Carlos A. Medel
Personal Details
First Name: | Carlos A. |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Medel |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pme357 |
| |
Affiliation
Banco Central de Chile
Santiago, Chilehttp://www.bcentral.cl/
RePEc:edi:bccgvcl (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within a Consumer Perceptions Survey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 899, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Fernando Faure & Carlos A. Medel, 2020. "Does the Exposure to the Business Cycle Improve Consumer Perceptions for Forecasting? Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 888, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolas Chanut & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Can Economic Perception Surveys Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile?,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
824, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolás Chanut & Mario Marcel C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2019. "Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 034-097, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
- Carlos Madeira & Pablo Furche & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2017. "FinTech y el Futuro de la Banca Central Central de Chile," Economic Policy Papers Central Bank of Chile 63, Central Bank of Chile.
- Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel & Jessica Mena, 2017. "Determinantes de la Inflación de Servicios en Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 803, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2016.
"Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Rodrigo Alfaro & Carlos Medel & Carola Moreno, 2016.
"An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
795, Central Bank of Chile.
- Rodrigo Alfaro Alfaro & Carlos A. Medel & Carola Moreno, 2017. "An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 32(2), pages 131-153, October.
- Carlos Medel, 2016.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis,"
MPRA Paper
65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020. "Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 805, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2015. "Fuelling Future Prices: Oil Price and Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 770, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015.
"Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile,"
MPRA Paper
62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 769, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Producers, Politicians, Warriors, and Forecasters: Who's Who in the Oil Market?," MPRA Paper 65298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "A Critical Review of Posch, J. and F. Rumler (2015), 'Semi-Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve,' Journal of Forecasting 34(2): 145-62," MPRA Paper 65665, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Medel, Carlos & Camilleri, Gilmour & Hsu, Hsiang-Ling & Kania, Stefan & Touloumtzoglou, Miltiadis, 2015.
"Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-based Modelling After the Financial Crisis,"
MPRA Paper
65290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel & Gilmour Camilleri & Hsiang-Ling Hsu & Stefan Kania & Miltiadis Touloumtzoglou, 2016. "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-Based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 784, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015.
"The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model,"
MPRA Paper
62552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
- Carlos Medel & Pablo Pincheira, 2015. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 768, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014.
"The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
725, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ,"
MPRA Paper
57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014.
"A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA,"
MPRA Paper
57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 47-87, April.
- Carlos Medel, 2014.
"The Typical Spectral Shape of An Economic Variable: A Visual Guide with 100 Examples,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
719, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "The Typical Spectral Shape of an Economic Variable: A Visual Guide with 100 Examples," MPRA Paper 53584, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Medel, Carlos A. & Salgado, Sergio C., 2012.
"Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better than AIC?,"
MPRA Paper
42235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2013. "Does the Bic Estimate and Forecast Better than the Aic?," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 28(1), pages 47-64, April.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better Than AIC?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 679, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para predecir el PIB chileno? [Akaike or Schwarz? Which One is a Better Predictor of Chilean GDP?],"
MPRA Paper
35950, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para Predecir el PIB Chileno?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 658, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP,"
MPRA Paper
35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2013. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 657, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 677, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo Pincheira & Carlos Medel, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 669, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2011. "The Effects of Global Warming on Fisheries," MPRA Paper 28373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Medel, Carlos, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre el Pacífico Sur," Working Papers 2011-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Marcus Cobb & Gonzalo Echavarría & Pablo Filippi & Macarena García & Carolina Godoy & Wildo González & Carlos Medel & Marcela Urrutia, 2011. "Short-Term GDP Forecasting Using Bridge Models: a Case for Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 626, Central Bank of Chile.
- Yan Carrière–Swallow & Carlos Medel, 2011.
"Incertidumbre Global sobre la Economía Chilena,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
647, Central Bank of Chile.
- Yan Carrière-Swallow & Carlos A. Medel V., 2011. "Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(3), pages 75-82, December.
- Carlos Medel & Marcela Urrutia, 2010. "Proyección Agregada y Desagregada del PIB Chileno con Procedimientos Automatizados de Series de Tiempo," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 577, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2009. "Efectos del Calentamiento Global sobre la Industria Pesquera," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 534, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2007. "Guía de Ejercicios: Introducción a la Macroeconomía [Exercises Guide: Principles of Macroeconomics]," MPRA Paper 41401, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2007.
Articles
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020.
"Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 805, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolás Chanut & Mario Marcel C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2019.
"Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?,"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 034-097, December.
- Nicolas Chanut & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2018. "Can Economic Perception Surveys Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 824, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018.
"A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 47-87, April.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA," MPRA Paper 57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pablo Furche & Carlos Madeira & Mario Marcel & Carlos A. Medel, 2017. "Fintech y la banca central en la encrucijada," Estudios Públicos, Centro de Estudios Públicos, vol. 0(148), pages 39-78.
- Carlos Medel, 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy,"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Rodrigo Alfaro Alfaro & Carlos A. Medel & Carola Moreno, 2017.
"An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 32(2), pages 131-153, October.
- Rodrigo Alfaro & Carlos Medel & Carola Moreno, 2016. "An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 795, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Forecasting with a Random Walk," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(6), pages 539-564, December.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016.
"The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
- Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 725, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016.
"The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
- Carlos Medel & Pablo Pincheira, 2015. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 768, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015. "The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model," MPRA Paper 62552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 2-29, January.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2014. "The typical spectral shape of an economic variable: a visual guide," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1017-1024, September.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2013.
"Does the Bic Estimate and Forecast Better than the Aic?,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 28(1), pages 47-64, April.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better Than AIC?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 679, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A. & Salgado, Sergio C., 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better than AIC?," MPRA Paper 42235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2013.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP,"
Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 657, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP," MPRA Paper 35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yan Carrière-Swallow & Carlos A. Medel V., 2011.
"Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(3), pages 75-82, December.
- Yan Carrière–Swallow & Carlos Medel, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 647, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel Vera, 2011. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál utilizar para predecir el PIB chileno?," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 591-615, octubre-d.
- Carlos A. Medel V. & Michael Pedersen, 2010. "Incertidumbre en las Series Desestacionalizadas de Actividad y Demanda en Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(1), pages 63-72, April.
- Marcus Cobb C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2010.
"Una Estimación del Impacto del Efecto Calendario en Series Desestacionalizadas Chilenas de Actividad y Demanda,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(3), pages 95-103, December.
RePEc:chb:bcchrl:v:21:y:2018:i:2:p:154-163 is not listed on IDEAS
RePEc:chb:bcchrl:v:22:y:2019:i:1:p:132-135 is not listed on IDEAS
RePEc:chb:bcchrl:v:20:y:2017:i:3:p:144-149 is not listed on IDEAS
RePEc:cml:moneta:v:iii:y:2015:i:1:p:25-69 is not listed on IDEAS
RePEc:cml:moneta:v:xxxvii:y:2015:i:1:p:27-78 is not listed on IDEAS
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Fernando Faure & Carlos A. Medel, 2020.
"Does the Exposure to the Business Cycle Improve Consumer Perceptions for Forecasting? Microdata Evidence from Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
888, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Sofía Gallardo & Carlos Madeira, 2022.
"The role of financial surveys for economic research and policy making in emerging markets,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
948, Central Bank of Chile.
- Sof'a Gallardo & Carlos Madeira, 2022. "The role of financial surveys for economic research and policy making in emerging markets," Chapters, in: Duc K. Nguyen (ed.), Handbook of Banking and Finance in Emerging Markets, chapter 36, pages 676-686, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within a Consumer Perceptions Survey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 899, Central Bank of Chile.
- Sofía Gallardo & Carlos Madeira, 2022.
"The role of financial surveys for economic research and policy making in emerging markets,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
948, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolas Chanut & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Can Economic Perception Surveys Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile?,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
824, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolás Chanut & Mario Marcel C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2019. "Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 034-097, December.
Cited by:
- Sofía Gallardo & Carlos Madeira, 2022.
"The role of financial surveys for economic research and policy making in emerging markets,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
948, Central Bank of Chile.
- Sof'a Gallardo & Carlos Madeira, 2022. "The role of financial surveys for economic research and policy making in emerging markets," Chapters, in: Duc K. Nguyen (ed.), Handbook of Banking and Finance in Emerging Markets, chapter 36, pages 676-686, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Camila Figueroa S. & Michael Pedersen, 2019.
"Extracting information on economic activity from business and consumer surveys in an emerging economy (Chile),"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 098-131, December.
- Camila Figueroa & Michael Pedersen, 2019. "Extracting Information of the Economic Activity from Business and Consumer Surveys in an Emerging Economy (Chile)," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 832, Central Bank of Chile.
- Felipe Leal & Carlos Molina & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020. "Proyección de la Inflación en Chile con Métodos de Machine Learning," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 860, Central Bank of Chile.
- María del Pilar Cruz & Hugo Peralta & Bruno Ávila, 2020. "Análisis de Sentimiento Basado en el Informe de Percepciones de Negocios del Banco Central de Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 862, Central Bank of Chile.
- Elías Albagli I. & Jorge A. Fornero & Miguel A. Fuentes D. & Roberto Zúñiga V., 2019. "On the effects of confidence and uncertainty on aggregate demand: evidence from Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 008-033, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
Cited by:
- Michael Pedersen, 2020. "Surveying the survey: What can we learn about the effects of monetary policy on inflation expectations?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 889, Central Bank of Chile.
- José Vicente Romero & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022.
"Weather Shocks and Inflation Expectations in Semi-Structural Models,"
Borradores de Economia
1218, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Jose Vicente Romero & Sara Naranjo Saldarriaga, 2022. "Weather Shocks and Inflation Expectations in Semi-Structural Models," IHEID Working Papers 20-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Romero, José Vicente & Naranjo-Saldarriaga, Sara, 2024. "Weather shocks and inflation expectations in semi-structural models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(2).
- Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel & Jessica Mena, 2017.
"Determinantes de la Inflación de Servicios en Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
803, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within a Consumer Perceptions Survey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 899, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2016.
"Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
Cited by:
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2017.
"Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
805, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020. "Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2016.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within a Consumer Perceptions Survey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 899, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pooja Kapoor & Sujata Kar, 2023. "A review of inflation expectations and perceptions research in the past four decades: a bibliometric analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 279-302, May.
- Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez‐García, 2023. "Forecasting inflation in open economies: What can a NOEM model do?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 481-513, April.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis,"
MPRA Paper
65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020. "Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 805, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Ronnie Figueiredo & Mohammad Soliman & Alamir N. Al-Alawi & Maria José Sousa, 2022. "The Impacts of Geopolitical Risks on the Energy Sector: Micro-Level Operative Analysis in the European Union," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, November.
- Khurshid, Adnan & Khan, Khalid & Rauf, Abdur & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024. "Effect of geopolitical risk on resources prices in the global and Russian-Ukrainian context: A novel Bayesian structural model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Ahmad Al Humssi & Maria Petrovskaya & Milana Abueva, 2022. "Modelling the Impact of World Oil Prices and the Mining and Quarrying Sector on the United Arab Emirates’ GDP," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2015.
"Fuelling Future Prices: Oil Price and Global Inflation,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
770, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2017.
"Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
805, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020. "Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
- Felipe Leal & Carlos Molina & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020. "Proyección de la Inflación en Chile con Métodos de Machine Learning," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 860, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015.
"Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile,"
MPRA Paper
62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 769, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Thibault Lemaire, 2020.
"Phillips in A Revolution: Unemployment and Prices in Early 21st Century Egypt,"
Working Papers
1453, Economic Research Forum, revised 20 Dec 2020.
- Thibault Lemaire, 2020. "Phillips in A Revolution: Unemployment and Prices in Early 21st Century Egypt," Working Papers hal-03948605, HAL.
- Thibault Lemaire, 2020. "Phillips in A Revolution: Unemployment and Prices in Early 21st Century Egypt," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03948605, HAL.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within a Consumer Perceptions Survey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 899, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015.
"Producers, Politicians, Warriors, and Forecasters: Who's Who in the Oil Market?,"
MPRA Paper
65298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Su, Chi-Wei & Qin, Meng & Tao, Ran & Shao, Xue-Feng & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
- Wang, Xinghua & Lee, Zhengzheng & Wu, Shuang & Qin, Meng, 2023. "Exploring the vital role of geopolitics in the oil market: The case of Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
- Li, Sufang & Tu, Dalun & Zeng, Yan & Gong, Chenggang & Yuan, Di, 2022. "Does geopolitical risk matter in crude oil and stock markets? Evidence from disaggregated data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Medel, Carlos & Camilleri, Gilmour & Hsu, Hsiang-Ling & Kania, Stefan & Touloumtzoglou, Miltiadis, 2015.
"Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-based Modelling After the Financial Crisis,"
MPRA Paper
65290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel & Gilmour Camilleri & Hsiang-Ling Hsu & Stefan Kania & Miltiadis Touloumtzoglou, 2016. "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-Based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 784, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Nyoni, Thabani, 2018. "Modeling and Forecasting Naira / USD Exchange Rate In Nigeria: a Box - Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 88622, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Aug 2018.
- Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015.
"The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model,"
MPRA Paper
62552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
- Carlos Medel & Pablo Pincheira, 2015. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 768, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016.
"The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
- Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 725, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014.
"The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
725, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
Cited by:
- Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019.
"New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
- Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez García, 2018. "New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment," Globalization Institute Working Papers 338, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2024.
"Correlation‐based tests of predictability,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1835-1858, September.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2022. "Correlation Based Tests of Predictability," MPRA Paper 112014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pincheira, Pablo M. & West, Kenneth D., 2016. "A comparison of some out-of-sample tests of predictability in iterated multi-step-ahead forecasts," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 304-319.
- Juselius, Mikael & Takáts, Előd, 2021. "Inflation and demography through time," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Jonathan Kearns, 2016. "Global inflation forecasts," BIS Working Papers 582, Bank for International Settlements.
- Pincheira, Pablo, 2017.
"A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability,"
MPRA Paper
77027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pablo Pincheira Brown, 2022. "A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 150-183.
- Juselius, Mikael & Takáts, Előd, 2018.
"The enduring link between demography and inflation,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
8/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Mikael Juselius & Előd Takáts, 2018. "The enduring link between demography and inflation," BIS Working Papers 722, Bank for International Settlements.
- Dellas, Harris & Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S., 2018. "The macroeconomic and fiscal implications of inflation forecast errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 203-217.
- Nyoni, Thabani & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince, 2018. "Modeling rates of inflation in Nigeria: an application of ARMA, ARIMA and GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
- S. Béreau & V. Faubert & K. Schmidt, 2018. "Explaining and Forecasting Euro Area Inflation: the Role of Domestic and Global Factors," Working papers 663, Banque de France.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2023.
"Forecasting inflation: The use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 514-529, April.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation: The Use of Dynamic Factor Analysis and Nonlinear Combinations," Discussion Papers 22-12, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2023. "Forecasting inflation: the use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations," Working Papers 314, Bank of Greece.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hernández, Ana María, 2019. "Forecasting Unemployment Rates with International Factors," MPRA Paper 97855, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Juan Carlos Berganza & Pedro del Río & Fructuoso Borrallo, 2016. "Determinants and implications of low global inflation rates," Occasional Papers 1608, Banco de España.
- Nikolaos Giannellis & Stephen G. Hall & Georgios P. Kouretas & George S. Tavlas, 2024. "Forecasting in turbulent times," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 819-826, July.
- Friedrich, Christian, 2016.
"Global inflation dynamics in the post-crisis period: What explains the puzzles?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 31-34.
- Christian Friedrich, 2014. "Global Inflation Dynamics in the Post-Crisis Period: What Explains the Twin Puzzle?," Staff Working Papers 14-36, Bank of Canada.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang & Deborah Gefang, 2024. "Inflation forecasting with rolling windows: An appraisal," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 827-851, July.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ,"
MPRA Paper
57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014.
"A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA,"
MPRA Paper
57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 47-87, April.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014.
"A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA,"
MPRA Paper
57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 47-87, April.
- Carlos Medel, 2014.
"The Typical Spectral Shape of An Economic Variable: A Visual Guide with 100 Examples,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
719, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "The Typical Spectral Shape of an Economic Variable: A Visual Guide with 100 Examples," MPRA Paper 53584, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Sibani, Paolo & Rasmussen, Steen, 2020. "Human wealth evolution: Trends and fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
- Fousekis, Panos & Tzaferi, Dimitra, 2021. "Returns and volume: Frequency connectedness in cryptocurrency markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 13-20.
- Medel, Carlos A. & Salgado, Sergio C., 2012.
"Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better than AIC?,"
MPRA Paper
42235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2013. "Does the Bic Estimate and Forecast Better than the Aic?," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 28(1), pages 47-64, April.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better Than AIC?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 679, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Cruz, Manuel David, 2023. "Labor Productivity, Real Wages, and Employment in OECD Economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 367-382.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Shahrin Islam & Armana Sabiha Huq & Sabah Hossain Iqra & Raas Sarker Tomal, 2023. "Impacts of COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown on Road Safety in Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-22, February.
- Manuel David Cruz, 2022. "Labor productivity, real wages, and employment: evidence from a panel of OECD economies over 1960-2019," Working Papers PKWP2203, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para predecir el PIB chileno? [Akaike or Schwarz? Which One is a Better Predictor of Chilean GDP?],"
MPRA Paper
35950, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para Predecir el PIB Chileno?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 658, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2012.
"Pegs, Downward Wage Rigidity, and Unemployment: The Role of Financial Structure,"
NBER Working Papers
18223, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2014. "Pegs, Downward Wage Rigidity and Unemployment: The Role of Financial Structure," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Miguel Fuentes D. & Claudio E. Raddatz & Carmen M. Reinhart (ed.),Capital Mobility and Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 18, chapter 3, pages 69-95, Central Bank of Chile.
- Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2012. "Pegs, Downward Wage Rigidity, and Unemployment: the Role of Financial Structure," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 672, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Garcia, 2012. "Impacto del Costo de la Energía Eléctrica en la Economía Chilena: Una Perspectiva Macroeconómica," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv281, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
- Carlos J. García & Pablo González M. & Antonio Moncado S., 2013. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile: a Structural Bayesian Approach," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 16(1), pages 24-63, April.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP,"
MPRA Paper
35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2013. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 657, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para predecir el PIB chileno? [Akaike or Schwarz? Which One is a Better Predictor of Chilean GDP?],"
MPRA Paper
35950, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para Predecir el PIB Chileno?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 658, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014.
"A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA,"
MPRA Paper
57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 47-87, April.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Javier Pereda, 2011.
"Estimación de la tasa natural de interés para Perú: un enfoque financiero,"
Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 429-459, octubre-d.
- Pereda, Javier, 2010. "Estimación de la Tasa Natural de Interés para el Perú: Un Enfoque Financiero," Working Papers 2010-018, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Carlos A. Medel Vera, 2011. "¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál utilizar para predecir el PIB chileno?," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 591-615, octubre-d.
- Massimiliano Giacalone & Raffaele Mattera & Eugenia Nissi, 2020. "Economic indicators forecasting in presence of seasonal patterns: time series revision and prediction accuracy," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 67-84, February.
- Daniel Fernández, 2011. "Suficiencia del capital y previsiones de la banca uruguaya por su exposición al sector industrial," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 517-589, octubre-d.
- Tamara Burdisso & Eduardo Ariel Corso, 2011. "Incertidumbre y dolarización de cartera: el caso argentino en el último medio siglo," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 461-515, octubre-d.
- Pablo Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2012.
"Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
677, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Pablo Pincheira B., 2014. "Predictive Evaluation of Sectoral and Total Employment Based on Entrepreneurial Confidence Indicators," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 17(1), pages 66-87, April.
- Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2016.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with international factors,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 981-1010, November.
- Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2014. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with International Factors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 723, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo Pincheira & Carlos Medel, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 669, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 2-29, January.
- Pablo Pincheira & Carlos Medel, 2012.
"Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
669, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019.
"New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
- Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez García, 2018. "New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment," Globalization Institute Working Papers 338, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2016.
"The Evasive Predictive Ability of Core Inflation,"
MPRA Paper
68704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jose Luis Nolazco & Pablo Pincheira & Jorge Selaive, 2016. "The evasive predictive ability of core inflation," Working Papers 15/34, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015.
"The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model,"
MPRA Paper
62552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel & Pablo Pincheira, 2015. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 768, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
- Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2016.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with international factors,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 981-1010, November.
- Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2014. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with International Factors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 723, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 677, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 2-29, January.
- Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019.
"New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2011.
"The Effects of Global Warming on Fisheries,"
MPRA Paper
28373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Da Rocha, José María & Gutiérrez Huerta, María José & Villasante, Sebastián, 2013. "Economic Effects of Global Warming under Stock Growth Uncertainty: The European Sardine Fishery," DFAEII Working Papers 1988-088X, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
- Marcus Cobb & Gonzalo Echavarría & Pablo Filippi & Macarena García & Carolina Godoy & Wildo González & Carlos Medel & Marcela Urrutia, 2011.
"Short-Term GDP Forecasting Using Bridge Models: a Case for Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
626, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Abdić Ademir & Resić Emina & Abdić Adem & Rovčanin Adnan, 2020. "Nowcasting GDP of Bosnia and Herzegovina: A Comparison of Forecast Accuracy Models," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 15(2), pages 1-14, December.
- Nicolas Chanut & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2018.
"Can Economic Perception Surveys Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile?,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
824, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolás Chanut & Mario Marcel C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2019. "Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 034-097, December.
- Víctor Riquelme & Gabriela Riveros, 2018. "Un Indicador Contemporáneo de Actividad (ICA) para Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(1), pages 134-149, April.
- Yan Carrière–Swallow & Carlos Medel, 2011.
"Incertidumbre Global sobre la Economía Chilena,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
647, Central Bank of Chile.
- Yan Carrière-Swallow & Carlos A. Medel V., 2011. "Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(3), pages 75-82, December.
Cited by:
- Luis Ceballos S. & Mario González F., 2012. "Indicador de Condiciones Económicas," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 15(1), pages 105-117, April.
- Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Medel, Carlos, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre el Pacífico Sur," Working Papers 2011-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Céspedes, Luis Felipe, 2013.
"The impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 316-325.
- Yan Carrière–Swallow & Luis Felipe Céspedes, 2011. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 646, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel & Marcela Urrutia, 2010.
"Proyección Agregada y Desagregada del PIB Chileno con Procedimientos Automatizados de Series de Tiempo,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
577, Central Bank of Chile.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP,"
MPRA Paper
35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 657, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2013. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
- Eric M. Leeper, 2009.
"Anchors Away: How Fiscal Policy Can Undermine “Good” Monetary Policy,"
CAEPR Working Papers
2009-021, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
- Eric Leeper, 2010. "Anchors Away: How Fiscal Policy Can Undermine "Good" Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 580, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP,"
MPRA Paper
35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Articles
- Antonio Fernandois & Carlos A. Medel, 2020.
"Geopolitical tensions, OPEC news, and the oil price: A granger causality analysis,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 57-90, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," MPRA Paper 65667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Geopolitical Tensions, OPEC News, and Oil Price: A Granger Causality Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 805, Central Bank of Chile.
- Nicolás Chanut & Mario Marcel C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2019.
"Can economic perception surveys improve macroeconomic forecasting in Chile?,"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 22(3), pages 034-097, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Nicolas Chanut & Mario Marcel & Carlos Medel, 2018. "Can Economic Perception Surveys Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 824, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2018.
"An econometric analysis on survey-data-based anchoring of inflation expectations in Chile,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 21(2), pages 128-152, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos Medel, 2018. "Econometric Analysis on Survey-data-based Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 825, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018.
"A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 47-87, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986-2009 with X-12-ARIMA," MPRA Paper 57053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy,"
Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Forecasting with a Random Walk,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(6), pages 539-564, December.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2016.
"Un análisis de la capacidad predictiva del precio del cobre sobre la inflación global,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 19(2), pages 128-153, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Un Análisis de la Capacidad Predictiva del Precio del Cobre sobre la Inflación Global," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 786, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016.
"The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 725, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016.
"The out-of-sample performance of an exact median-unbiased estimator for the near-unity AR(1) model,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 126-131, February.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos Medel & Pablo Pincheira, 2015. "The Out-of-Sample Performance of An Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity Ar(1)Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 768, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos & Pincheira, Pablo, 2015. "The Out-of-sample Performance of an Exact Median-Unbiased Estimator for the Near-Unity AR(1) Model," MPRA Paper 62552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 2-29, January.
Cited by:
- Olalude, Gbenga Adelekan & Olayinka, Hammed Abiola & Ankeli, Uchechi Constance, 2020. "Modelling and forecasting inflation rate in Nigeria using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 105342, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2020.
- Duncan, Roberto & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2019.
"New perspectives on forecasting inflation in emerging market economies: An empirical assessment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1008-1031.
- Roberto Duncan & Enrique Martínez García, 2018. "New Perspectives on Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Assessment," Globalization Institute Working Papers 338, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2016.
"The Evasive Predictive Ability of Core Inflation,"
MPRA Paper
68704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jose Luis Nolazco & Pablo Pincheira & Jorge Selaive, 2016. "The evasive predictive ability of core inflation," Working Papers 15/34, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Nyoni, Thabani & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince, 2018. "Modeling rates of inflation in Nigeria: an application of ARMA, ARIMA and GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Pablo Pincheira-Brown & Nicolás Hardy & Cristobal Henrriquez & Ignacio Tapia & Andrea Bentancor, 2023.
"Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 73(3), pages 277-302, October.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas & Bentancor, Andrea & Henriquez, Cristóbal & Tapia, Ignacio, 2021. "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index," MPRA Paper 107828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal, 2018. "Forecasting UK consumer price inflation using inflation forecasts," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(3), pages 367-378.
- Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2016.
"Forecasting Chilean inflation with international factors,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 981-1010, November.
- Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2014. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with International Factors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 723, Central Bank of Chile.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2017.
"Forecasting Inflation in Latin America with Core Measures,"
MPRA Paper
80496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2019. "Forecasting inflation in Latin America with core measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1060-1071.
- Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Understanding inflation dynamics in the United States of America (USA): A univariate approach," MPRA Paper 92460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Forecasting with a Random Walk," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(6), pages 539-564, December.
- Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016.
"The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation,"
International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
- Carlos Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo Pincheira, 2014. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 725, Central Bank of Chile.
- Felipe Leal & Carlos Molina & Eduardo Zilberman, 2020. "Proyección de la Inflación en Chile con Métodos de Machine Learning," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 860, Central Bank of Chile.
- Dejan Zivkov & Marina Gajic-Glamoclija & Jelena Kovacevic & Sanja Loncar, 2020. "Inflation Uncertainty and Output Growth - Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Countries Based on the Multiscale Bayesian Quantile Inference," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 70(5), pages 461-486, November.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Forecasting Brazilian Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Assessing the Predictive Role of Trading Partners," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 900, Central Bank of Chile.
- Chris Heaton & Natalia Ponomareva & Qin Zhang, 2020. "Forecasting models for the Chinese macroeconomy: the simpler the better?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 139-167, January.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2015.
"Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2014.
"The typical spectral shape of an economic variable: a visual guide,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1017-1024, September.
Cited by:
- Sibani, Paolo & Rasmussen, Steen, 2020. "Human wealth evolution: Trends and fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
- Fousekis, Panos & Tzaferi, Dimitra, 2021. "Returns and volume: Frequency connectedness in cryptocurrency markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 13-20.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2013.
"Does the Bic Estimate and Forecast Better than the Aic?,"
Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 28(1), pages 47-64, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos A. Medel & Sergio C. Salgado, 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better Than AIC?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 679, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A. & Salgado, Sergio C., 2012. "Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better than AIC?," MPRA Paper 42235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2013.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP,"
Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 657, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP," MPRA Paper 35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yan Carrière-Swallow & Carlos A. Medel V., 2011.
"Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(3), pages 75-82, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Yan Carrière–Swallow & Carlos Medel, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 647, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel V. & Michael Pedersen, 2010.
"Incertidumbre en las Series Desestacionalizadas de Actividad y Demanda en Chile,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(1), pages 63-72, April.
Cited by:
- Carlos J. García & Pablo González M. & Antonio Moncado S., 2013. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile: a Structural Bayesian Approach," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 16(1), pages 24-63, April.
- Marcus Cobb C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2010. "Una Estimación del Impacto del Efecto Calendario en Series Desestacionalizadas Chilenas de Actividad y Demanda," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(3), pages 95-103, December.
- Marcus Cobb C. & Carlos A. Medel V., 2010.
"Una Estimación del Impacto del Efecto Calendario en Series Desestacionalizadas Chilenas de Actividad y Demanda,"
Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 13(3), pages 95-103, December.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP,"
MPRA Paper
35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2012. "How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 657, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2013. "How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? The case of Chilean GDP," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 50(1), pages 133-161, May.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2012.
"How informative are in-sample information criteria to forecasting? the case of Chilean GDP,"
MPRA Paper
35949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 35 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (24) 2011-06-18 2012-01-25 2012-01-25 2012-02-27 2012-02-27 2012-07-29 2012-09-09 2012-11-11 2013-02-08 2014-05-04 2015-03-13 2015-03-13 2015-07-04 2015-07-25 2015-10-10 2016-02-23 2016-02-29 2016-03-06 2016-06-04 2016-06-09 2016-11-06 2017-04-23 2018-08-27 2021-03-01. Author is listed
- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (19) 2011-06-18 2014-07-28 2014-12-03 2015-03-13 2015-07-04 2015-07-04 2015-07-25 2015-07-25 2015-10-10 2016-03-06 2016-06-09 2016-06-14 2016-11-06 2017-01-01 2017-04-23 2017-07-02 2018-08-27 2018-08-27 2021-03-01. Author is listed
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (11) 2012-07-29 2012-09-09 2014-05-04 2015-03-13 2015-07-04 2015-10-10 2016-06-04 2016-06-09 2016-11-06 2017-04-23 2018-08-27. Author is listed
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (9) 2011-06-18 2012-07-29 2014-05-04 2015-07-25 2015-10-10 2016-06-09 2016-11-06 2017-04-23 2018-08-27. Author is listed
- NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (5) 2011-02-05 2015-07-04 2015-07-25 2016-02-23 2017-07-02. Author is listed
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (5) 2012-11-11 2013-02-08 2014-02-15 2015-03-13 2016-02-29. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (3) 2012-07-29 2012-11-11 2015-03-13
- NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2015-07-04 2016-06-04
- NEP-LAM: Central and South America (2) 2015-03-13 2017-01-01
- NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2011-02-05
- NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2011-02-05
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2012-07-29
- NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (1) 2017-08-27
- NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (1) 2017-07-02
- NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (1) 2014-02-15
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