence from the gold bullion coin market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    22. Arango-Castillo, Lenin & Orraca, María José & Molina, G. Stefano, 2023. "The global component of headline and core inflation in emerging market economies and its ability to improve forecasting performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    23. Mario Canales & Bernabe Lopez-Martin, 2021. "Uncertainty, Risk, and Price-Setting: Evidence from CPI Microdata," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 908, Central Bank of Chile.
    24. Nasha Maveé & Mr. Roberto Perrelli & Mr. Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2016. "Surprise, Surprise: What Drives the Rand / U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility?," IMF Working Papers 2016/205, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Serdar Ongan & Ismet Gocer, 2017. "Testing The Causalities Between Economic Policy Uncertainty And The Us Stock Indices: Applications Of Linear And Nonlinear Approaches," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(04), pages 1-20, December.
    26. Kaelo Mpho Ntwaepelo, 2023. "Bank Stability versus Financial Development: A Generous Deposit Insurer's Dilemma," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2023-09, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    27. Keagile Lesame, 2021. "The asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on firm-level investment in South Africa: Firm-level evidence from administrative tax data," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-52, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

Articles

  1. Redl, Chris, 2020. "Uncertainty matters: Evidence from close elections," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Chris Redl, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(3), pages 361-380, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

Chapters

  1. Chris Redl, 2019. "Uncertainty Matters: Evidence from Close Elections," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 6 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (4) 2015-02-22 2015-04-02 2018-02-19 2018-05-07. Author is listed
  2. NEP-BIG: Big Data (2) 2020-06-15 2022-01-10. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (2) 2020-06-15 2022-01-10. Author is listed
  4. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (2) 2020-06-15 2022-01-10. Author is listed
  5. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2015-02-22
  6. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (1) 2015-02-22
  7. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2020-06-15
  8. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2018-02-19
  9. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2015-02-22

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