My authors
Follow this author
Tanya Molodtsova
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2015.
"Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Working Papers
15-02, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Ince, Onur & Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2016. "Taylor rule deviations and out-of-sample exchange rate predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 22-44.
Cited by:
- Teona Shugliashvili, 2023. "The words have power: the impact of news on exchange rates," FFA Working Papers 5.006, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 31 Jul 2023.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022.
"Exchange rate parities and Taylor rule deviations,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1809-1835, October.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8961, CESifo.
- Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2022.
"Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations,"
Chemnitz Economic Papers
056, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Mar 2022.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," MPRA Paper 120648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Liu, Guangqiang, 2020. "Predicting exchange rate returns," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The behavior of exchange rate and stock returns in high and low interest rate environments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 138-149.
- He, Kaijian & Chen, Yanhui & Tso, Geoffrey K.F., 2018. "Forecasting exchange rate using Variational Mode Decomposition and entropy theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 15-25.
- Chang, Ming-Jen & Matsuki, Takashi, 2022. "Exchange rate forecasting with real-time data: Evidence from Western offshoots," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Dollar Real Exchange Rates and the Role of Real Activity Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- David Alaminos & M. Belén Salas & Manuel Á. Fernández-Gámez, 2023. "Quantum Monte Carlo simulations for estimating FOREX markets: a speculative attacks experience," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Michael Frenkel & Matthias Mauch & Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2017. "Forecaster Rationality and Expectation Formation in Foreign Exchange Markets: Do Emerging Markets Differ from Industrialized Economies?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 17-04, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014.
"A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Borradores de Economia
12339, Banco de la Republica.
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014. "A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability," Borradores de Economia 857, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ojeda-Joya, Jair, 2019. "A consumption-based approach to exchange rate predictability," MPRA Paper 94231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph Agyapong, 2021. "Application of Taylor Rule Fundamentals in Forecasting Exchange Rates," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Lebogang Mateane & Christian R. Proaño, 2020. "Does monetary policy react asymmetrically to exchange rate misalignments? Evidence for South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1639-1658, April.
- Darvas, Zsolt & Schepp, Zoltán, 2024. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: Forecasting with long maturity forward rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Wada, Tatsuma, 2022. "Out-of-sample forecasting of foreign exchange rates: The band spectral regression and LASSO," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Chen, Chuanglian & Yao, Shujie & Ou, Jinghua, 2017. "Exchange rate dynamics in a Taylor rule framework," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 158-173.
- Joscha Beckmann & Dionysius Glycopantis & Keith Pilbeam, 2018. "The dollar–euro exchange rate and monetary fundamentals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1389-1410, June.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova, 2013.
"Real-Time Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Working Papers
13-03, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
Cited by:
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017.
"Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168291, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017. "Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 283-300.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017.
"Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168291, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tanya Molodtsova & David Papell, 2012.
"Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis,"
NBER Working Papers
18330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2012. "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 55-97, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2013. "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 9(1), pages 55-97.
Cited by:
- Refet S. Gürkaynak & Burcin Kisacikoglu & Sang Seok Lee, 2022.
"Exchange Rate and Inflation under Weak Monetary Policy: Turkey Verifies Theory,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9748, CESifo.
- Gürkaynak, Refet & Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin & Lee, Sang Seok, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Inflation under Weak Monetary Policy: Turkey Verifies Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 17248, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gürkaynak, Refet S. & Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin & Lee, Sang Seok, 2022. "Exchange rate and inflation under weak monetary policy: Turkey verifies theory," CFS Working Paper Series 679, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Hertrich Markus, 2019.
"A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany,"
German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, December.
- Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
- Hertrich, Markus, 2019. "A novel housing price misalignment indicator for Germany," Discussion Papers 31/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Raheem, Ibrahim, 2020. "Global financial cycles and exchange rate forecast: A factor analysis," MPRA Paper 105358, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014.
"Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World,"
Working Paper series
06_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-021, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2016. "Exchange rate predictability in a changing world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-24.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Papers 2014_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," MPRA Paper 53684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Papers 1403.0627, arXiv.org.
- Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2023. "Liquidity yield and exchange rate predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018.
"Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp276, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Working Papers in Economics 2018-8, University of Salzburg.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Papers 1811.08818, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2020. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 168-186, March.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022.
"Exchange rate parities and Taylor rule deviations,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1809-1835, October.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8961, CESifo.
- Ahmed, Jameel & Straetmans, Stefan, 2015. "Predicting exchange rate cycles utilizing risk factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 112-130.
- Eduardo Ramos-Pérez & Pablo J. Alonso-González & José Javier Núñez-Velázquez, 2021. "Multi-Transformer: A New Neural Network-Based Architecture for Forecasting S&P Volatility," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(15), pages 1-18, July.
- Gokcen Ogruk, 2014. "Is Implied Taylor Rule Interest Rate Applicable as a Carry Trade Strategy?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(4), pages 909-919.
- Gross, Jonas & Zahner, Johannes, 2021. "What is on the ECB’s mind? Monetary policy before and after the global financial crisis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Raheem, Ibrahim & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020.
"A new approach to exchange rate forecast: The role of global financial cycle and time-varying parameters,"
MPRA Paper
105359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ibrahim D. Raheem & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "A new approach to exchange rate forecast: The role of global financial cycle and time‐varying parameters," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2836-2848, July.
- Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2022.
"Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations,"
Chemnitz Economic Papers
056, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Mar 2022.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," MPRA Paper 120648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong, 2022.
"Exchange rate predictability with nine alternative models for BRICS countries,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim, 2021. "Exchange Rate Predictability with Nine Alternative Models for BRICS Countries," Working Papers 202116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014.
"On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability,"
MPRA Paper
58956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 2014_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-24, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018. "On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
- Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Dollar Real Exchange Rates and the Role of Real Activity Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2016.
"Heterogeneous agents, the financial crisis and exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 313-359.
- Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2014. "Heterogeneous Agents, the Financial Crisis and Exchange Rate Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series 1436, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised Oct 2015.
- Arizmendi, Luis-Felipe, 2013. "An extended model of currency options applicable as policy tool for central banks with inflation targeting and dollarized economies," MPRA Paper 52880, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Apr 2013.
- Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Can technical trading beat the foreign exchange market in times of crisis?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
- Jonas Gross & Johannes Zahner, 2020. "What's on the ECB's mind? - Monetary policy before and after the global financial crisis," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202008, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Barbara Rossi, 2012. "Comment on "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 106-116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael D. Bordo, 2017.
"An Historical Perspective on the Quest for Financial Stability and the Monetary Policy Regime,"
NBER Working Papers
24154, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael D. Bordo, 2017. "An Historical Perspective on the Quest for Financial Stability and the Monetary Policy Regime," Economics Working Papers 17108, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
- Zhang, Qian & Li, Zeguang, 2021. "Time-varying risk attitude and the foreign exchange market behavior," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Abdul-Rashid Abdul-Rahaman & Coleman Martha & Emmanuel Caesar Ayamba, 2024. "Exchange Rate Models and the Management of Forex Losses in Ghana: Modelling Exchange Rate Volatilities for Businesses," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 49(4), pages 679-703, November.
- Joseph Agyapong, 2021. "Application of Taylor Rule Fundamentals in Forecasting Exchange Rates," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Johannes Zahner, 2020. "Above, but close to two percent. Evidence on the ECB’s inflation target using text mining," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202046, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Eduardo Ramos-P'erez & Pablo J. Alonso-Gonz'alez & Jos'e Javier N'u~nez-Vel'azquez, 2021. "Multi-Transformer: A New Neural Network-Based Architecture for Forecasting S&P Volatility," Papers 2109.12621, arXiv.org.
- Aristidou, Chrystalleni & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2022. "Fundamentals, regimes and exchange rate forecasts: Insights from a meta exchange rate model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu & Rossi, Barbara, 2017.
"Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 55-67.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters," Economics Working Papers 1435, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2016.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," Working Papers 768, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Caraiani, Petre, 2017. "Evaluating exchange rate forecasts along time and frequency," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 60-81.
- Tomas Adam & Sona Benecka & Jakub Mateju, 2014. "Risk Aversion, Financial Stress and Their Non-Linear Impact on Exchange Rates," Working Papers 2014/07, Czech National Bank.
- Ince, Onur & Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2016.
"Taylor rule deviations and out-of-sample exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 22-44.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2015. "Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 15-02, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Souropanis, Ioannis, 2019. "The role of technical indicators in exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 197-221.
- Young Se Kim & Gwi Hwan Seol, 2016. "Monetary Policy Regime Shifts and Uncovered Interest Parity Revisited: The Euro–US Dollar Exchange Rate," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 360-378, July.
- Capasso Salvatore & Oreste Napolitano & Ana Laura Vivero, 2023. "The Financial Conditions Index as an additional tool for policymakers in developing countries: the Mexican case," CSEF Working Papers 664, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Martin Casta, 2022. "How Credit Improves the Exchange Rate Forecast," Working Papers 2022/7, Czech National Bank.
- Froyen, Richard T. & Guender, Alfred V., 2018. "The real exchange rate in Taylor rules: A Re-Assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 140-151.
- Joscha Beckmann & Dionysius Glycopantis & Keith Pilbeam, 2018. "The dollar–euro exchange rate and monetary fundamentals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1389-1410, June.
- Tanya, Molodtsova & Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Papell, David, 2008.
"Taylor Rules and the Euro,"
MPRA Paper
11348, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tanya Molodtsova & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy & David H. Papell, 2011. "Taylor Rules and the Euro," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43, pages 535-552, March.
- Tanya Molodtsova & Alex Nikolsko‐Rzhevskyy & David H. Papell, 2011. "Taylor Rules and the Euro," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(2‐3), pages 535-552, March.
Cited by:
- Teona Shugliashvili, 2023. "The words have power: the impact of news on exchange rates," FFA Working Papers 5.006, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 31 Jul 2023.
- Huber, Florian, 2017.
"Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models — Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 48-52.
- Florian Huber, 2017. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp244, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian, 2017. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 244, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018.
"Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp276, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Working Papers in Economics 2018-8, University of Salzburg.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Papers 1811.08818, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2020. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 168-186, March.
- de Truchis, Gilles & Dell’Eva, Cyril & Keddad, Benjamin, 2017.
"On exchange rate comovements: New evidence from a Taylor rule fundamentals model with adaptive learning,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 82-98.
- Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad & Cyril Dell'Eva, 2017. "On exchange rate comovements: New evidence from a Taylor rule fundamentals model with adaptive learning," Post-Print hal-01635867, HAL.
- Charles Engel, 2013.
"Exchange Rates and Interest Parity,"
NBER Working Papers
19336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Engel, Charles, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 453-522, Elsevier.
- Carlos Lenz & Marcel R. Savioz, 2009. "Monetary determinants of the Swiss franc," Working Papers 2009-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Martin McCarthy, Stephen Snudden, 2024. "Forecasts of Period-Average Exchange Rates: New Insights from Real-Time Daily Data," LCERPA Working Papers jc0148, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised Oct 2024.
- Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
- Christophe Amat & Tomasz Michalski & Gilles Stoltz, 2018.
"Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods,"
Working Papers
halshs-01003914, HAL.
- Amat, Christophe & Michalski, Tomasz & Stoltz, Gilles, 2018. "Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-24.
- Onur Ince, 2013.
"Forecasting Exchange Rates Out-of-Sample with Panel Methods and Real-Time Data,"
Working Papers
13-04, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Ince, Onur, 2014. "Forecasting exchange rates out-of-sample with panel methods and real-time data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-18.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014.
"On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability,"
MPRA Paper
58956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 2014_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-24, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018. "On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
- Verona, Fabio & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Drumond, Inês, 2017.
"Financial shocks, financial stability, and optimal Taylor rules,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 187-207.
- Verona, Fabio & Martins, Manuel M. F. & Drumond, Inês, 2014. "Financial shocks, financial stability, and optimal Taylor rules," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2014, Bank of Finland.
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Donggyu Sul & Nelson Mark & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2017.
"Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors,"
NBER Working Papers
23726, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ryan Greenaway‐McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2018. "Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(4), pages 2193-2218, November.
- Biswas, Anindya, 2014. "The output gap and expected security returns," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 131-140.
- F. Pancotto & G. Pignataro & D. Raggi, 2014. "Higher order beliefs and the dynamics of exchange rates," Working Papers wp957, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Kenneth Rogoff, 2009. "Exchange rates in the modern floating era: what do we really know?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 145(1), pages 1-12, April.
- Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2016.
"Heterogeneous agents, the financial crisis and exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 313-359.
- Buncic, Daniel & Piras, Gion Donat, 2014. "Heterogeneous Agents, the Financial Crisis and Exchange Rate Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series 1436, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised Oct 2015.
- Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva, 2008. "The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 14071, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Huber, Florian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2019. "Threshold cointegration in international exchange rates:A Bayesian approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 458-473.
- Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2017. "The Relevance of the Monetary Model for the Euro / USD Exchange Rate Determination: a Long Run Perspective," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(5), pages 989-1010, November.
- Barbara Rossi, 2012. "Comment on "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 106-116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Berg, Kimberly A. & Mark, Nelson C., 2015.
"Third-country effects on the exchange rate,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 227-243.
- Nelson Mark & Kimberly Berg, 2013. "Third-Country Effects on the Exchange Rate," 2013 Meeting Papers 1050, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mateusz Machaj, 2016. "Can the Taylor Rule be a Good Guidance for Policy? The Case of 2001-2008 Real Estate Bubble," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(4), pages 381-395.
- Fratzscher, Marcel & Rime, Dagfinn & Sarno, Lucio & Zinna, Gabriele, 2015.
"The scapegoat theory of exchange rates: the first tests,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-21.
- Sarno, Lucio & Fratzscher, Marcel & Zinna, Gabriele, 2012. "The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates: The First Tests," CEPR Discussion Papers 8812, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marcel Fratzscher & Lucio Sarno & Gabriele Zinna, 2013. "The Scapegoat Theory of Exchange Rates: The First Tests," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1290, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Marcel Fratzscher & Dagfinn Rime & Lucio Sarno & Gabriele Zinna, 2014. "The scapegoat theory of exchange rates: the first tests," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 991, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Fratzscher, Marcel & Sarno, Lucio & Zinna, Gabriele, 2012. "The scapegoat theory of exchange rates: the first tests," Working Paper Series 1418, European Central Bank.
- Breen, John David & Hu, Liang, 2021. "The predictive content of oil price and volatility: New evidence on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Giray Gozgor, 2012. "Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy Rules: Further Evidence from the Case of Turkey," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 2(5), pages 1-7.
- Joseph Agyapong, 2021. "Application of Taylor Rule Fundamentals in Forecasting Exchange Rates," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Hsiu-Hsin Ko, 2016. "Exchange Rate Predictability in Finite Samples," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 361-378, September.
- Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2011. "A real-time historical database for the OECD," Globalization Institute Working Papers 96, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2010.
"Do Federal Reserve communications help predict federal funds target rate decisions?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1014-1024, December.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2009. "Do Federal Reserve Communications Help Predict Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 200925, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Hsiu-Hsin Ko, 2016. "Exchange Rate Predictability in Finite Samples," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 361-378, September.
- Ince, Onur & Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2016.
"Taylor rule deviations and out-of-sample exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 22-44.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2015. "Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 15-02, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Prodan, Ruxandra, 2012. "Markov switching and exchange rate predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 353-365.
- Anton, Roman, 2015. "Monetary Development and Transmission in the Eurosystem," MPRA Paper 67323, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Oct 2015.
- Heimonen, Kari & Junttila, Juha & Kärkkäinen, Samu, 2017. "Stock market and exchange rate information in the Taylor rule: Evidence from OECD countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-18.
- David Alan Peel & Pantelis Promponas, 2016. "Forecasting the nominal exchange rate movements in a changing world. The case of the U.S. and the U.K," Working Papers 144439514, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Solikin M. Juhro & Dinh Hoang Bach Phan, 2018. "Can Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate And Its Volatility? Evidence From Asean Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(2), pages 251-268, October.
- Joscha Beckmann & Dionysius Glycopantis & Keith Pilbeam, 2018. "The dollar–euro exchange rate and monetary fundamentals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1389-1410, June.
Articles
- Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2013.
"Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis,"
NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 9(1), pages 55-97.
- Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2012. "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 55-97, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
See citations under working paper version above.- Tanya Molodtsova & David Papell, 2012. "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 18330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tanya Molodtsova & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy & David H. Papell, 2011.
"Taylor Rules and the Euro,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43, pages 535-552, March.
- Tanya Molodtsova & Alex Nikolsko‐Rzhevskyy & David H. Papell, 2011. "Taylor Rules and the Euro," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(2‐3), pages 535-552, March.
See citations under working paper version above.- Tanya, Molodtsova & Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Papell, David, 2008. "Taylor Rules and the Euro," MPRA Paper 11348, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2009.
"Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability with Taylor rule fundamentals,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 167-180, April.
Cited by:
- Teona Shugliashvili, 2023. "The words have power: the impact of news on exchange rates," FFA Working Papers 5.006, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 31 Jul 2023.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2014.
"Non-Linear Exchange Rate Relationships: An Automated Model Selection Approach with Indicator Saturation,"
Working Papers
1405, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2016. "Non-linear exchange rate relationships: An automated model selection approach with indicator saturation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 84-109.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2016.
"Model uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive models,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 115-131.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," MPRA Paper 58131, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 15-35, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 1408, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-011, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models," Working Papers 2014_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Paper series 39_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Yuchen Zhang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "The Predictability of the Exchange Rate When Combining Machine Learning and Fundamental Models," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-16, March.
- Huber, Florian, 2017.
"Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models — Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 48-52.
- Florian Huber, 2017. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp244, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian, 2017. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 244, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Rime, Dagfinn & Sarno, Lucio & Sojli, Elvira, 2010.
"Exchange rate forecasting, order flow and macroeconomic information,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 72-88, January.
- Dagfinn Rime & Lucio Sarno & Elvira Sojli, 2007. "Exchange rate forecasting, order flow and macroeconomic information," Working Paper 2007/02, Norges Bank.
- Sarno, Lucio & Rime, Dagfinn & Sojli, Elvira, 2009. "Exchange Rate Forecasting, Order Flow and Macroeconomic Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 7225, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Juan José Echavarría & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Santiago Téllez & Mauricio Villamizar, 2013.
"The Impact of Pre-announced Day-to-day Interventions on the Colombian Exchange Rate,"
Borradores de Economia
10767, Banco de la Republica.
- Juan José Echavarría & Luis Fernando Melo velandia & Santiago Téllez & Mauricio Villamizar Villegas, 2013. "The Impact of Pre-announced Day-to-day Interventions on the Colombian Exchange Rate," Borradores de Economia 767, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Juan J. Echavarría & Luis F. Melo-Velandia & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2018. "The impact of pre-announced day-to-day interventions on the Colombian exchange rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1319-1336, November.
- Juan José Echavarría & Luis Fernando Melo & Santiago Téllez & Mauricio Villamizar, 2013. "The impact of pre-announced day-to-day interventions on the Colombian exchange rate," BIS Working Papers 428, Bank for International Settlements.
- Apergis, Nicholas & Zestos, George K. & Shaltayev, Dmitriy S., 2012. "Do market fundamentals determine the Dollar–Euro exchange rate?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 1-15.
- Yuri S. Popkov & Alexey Yu. Popkov & Yuri A. Dubnov & Dimitri Solomatine, 2020. "Entropy-Randomized Forecasting of Stochastic Dynamic Regression Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-20, July.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014.
"Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World,"
Working Paper series
06_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-021, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2016. "Exchange rate predictability in a changing world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-24.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Papers 2014_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," MPRA Paper 53684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Papers 1403.0627, arXiv.org.
- Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2015.
"Nested forecast model comparisons: A new approach to testing equal accuracy,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 160-177.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009. "Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy," Research Working Paper RWP 09-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2009. "Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy," Working Papers 2009-050, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2023. "Liquidity yield and exchange rate predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018.
"Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp276, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Working Papers in Economics 2018-8, University of Salzburg.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Papers 1811.08818, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2020. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 168-186, March.
- Apergis, Nicholas, 2014. "Can gold prices forecast the Australian dollar movements?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 75-82.
- de Truchis, Gilles & Dell’Eva, Cyril & Keddad, Benjamin, 2017.
"On exchange rate comovements: New evidence from a Taylor rule fundamentals model with adaptive learning,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 82-98.
- Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad & Cyril Dell'Eva, 2017. "On exchange rate comovements: New evidence from a Taylor rule fundamentals model with adaptive learning," Post-Print hal-01635867, HAL.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017. "Exchange rate expectations and economic policy uncertainty," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 148-162.
- Viktoria Hnatkovska & Amartya Lahiri & Carlos A. Vegh, 2008.
"Interest Rates and the Exchange Rate: A Non-Monotonic Tale,"
NBER Working Papers
13925, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hnatkovska, Viktoria & Lahiri, Amartya & Vegh, Carlos A., 2013. "Interest rate and the exchange rate: A non-monotonic tale," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 68-93.
- Jan Prüser, 2019. "Adaptive learning from model space," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 29-38, January.
- Emilio Colombo & Matteo Pelagatti, 2019.
"Statistical Learning and Exchange Rate Forecasting,"
DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo
dis1901, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
- Colombo, Emilio & Pelagatti, Matteo, 2020. "Statistical learning and exchange rate forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1260-1289.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022.
"Exchange rate parities and Taylor rule deviations,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1809-1835, October.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2021. "Exchange Rate Parities and Taylor Rule Deviations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8961, CESifo.
- Ferraro, Domenico & Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara, 2015. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 116-141.
- Mikhail Golosov & David Evans & anmol bhandari, 2017. "Risk and Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model," 2017 Meeting Papers 1359, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Ahmed, Jameel & Straetmans, Stefan, 2015. "Predicting exchange rate cycles utilizing risk factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 112-130.
- Ron Alquist & Menzie D. Chinn, 2008.
"Conventional and unconventional approaches to exchange rate modelling and assessment,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 2-13.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Ron Alquist, 2006. "Conventional and Unconventional Approaches to Exchange Rate Modeling and Assessment," NBER Working Papers 12481, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
- Daniel Andrés Jaimes Cárdenas & jair Ojeda Joya, 2010.
"Reglas de Taylor y previsibilidad fuera de muestra de la tasa de cambio en Latinoamérica,"
Borradores de Economia
7308, Banco de la Republica.
- Daniel Andrés Jaimes Cárdenas & Jair Ojeda Joya, 2010. "Reglas de Taylor y previsibilidad fuera de muestra de la tasa de cambio en Latinoamérica," Borradores de Economia 619, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Charles Engel, 2013.
"Exchange Rates and Interest Parity,"
NBER Working Papers
19336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Engel, Charles, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 453-522, Elsevier.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2012.
"Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?,"
NBER Working Papers
17998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?," Working Papers 11-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?," Economics Working Papers 1461, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jan 2015.
- Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara & Ferraro, Domenico, 2011. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8635, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 11-05, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 803, Barcelona School of Economics.
- M S Eichenbaum & B K Johannsen & S T Rebelo, 2021.
"Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(1), pages 192-228.
- Martin S. Eichenbaum & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Sergio Rebelo, 2017. "Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-037, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Rebelo, Sérgio & Eichenbaum, Martin & Johannsen, Benjamin, 2017. "Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 11844, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin Eichenbaum & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Sergio Rebelo, 2017. "Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 23158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2012.
"Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors,"
Working Papers
212012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Nelson Mark, 2012. "Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors," Working Papers 011, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2012.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 466-477.
- T. Berger & B. Kempa & -, 2010.
"Taylor rules and the Canadian-US equilibrium exchange rate,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
10/643, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd, 2012. "Taylor rules and the Canadian–US equilibrium exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1060-1075.
- Gitanjali Kumar, 2013. "High-Frequency Real Economic Activity Indicator for Canada," Staff Working Papers 13-42, Bank of Canada.
- Andrew Lilley & Matteo Maggiori & Brent Neiman & Jesse Schreger, 2019.
"Exchange Rate Reconnect,"
NBER Working Papers
26046, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Maggiori, Matteo & Lilley, Andrew & Neiman, Brent & Schreger, Jesse, 2020. "Exchange Rate Reconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 13869, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrew Lilley & Matteo Maggiori & Brent Neiman & Jesse Schreger, 2022. "Exchange Rate Reconnect," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 845-855, October.
- Hongcheng Ding & Xuanze Zhao & Zixiao Jiang & Shamsul Nahar Abdullah & Deshinta Arrova Dewi, 2024. "EUR-USD Exchange Rate Forecasting Based on Information Fusion with Large Language Models and Deep Learning Methods," Papers 2408.13214, arXiv.org.
- Gokcen Ogruk, 2014. "Is Implied Taylor Rule Interest Rate Applicable as a Carry Trade Strategy?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(4), pages 909-919.
- Iregui, Ana María & Núñez, Héctor M. & Otero, Jesús, 2021. "Testing the efficiency of inflation and exchange rate forecast revisions in a changing economic environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 290-314.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2015.
"Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics,"
KOF Working papers
15-393, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 87(348), pages 1016-1036, October.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp214, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 214, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Florian, Huber & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2019. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Working Papers in Economics 2019-4, University of Salzburg.
- Medel, Carlos & Camilleri, Gilmour & Hsu, Hsiang-Ling & Kania, Stefan & Touloumtzoglou, Miltiadis, 2015.
"Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-based Modelling After the Financial Crisis,"
MPRA Paper
65290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel & Gilmour Camilleri & Hsiang-Ling Hsu & Stefan Kania & Miltiadis Touloumtzoglou, 2016. "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-Based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 784, Central Bank of Chile.
- Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
- Joscha Beckmann & Rainer Schüssler, 2014. "Forecasting Exchange Rates under Model and Parameter Uncertainty," CQE Working Papers 3214, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Christophe Amat & Tomasz Michalski & Gilles Stoltz, 2018.
"Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods,"
Working Papers
halshs-01003914, HAL.
- Amat, Christophe & Michalski, Tomasz & Stoltz, Gilles, 2018. "Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-24.
- Raheem, Ibrahim & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020.
"A new approach to exchange rate forecast: The role of global financial cycle and time-varying parameters,"
MPRA Paper
105359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ibrahim D. Raheem & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2022. "A new approach to exchange rate forecast: The role of global financial cycle and time‐varying parameters," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2836-2848, July.
- Piotr Kotlarz & Michael Hanke & Sebastian Stöckl, 2023. "Regime-dependent drivers of the EUR/CHF exchange rate," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-18, December.
- Khayat, Guillaume A., 2018. "The impact of setting negative policy rates on banking flows and exchange rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-10.
- Kenneth D. West, 2012.
"Econometric Analysis of Present Value Models When the Discount Factor Is near One,"
NBER Working Papers
18247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- West, Kenneth D., 2012. "Econometric analysis of present value models when the discount factor is near one," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(1), pages 86-97.
- Papahristodoulou, Christos, 2019. "Is there any theory that explains the SEK?," MPRA Paper 95072, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jul 2019.
- Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011.
"Exchange Rate Dynamics under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules,"
Working Papers
1116, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011. "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules," CESifo Working Paper Series 3577, CESifo.
- Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011. "Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules," Working Papers 362011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2011.
"Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size,"
Working Papers
11-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue, 2012. "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 432-453, April.
- Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi, 2011. "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size," CEPR Discussion Papers 8542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue, 2012. "Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size," Economics Working Papers 1404, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "The behavior of exchange rate and stock returns in high and low interest rate environments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 138-149.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2010. "Reality checks and nested forecast model comparisons," Working Papers 2010-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Tian, Guangning & Peng, Yuchao & Meng, Yuhao, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil prices in the COVID-19 era: Can machine learn better?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park, 2014.
"Can Monetary Policy Cause the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle?,"
Discussion Paper Series
1404, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Park, Cheolbeom & Park, Sookyung, 2017. "Can monetary policy cause the uncovered interest parity puzzle?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 34-44.
- Engel, Charles & Lee, Dohyeon & Liu, Chang & Liu, Chenxin & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2019.
"The uncovered interest parity puzzle, exchange rate forecasting, and Taylor rules,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 317-331.
- Charles Engel & Dohyeon Lee & Chang Liu & Chenxin Liu & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2017. "The Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle, Exchange Rate Forecasting, and Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 24059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bacchetta, Philippe & van Wincoop, Eric & Beutler, Toni, 2009.
"Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7383, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2010. "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 125-173, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2009. "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 09.08, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2010. "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 6(1), pages 125-173.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop & Toni Beutler, 2009. "Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?," Working Papers 09.04, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Hyein Shim & Hyeyoen Kim & Sunghyun Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2016. "Testing the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis: the case of Korea," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(25), pages 2383-2395, May.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Masao Ogaki, 2011.
"Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2011-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Ippei Fujiwara & Bruce E. Hansen & Masao Ogaki, 2015. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 874-903, September.
- Masao Ogaki & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2009. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule," Working Papers 09-03, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
- Masao Ogaki & Bruce E. Hansen & Ippei Fujiwara & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2013. "Purchasing power parity and the Taylor rule," AJRC Working Papers 1305, Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Ippei Fujiwara & Bruce E. Hansen & Masao Ogaki, 2013. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule," CAMA Working Papers 2013-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chen, Qianying, 2011. "Exchange rate dynamics, expectations, and monetary policy," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,18, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2012. "Rational expectations, changing monetary policy rules, and real exchange rate dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2824-2836.
- Tanya Molodtsova & Alex Nikolsko‐Rzhevskyy & David H. Papell, 2011.
"Taylor Rules and the Euro,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(2‐3), pages 535-552, March.
- Tanya, Molodtsova & Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Papell, David, 2008. "Taylor Rules and the Euro," MPRA Paper 11348, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tanya Molodtsova & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy & David H. Papell, 2011. "Taylor Rules and the Euro," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43, pages 535-552, March.
- Levent Bulut, 2015. "Google Trends and Forecasting Performance of Exchange Rate Models," IPEK Working Papers 1505, Ipek University, Department of Economics.
- Jiang, Lei, 2014. "Stock liquidity and the Taylor rule," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 202-214.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong, 2022.
"Exchange rate predictability with nine alternative models for BRICS countries,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Won Joong Kim, 2021. "Exchange Rate Predictability with Nine Alternative Models for BRICS Countries," Working Papers 202116, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Onur Ince, 2013.
"Forecasting Exchange Rates Out-of-Sample with Panel Methods and Real-Time Data,"
Working Papers
13-04, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Ince, Onur, 2014. "Forecasting exchange rates out-of-sample with panel methods and real-time data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-18.
- Kim, Young Min & Lee, Seojin, 2020. "Exchange rate predictability: A variable selection perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 117-134.
- Jiang, Chun & Jian, Na & Liu, Tie-Ying & Su, Chi-Wei, 2016. "Purchasing power parity and real exchange rate in Central Eastern European countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 349-358.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Schüssler, Rainer, 2016. "Forecasting exchange rates under parameter and model uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 267-288.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014.
"On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability,"
MPRA Paper
58956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 2014_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-24, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018. "On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
- Prasad S Bhattacharya & Dimitrios D Thomakos, 2011. "Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging," CAMA Working Papers 2011-05, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hao Xu & Cheng Xu & Yanqi Sun & Jin Peng & Wenqizi Tian & Yan He, 2024. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Based on Integration of Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) and CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(3), pages 1539-1567, September.
- Sarno, Lucio & Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul, 2016.
"Currency Value,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
11324, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2017. "Currency Value," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(2), pages 416-441.
- Ahmed, Shamim & Liu, Xiaoquan & Valente, Giorgio, 2016. "Can currency-based risk factors help forecast exchange rates?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 75-97.
- Kouwenberg, Roy & Markiewicz, Agnieszka & Verhoeks, Ralph & Zwinkels, Remco C. J., 2017. "Model Uncertainty and Exchange Rate Forecasting," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 341-363, February.
- Engel, Charles & Kazakova, Katya & Wang, Mengqi & Xiang, Nan, 2022.
"A reconsideration of the failure of uncovered interest parity for the U.S. dollar,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Engel, Charles & Kazakova, Ekaterina & Wang, Mengqi & Xiang, Nan, 2021. "A Reconsideration of the Failure of Uncovered Interest Parity for the U.S. Dollar," CEPR Discussion Papers 15872, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Charles Engel & Ekaterina Kazakova & Mengqi Wang & Nan Xiang, 2021. "A Reconsideration of the Failure of Uncovered Interest Parity for the US Dollar," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Charles Engel & Ekaterina Kazakova & Mengqi Wang & Nan Xiang, 2021. "A Reconsideration of the Failure of Uncovered Interest Parity for the U.S. Dollar," NBER Working Papers 28420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Wang, Rudan & Morley, Bruce & Stamatogiannis, Michalis P., 2019. "Forecasting the exchange rate using nonlinear Taylor rule based models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 429-442.
- Takumi Ito & Fumiko Takeda, 2022. "Do sentiment indices always improve the prediction accuracy of exchange rates?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 840-852, July.
- Feng, Wenjun & Zhang, Zhengjun, 2023. "Currency exchange rate predictability: The new power of Bitcoin prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Vania Stavrakeva & Jenny Tang, 2015. "Exchange rates and monetary policy," Working Papers 15-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Chang, Ming-Jen & Matsuki, Takashi, 2022. "Exchange rate forecasting with real-time data: Evidence from Western offshoots," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Donggyu Sul & Nelson Mark & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2017.
"Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors,"
NBER Working Papers
23726, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ryan Greenaway‐McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2018. "Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(4), pages 2193-2218, November.
- Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2011.
"A Macro-Finance Approach to Exchange Rate Determination,"
Working Papers
012011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang, 2009. "A Macro-Finance Approach to Exchange Rate Determination," Working Papers UWEC-2009-24-R, University of Washington, Department of Economics, revised May 2010.
- Takumi Ito & Motoki Masuda & Ayaka Naito & Fumiko Takeda, 2021. "Application of Google Trends‐based sentiment index in exchange rate prediction," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1154-1178, November.
- Dong, Wei & Nam, Deokwoo, 2013. "Exchange rates and individual good's price misalignment: Evidence of long-horizon predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 611-636.
- Philip Bertram & Teresa Flock & Jun Ma & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2022. "Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in a new Markov‐STAR Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 356-379, April.
- Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Dollar Real Exchange Rates and the Role of Real Activity Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Emilio Colombo & Gianfranco Forte & Roberto Rossignoli, 2017.
"Carry trade returns with Support Vector Machines,"
DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo
dis1705, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
- Emilio Colombo & Gianfranco Forte & Roberto Rossignoli, 2019. "Carry Trade Returns with Support Vector Machines," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 19(3), pages 483-504, September.
- Hsiu-Hsin Ko & Masao Ogaki, 2013.
"Granger Causality from Exchange Rates to Fundamentals: What Does the Bootstrap Test Show Us?,"
RCER Working Papers
577, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
- Ko, Hsiu-Hsin & Ogaki, Masao, 2015. "Granger causality from exchange rates to fundamentals: What does the bootstrap test show us?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 198-206.
- Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2012. "The Taylor Rule and Forecast Intervals for Exchange Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(1), pages 103-144, February.
- Demosthenes N. Tambakis & Nikola Tarashev, 2012. "Systematic monetary policy and the forward premium puzzle," BIS Working Papers 396, Bank for International Settlements.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mise, Emi, 2014. "Forecasting exchange rates using panel model and model averaging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 32-40.
- F. Pancotto & G. Pignataro & D. Raggi, 2014. "Higher order beliefs and the dynamics of exchange rates," Working Papers wp957, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Young Min Kim & Seojin Lee, 2017. "The Role of Unobservable Fundamentals in Korea Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Bayesian Approach," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 23(3), pages 1-22, September.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2023.
"Forecasting inflation: The use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 514-529, April.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation: The Use of Dynamic Factor Analysis and Nonlinear Combinations," Discussion Papers 22-12, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
- Stephen G. Hall & George S. Tavlas & Yongli Wang, 2023. "Forecasting inflation: the use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations," Working Papers 314, Bank of Greece.
- Bulut Levent & Dogan Can, 2018. "Google Trends and Structural Exchange Rate Models for Turkish Lira–US Dollar Exchange Rate," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-12, August.
- Abbate, Angela & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2016.
"Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models,"
Discussion Papers
19/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Abbate, Angela, 2016. "Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11559, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Angela Abbate & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 181(1), pages 155-179, January.
- David Alaminos & M. Belén Salas & Manuel Á. Fernández-Gámez, 2023. "Quantum Monte Carlo simulations for estimating FOREX markets: a speculative attacks experience," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Ren, Yu & Liang, Xuanxuan & Wang, Qin, 2021. "Short-term exchange rate forecasting: A panel combination approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Paul De Grauwe & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2006.
"Learning to Forecast the Exchange Rate: Two Competing Approaches,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006
367, Society for Computational Economics.
- De Grauwe, Paul & Markiewicz, Agnieszka, 2013. "Learning to forecast the exchange rate: Two competing approaches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 42-76.
- Paul De Grauwe & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2006. "Learning to Forecast the Exchange Rate: Two Competing Approaches," CESifo Working Paper Series 1717, CESifo.
- Hokuto Ishii, 2018. "Modeling and Predictability of Exchange Rate Changes by the Extended Relative Nelson–Siegel Class of Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-15, August.
- Yin Germaschewski & Jaroslav Horvath & Jiansheng Zhong, 2022. "Oral interventions in the foreign exchange market: evidence from Australia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2713-2737, June.
- Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2020.
"Out of sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates,"
UC3M Working papers. Economics
31554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Jesus Gonzalo & Jean-Yves Pitarakis, 2023. "Out of Sample Predictability in Predictive Regressions with Many Predictor Candidates," Papers 2302.02866, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2024. "Out-of-sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1166-1178.
- José Luiz Rossi Júnior & Pedro Fontoura & Marina Rossi, 2023. "Are Global Factors Useful for Forecasting the Exchange Rate?," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(6), pages 1-14.
- Schüssler, Rainer & Beckmann, Joscha & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2018.
"Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning,"
VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy
181523, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, J & Koop, G & Korobilis, D & Schüssler, R, 2017. "Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20781, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Joscha Beckmann & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis & Rainer Alexander Schüssler, 2020. "Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 410-421, June.
- Melvin, Michael & Prins, John & Shand, Duncan, 2013.
"Forecasting Exchange Rates: an Investor Perspective,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 721-750,
Elsevier.
- Michael Melvin & John Prins & Duncan Shand, 2013. "Forecasting Exchange Rates: An Investor Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4238, CESifo.
- Travis J. Berge, 2011.
"Forecasting disconnected exchange rates,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 11-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Travis J. Berge, 2014. "Forecasting Disconnected Exchange Rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 713-735, August.
- Michael Frenkel & Matthias Mauch & Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2017. "Forecaster Rationality and Expectation Formation in Foreign Exchange Markets: Do Emerging Markets Differ from Industrialized Economies?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 17-04, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Marins, Jaqueline Terra Moura, 2017.
"Evaluation of exchange rate point and density forecasts: An application to Brazil,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 707-728.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2016. "Evaluation of Exchange Rate Point and Density Forecasts: an application to Brazil," Working Papers Series 446, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Huber, Florian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2019. "Threshold cointegration in international exchange rates:A Bayesian approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 458-473.
- Liu, Li & Tan, Siming & Wang, Yudong, 2020. "Can commodity prices forecast exchange rates?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Dick, Christian D. & MacDonald, Ronald & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2015.
"Exchange rate forecasts and expected fundamentals,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 235-256.
- Dick, Christian D. & MacDonald, Ronald & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2014. "Exchange rate forecasts and expected fundamentals," Kiel Working Papers 1974, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and Forecast Errors about Persistently Trending Fundamentals," Working Papers 1501, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Forecasting the CNY-CNH pricing differential: The role of investor attention," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 232-247.
- Kharrat, Sabrine & Hammami, Yacine & Fatnassi, Ibrahim, 2020. "On the cross-sectional relation between exchange rates and future fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 484-501.
- Muhammad Owais Qarni & Saiqb Gulzar, 2021. "Portfolio diversification benefits of alternative currency investment in Bitcoin and foreign exchange markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-37, December.
- Dladla, Pholile & Malikane, Christopher, 2019. "Stock return predictability: Evidence from a structural model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 412-424.
- Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang & Yin, Libo, 2018. "Does investor attention matter? The attention-return relationships in FX markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 644-660.
- Mariia Artemova & Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Zhaokun Zhang, 2021. "Forecasting in a changing world: from the great recession to the COVID-19 pandemic," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-006/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Jean-Yves Pitarakis, 2020. "A Novel Approach to Predictive Accuracy Testing in Nested Environments," Papers 2008.08387, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Jamali, Ibrahim & Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability in emerging markets: Fundamentals versus technical analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-263.
- Wei, Jie & Zhang, Yonghui, 2020. "A time-varying diffusion index forecasting model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Zorzi, Michele Ca’ & Rubaszek, Michał, 2020.
"Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Michele Ca' Zorzi & Michal Rubaszek, 2018. "Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_025, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Rubaszek, Michał & Ca' Zorzi, Michele, 2018. "Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin," Working Paper Series 2151, European Central Bank.
- Barbara Rossi, 2012. "Comment on "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 106-116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Junttila, Juha & Korhonen, Marko, 2011. "Nonlinearity and time-variation in the monetary model of exchange rates," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 288-302, June.
- Berg, Kimberly A. & Mark, Nelson C., 2015.
"Third-country effects on the exchange rate,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 227-243.
- Nelson Mark & Kimberly Berg, 2013. "Third-Country Effects on the Exchange Rate," 2013 Meeting Papers 1050, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, October –.
- Kelly Burns, 2016. "A Reconsideration of the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle: An Alternative Approach to Model Estimation and Forecast Evaluation," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 20(1), pages 41-83, March.
- Wu, Jyh-Lin & Wang, Yi-Chiuan, 2013. "Fundamentals, forecast combinations and nominal exchange-rate predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 129-145.
- Michael Funke & Julius Loermann & Richhild Moessner, 2017. "The discontinuation of the EUR/CHF minimum exchange rate in January 2015: was it expected?," BIS Working Papers 652, Bank for International Settlements.
- Zhang, Qian & Li, Zeguang, 2021. "Time-varying risk attitude and the foreign exchange market behavior," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014.
"A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Borradores de Economia
12339, Banco de la Republica.
- Jair N. Ojeda-Joya, 2014. "A Consumption-Based Approach to Exchange Rate Predictability," Borradores de Economia 857, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ojeda-Joya, Jair, 2019. "A consumption-based approach to exchange rate predictability," MPRA Paper 94231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023.
"Transformed regression-based long-horizon predictability tests,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2022. "Transformed Regression-based Long-Horizon Predictability Tests," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 30620, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Works, Richard Floyd, 2016. "Econometric modeling of exchange rate determinants by market classification: An empirical analysis of Japan and South Korea using the sticky-price monetary theory," MPRA Paper 76382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph Agyapong, 2021. "Application of Taylor Rule Fundamentals in Forecasting Exchange Rates," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, June.
- Hsiu-Hsin Ko, 2016. "Exchange Rate Predictability in Finite Samples," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 361-378, September.
- Hai Long Vo & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "The purchasing power parity and exchange‐rate economics half a century on," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 446-479, April.
- Barry A. Goss & S. Gulay Avsar, 2016. "Can Economists Forecast Exchange Rates? The Debate Re-Visited: The Case of the USD/GBP Market," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 14-28, March.
- Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2013.
"Adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 493-509.
- Leonardo Morales-Arias & Alexander Dross, 2010. "Adaptive Forecasting of Exchange Rates with Panel Data," Research Paper Series 285, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Nima Zarrabi & Stuart Snaith & Jerry Coakley, 2022. "Exchange rate forecasting using economic models and technical trading rules," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(10), pages 997-1018, July.
- Arteta, Carlos & Kamin, Steven B. & Vitanza, Justin, 2011.
"The puzzling peso,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1814-1835.
- Carlos Arteta & Steven B. Kamin & Justin Vitanza, 2009. "The puzzling peso," International Finance Discussion Papers 976, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Fehmi Özsoy & Nükhet Doðan, 2022. "Deterministic Effects of Volatility on Mixed Frequency GARCH in Means MIDAS Model: Evidence from Turkey," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, March.
- Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2017. "Selecting exchange rate fundamentals by bootstrap," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 894-914.
- Ponomareva, Natalia & Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2019. "Forecasting exchange rates using principal components," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2018. "Understanding the sources of the exchange rate disconnect puzzle: A variance decomposition approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 267-287.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2014. "Risk Assessment of the Brazilian FX Rate," Working Papers Series 344, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- de Souza Vasconcelos, Camila & Hadad Júnior, Eli, 2023. "Forecasting exchange rate: A bibliometric and content analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 607-628.
- Ren, Yu & Wang, Qin & Zhang, Xiangyu, 2019. "Short-term exchange rate predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 148-152.
- Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2011. "A real-time historical database for the OECD," Globalization Institute Working Papers 96, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Galimberti, Jaqueson K. & Moura, Marcelo L., 2010.
"Taylor Rules and Exchange Rate Predictability in Emerging Economies,"
Insper Working Papers
wpe_214, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
- Galimberti, Jaqueson K. & Moura, Marcelo L., 2013. "Taylor rules and exchange rate predictability in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1008-1031.
- Wei Dong & Deokwoo Nam, 2011. "Exchange Rates and Individual Good’s Price Misalignment: Some Preliminary Evidence of Long-Horizon Predictability," Discussion Papers 11-8, Bank of Canada.
- Rudan Wang & Bruce Morley & Javier Ordóñez, 2015.
"The Taylor Rule, Wealth Effects and the Exchange Rate,"
Working Papers
2015/08, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
- Rudan Wang & Bruce Morley & Javier Ordóñez, 2016. "The Taylor Rule, Wealth Effects and the Exchange Rate," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 282-301, May.
- Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2012. "An International Dynamic Term Structure Model with Economic Restrictions and Unspanned Risks," Staff Working Papers 12-5, Bank of Canada.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Claessens, Stijn, 2017.
"Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: A survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1718, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Claessens,Stijn & Kose,Ayhan, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes : a survey," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8259, The World Bank.
- Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: a survey," BIS Working Papers 676, Bank for International Settlements.
- Muhammad Owais Qarni & Saqib Gulzar, 2020. "Intra-EMU and non-EMU, EU stock markets’ return spillover: evidence from ESDC," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 543-577, August.
- Bodo Herzog & Lana dos Santos, 2021. "Google Search in Exchange Rate Models: Hype or Hope?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-40, October.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova, 2013. "Real-Time Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 13-03, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Takashi Matsuki & Ming-Jen Chang, 2016. "Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Forecasting and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: The Case of Japan," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 409-433, December.
- Aristidou, Chrystalleni & Lee, Kevin & Shields, Kalvinder, 2022. "Fundamentals, regimes and exchange rate forecasts: Insights from a meta exchange rate model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Neumann, Federico, 2020.
"Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
- Pincheira, Pablo & Neumann, Federico, 2018. "Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile," MPRA Paper 90432, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu, 2014. "Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers 10168, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Klaassen, Franc & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2024. "Exchange market pressure in interest rate rules," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Piotr Dybka, 2020. "One model or many? Exchange rates determinants and their predictive capabilities," KAE Working Papers 2020-053, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
- Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2017.
"Forecasting in the presence of in and out of sample breaks,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
WP2018-014, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Nov 2018.
- Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2015. "Forecasting in the presence of in and out of sample breaks," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-012, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Yu-Hsi Chou, 2017. "Dissecting Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in the Modern Floating Era: The Role of Permanent and Transitory Shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 165-194, February.
- Anwar Khayat, 2015. "Negative Policy Rates, Banking Flows and Exchange Rates," Working Papers halshs-01203609, HAL.
- Dahlquist, Magnus & Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2020. "Economic momentum and currency returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 152-167.
- Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu & Rossi, Barbara, 2017.
"Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 55-67.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters," Economics Working Papers 1435, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2016.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," Working Papers 768, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Jorge Carvalho & Gualter Couto & Pedro Pimentel, 2022. "EUR/USD Exchange Rate Characterization: Study of Events," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-14, November.
- Caraiani, Petre, 2017. "Evaluating exchange rate forecasts along time and frequency," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 60-81.
- Hsiu-Hsin Ko, 2016. "Exchange Rate Predictability in Finite Samples," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 361-378, September.
- Tasadduq Imam, 2021. "Model selection for one‐day‐ahead AUD/USD, AUD/EUR forecasts," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1808-1824, April.
- Ardic, Oya Pinar & Ergin, Onur & Senol, G. Bahar, 2008. "Exchange Rate Forecasting: Evidence from the Emerging Central and Eastern European Economies," MPRA Paper 7505, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Xiaolan Jia & Xinfeng Ruan & Jin E. Zhang, 2021. "The implied volatility smirk of commodity options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 72-104, January.
- Kempa, Bernd & Riedel, Jana, 2013. "Nonlinearities in exchange rate determination in a small open economy: Some evidence for Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 268-278.
- Ishii, Hokuto, 2020. "Arbitrage-free relative Nelson–Siegel model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
- Opie, Wei & Riddiough, Steven J., 2020. "Global currency hedging with common risk factors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(3), pages 780-805.
- Natalia Ponomareva & Jeffrey Sheen & Ben Zhe Wang, 2019. "The common component of bilateral US exchange rates: to what is it related?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1251-1268, April.
- Toni Beutler, 2012. "Forecasting Exchange Rates with Commodity Convenience Yields," Working Papers 12.03, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Ince, Onur & Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2016.
"Taylor rule deviations and out-of-sample exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 22-44.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2015. "Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 15-02, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Prodan, Ruxandra, 2012. "Markov switching and exchange rate predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 353-365.
- Wada, Tatsuma, 2022. "Out-of-sample forecasting of foreign exchange rates: The band spectral regression and LASSO," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Peter H. Sullivan, 2013. "Finding a Connection Between Exchange Rates and Fundamentals, How Should We Model Revisions to Forecasting Strategies?," 2013 Papers psu387, Job Market Papers.
- Lee, Seojin & Kim, Young Min, 2019. "Inflation expectation, monetary policy credibility, and exchange rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
- Shiu-Sheng, Chen, 2012. "Predicting swings in exchange rates with macro fundamentals," MPRA Paper 35772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Krystian Jaworski, 2021. "Forecasting exchange rates for Central and Eastern European currencies using country‐specific factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 977-999, September.
- Haskamp, Ulrich, 2017. "Forecasting exchange rates: The time-varying relationship between exchange rates and Taylor rule fundamentals," Ruhr Economic Papers 704, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Anwar Khayat, 2015. "Negative Policy Rates, Banking Flows and Exchange Rates," AMSE Working Papers 1538, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised Sep 2015.
- Kempa, Bernd & Wilde, Wolfram, 2011. "Sources of exchange rate fluctuations with Taylor rule fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2622-2627.
- Joseph Zhi Bin Ling & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2021. "Trading Macro-Cycles of Foreign Exchange Markets Using Hybrid Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-20, September.
- Cho, Dooyeon & Doblas-Madrid, Antonio, 2014. "Trade intensity and purchasing power parity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 194-209.
- David Alan Peel & Pantelis Promponas, 2016. "Forecasting the nominal exchange rate movements in a changing world. The case of the U.S. and the U.K," Working Papers 144439514, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Eric Hillebrand & Jakob Mikkelsen & Lars Spreng & Giovanni Urga, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: Evidence of Instabilities from Time-Varying Factor Loadings," CREATES Research Papers 2020-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Juan de Dios Tena & Edoardo Otranto, 2011. "A realistic model for official interest rate movements and their consequences," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(29), pages 4431-4447.
- Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas & Wei Wang, 2015.
"Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 293-341.
- Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas & Wei Wang, 2014. "Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?," Working Paper series 05_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Luca Brugnolini & Antonello D’Agostino & Alex Tagliabracci, 2021. "Is Anything Predictable in Market-Based Surprises?," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 7(3), pages 387-410, November.
- Davood Pirayesh Neghab & Mucahit Cevik & M. I. M. Wahab, 2023. "Explaining Exchange Rate Forecasts with Macroeconomic Fundamentals Using Interpretive Machine Learning," Papers 2303.16149, arXiv.org.
- Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Souropanis, Ioannis, 2019. "The role of technical indicators in exchange rate forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 197-221.
- Norman C. Miller, 2014. "Exchange Rate Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14981.
- Young Se Kim & Gwi Hwan Seol, 2016. "Monetary Policy Regime Shifts and Uncovered Interest Parity Revisited: The Euro–US Dollar Exchange Rate," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 360-378, July.
- Pignataro, Giuseppe & Raggi, Davide & Pancotto, Francesca, 2024. "On the role of fundamentals, private signals, and beauty contests to predict exchange rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 687-705.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Gospodinov, Nikolay & Jamali, Ibrahim & Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Foreign exchange predictability and the carry trade: A decomposition approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 199-211.
- Clarida, Richard H., 2014. "Monetary policy in open economies: Practical perspectives for pragmatic central bankers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 21-30.
- Solat, Karo & Tsang, Kwok Ping, 2021. "Forecasting exchange rates with elliptically symmetric principal components," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1085-1091.
- Wilde, Wolfram, 2012. "The influence of Taylor rule deviations on the real exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 51-61.
- You, Yu & Liu, Xiaochun, 2020. "Forecasting short-run exchange rate volatility with monetary fundamentals: A GARCH-MIDAS approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Piersanti, Fabio Massimo & Rizzati, Massimiliano & Nakmai, Siwat, 2016. "Foreign exchange rates with the Taylor rule and VECMs," MPRA Paper 68888, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Mar 2016.
- Chen, Chuanglian & Yao, Shujie & Ou, Jinghua, 2017. "Exchange rate dynamics in a Taylor rule framework," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 158-173.
- José Valentim Machado Vicente & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2021. "Impacts of the Monetary Policy Committee Decisions on the Foreign Exchange Rate in Brazil," Working Papers Series 552, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Hagedorn, Marcus, 2021.
"An Equilibrium Theory of Nominal Exchange Rates,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16517, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marcus Hagedorn, 2021. "An Equilibrium Theory of Nominal Exchange Rates," CESifo Working Paper Series 9290, CESifo.
- Simiso MSOMI & Harold NGALAWA, 2023. "The Movement of Exchange Rate and Expected Income: Case of South Africa," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 7(2), pages 65-89.
- Leandro Maciel & Rosangela Ballini, 2021. "Functional Fuzzy Rule-Based Modeling for Interval-Valued Data: An Empirical Application for Exchange Rates Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 743-771, February.
- Molodtsova, Tanya & Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Papell, David H., 2008.
"Taylor rules with real-time data: A tale of two countries and one exchange rate,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(Supplemen), pages 63-79, October.
Cited by:
- Teona Shugliashvili, 2023. "The words have power: the impact of news on exchange rates," FFA Working Papers 5.006, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 31 Jul 2023.
- Neuenkirch, Matthias & Siklos, Pierre L., 2013.
"What's in a second opinion? Shadowing the ECB and the Bank of England,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 135-148.
- Matthias Neuenkirch & Pierre Siklos, 2011. "What’s in a Second Opinion? Shadowing the ECB and the Bank of England," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201131, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Matthias Neuenkirch & Pierre L. Siklos, 2013. "What's in a Second Opinion? Shadowing the ECB and the Bank of England," CAMA Working Papers 2013-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Huber, Florian, 2017.
"Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models — Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 48-52.
- Florian Huber, 2017. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp244, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian, 2017. "Structural breaks in Taylor rule based exchange rate models - Evidence from threshold time varying parameter models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 244, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014.
"Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World,"
Working Paper series
06_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-021, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2016. "Exchange rate predictability in a changing world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-24.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Papers 2014_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," MPRA Paper 53684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Papers 1403.0627, arXiv.org.
- Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2023. "Liquidity yield and exchange rate predictability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018.
"Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions,"
Department of Economics Working Paper Series
276, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp276, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Working Papers in Economics 2018-8, University of Salzburg.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2018. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Papers 1811.08818, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber, 2020. "Model instability in predictive exchange rate regressions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 168-186, March.
- Colacito, Riccardo & Riddiough, Steven J. & Sarno, Lucio, 2020.
"Business cycles and currency returns,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 659-678.
- Sarno, Lucio & Colacito, Ric & Riddiough, Steven, 2019. "Business Cycles and Currency Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 14015, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Riccardo Colacito & Steven J. Riddiough & Lucio Sarno, 2019. "Business Cycles and Currency Returns," NBER Working Papers 26299, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024.
"Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Papers 2004.04984, arXiv.org.
- Ferraro, Domenico & Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara, 2015. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates? An empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 116-141.
- Daniel Andrés Jaimes Cárdenas & jair Ojeda Joya, 2010.
"Reglas de Taylor y previsibilidad fuera de muestra de la tasa de cambio en Latinoamérica,"
Borradores de Economia
7308, Banco de la Republica.
- Daniel Andrés Jaimes Cárdenas & Jair Ojeda Joya, 2010. "Reglas de Taylor y previsibilidad fuera de muestra de la tasa de cambio en Latinoamérica," Borradores de Economia 619, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Charles Engel, 2013.
"Exchange Rates and Interest Parity,"
NBER Working Papers
19336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Engel, Charles, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 453-522, Elsevier.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2012.
"Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?,"
NBER Working Papers
17998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?," Working Papers 11-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?," Economics Working Papers 1461, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jan 2015.
- Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara & Ferraro, Domenico, 2011. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8635, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 11-05, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 803, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Martin McCarthy, Stephen Snudden, 2024. "Forecasts of Period-Average Exchange Rates: New Insights from Real-Time Daily Data," LCERPA Working Papers jc0148, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised Oct 2024.
- Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2015.
"Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1-2), pages 32-55, February.
- Nelson Mark, 2008. "Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates," Working Papers 012, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2012.
- Charles Engel & Nelson C. Mark & Kenneth D. West, 2012. "Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 18382, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2012.
"The Taylor Rule and Forecast Intervals for Exchange Rates,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(1), pages 103-144, February.
- Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2008. "The Taylor rule and forecast intervals for exchange rates," Globalization Institute Working Papers 22, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2009. "The Taylor rule and forecast intervals for exchange rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 963, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2012.
"Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors,"
Working Papers
212012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Nelson Mark, 2012. "Exchange Rates as Exchange Rate Common Factors," Working Papers 011, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2012.
- Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2011.
"Monetary Policy Estimation in Real Time: Forward-Looking Taylor Rules without Forward-Looking Data,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 871-897, August.
- Alex Nikolsko‐Rzhevskyy, 2011. "Monetary Policy Estimation in Real Time: Forward‐Looking Taylor Rules without Forward‐Looking Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 871-897, August.
- Champagne, Julien & Sekkel, Rodrigo, 2018.
"Changes in monetary regimes and the identification of monetary policy shocks: Narrative evidence from Canada,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 72-87.
- Julien Champagne & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Changes in Monetary Regimes and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: Narrative Evidence from Canada," 2018 Meeting Papers 128, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Julien Champagne & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "Changes in Monetary Regimes and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: Narrative Evidence from Canada," Staff Working Papers 17-39, Bank of Canada.
- Christophe Amat & Tomasz Michalski & Gilles Stoltz, 2018.
"Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods,"
Working Papers
halshs-01003914, HAL.
- Amat, Christophe & Michalski, Tomasz & Stoltz, Gilles, 2018. "Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-24.
- Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2022.
"Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations,"
Chemnitz Economic Papers
056, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Mar 2022.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Fundamental determinants of exchange rate expectations," MPRA Paper 120648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011.
"Exchange Rate Dynamics under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules,"
Working Papers
1116, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011. "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules," CESifo Working Paper Series 3577, CESifo.
- Mahir Binici & Yin-Wong Cheung, 2011. "Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Alternative Optimal Interest Rate Rules," Working Papers 362011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Muhammad Arshad Khan & Ather Maqsood Ahmed, 2016. "Conducting Monetary Policy in South Asian Economies: An Investigation," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 161-190.
- Engel, Charles & Lee, Dohyeon & Liu, Chang & Liu, Chenxin & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2019.
"The uncovered interest parity puzzle, exchange rate forecasting, and Taylor rules,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 317-331.
- Charles Engel & Dohyeon Lee & Chang Liu & Chenxin Liu & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2017. "The Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle, Exchange Rate Forecasting, and Taylor Rules," NBER Working Papers 24059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- López-Villavicencio, Antonia, 2013. "Interest rates, government purchases and the Taylor rule in recessions and expansions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 382-392.
- Zisimos Koustas & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2009.
"Instrumental variable estimation of a nonlinear Taylor rule,"
Working Papers
0909, Brock University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2010.
- Zisimos Koustas & Jean-François Lamarche, 2012. "Instrumental variable estimation of a nonlinear Taylor rule," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Masao Ogaki, 2011.
"Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule,"
Auburn Economics Working Paper Series
auwp2011-02, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Ippei Fujiwara & Bruce E. Hansen & Masao Ogaki, 2015. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(6), pages 874-903, September.
- Masao Ogaki & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2009. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule," Working Papers 09-03, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
- Masao Ogaki & Bruce E. Hansen & Ippei Fujiwara & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2013. "Purchasing power parity and the Taylor rule," AJRC Working Papers 1305, Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hyeongwoo Kim & Ippei Fujiwara & Bruce E. Hansen & Masao Ogaki, 2013. "Purchasing Power Parity and the Taylor Rule," CAMA Working Papers 2013-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chen, Shiu-Sheng & Chou, Yu-Hsi, 2012. "Rational expectations, changing monetary policy rules, and real exchange rate dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2824-2836.
- Bartram, Söhnke & Djuranovik, Leslie & Garratt, Anthony, 2021. "Currency Anomalies," CEPR Discussion Papers 15653, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jiang, Lei, 2014. "Stock liquidity and the Taylor rule," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 202-214.
- Marek RUSNAK, 2013. "Revisions to the Czech National Accounts: Properties and Predictability," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(3), pages 244-261, July.
- Onur Ince, 2013.
"Forecasting Exchange Rates Out-of-Sample with Panel Methods and Real-Time Data,"
Working Papers
13-04, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Ince, Onur, 2014. "Forecasting exchange rates out-of-sample with panel methods and real-time data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-18.
- Conrad, Christian & Eife, Thomas A., 2012.
"Explaining inflation-gap persistence by a time-varying Taylor rule,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 419-428.
- Conrad, Christian & Eife, Thomas A., 2012. "Explaining Inflation-Gap Persistence by a Time-Varying Taylor Rule," Working Papers 0521, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Kamber, Günes, 2010. "Inflation dynamics under habit formation in hours," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(3), pages 269-272, September.
- Jiang, Chun & Jian, Na & Liu, Tie-Ying & Su, Chi-Wei, 2016. "Purchasing power parity and real exchange rate in Central Eastern European countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 349-358.
- Xueting Yu & Yuhan Zhu & Guangming Lv, 2020. "Analysis of the Impact of China’s GDP Data Revision on Monetary Policy from the Perspective of Uncertainty," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(6), pages 1251-1274, May.
- Xiangrong Yu, 2013.
"Measurement Error and Policy Evaluation in the Frequency Domain,"
Working Papers
172013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Yu, Xiangrong, 2013. "Measurement error and policy evaluation in the frequency domain," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 307-329.
- Dean Croushore, 2008.
"Frontiers of real-time data analysis,"
Working Papers
08-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Dean Croushore, 2011. "Frontiers of Real-Time Data Analysis," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 72-100, March.
- Nguyen Anh D. M. & Pavlidis Efthymios G. & Peel David A., 2018. "Modeling changes in US monetary policy with a time-varying nonlinear Taylor rule," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(5), pages 1-17, December.
- Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex, 2008. "Monetary Policy Evaluation in Real Time: Forward-Looking Taylor Rules Without Forward-Looking Data," MPRA Paper 11352, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sarno, Lucio & Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul, 2016.
"Currency Value,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
11324, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2017. "Currency Value," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(2), pages 416-441.
- Khalid, Norlin & Abdul Karim, Zulkefly & Yussof, Izzuddin, 2014. "Testing a Non-Linear Model of Monetary Policy Reaction Function: Evidence from Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 48(2), pages 19-27.
- Wang, Rudan & Morley, Bruce & Stamatogiannis, Michalis P., 2019. "Forecasting the exchange rate using nonlinear Taylor rule based models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 429-442.
- Chang, Ming-Jen & Matsuki, Takashi, 2022. "Exchange rate forecasting with real-time data: Evidence from Western offshoots," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy & Donggyu Sul & Nelson Mark & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2017.
"Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors,"
NBER Working Papers
23726, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ryan Greenaway‐McGrevy & Nelson C. Mark & Donggyu Sul & Jyh‐Lin Wu, 2018. "Identifying Exchange Rate Common Factors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(4), pages 2193-2218, November.
- Takumi Ito & Motoki Masuda & Ayaka Naito & Fumiko Takeda, 2021. "Application of Google Trends‐based sentiment index in exchange rate prediction," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1154-1178, November.
- Sarthak Behera & Hyeongwoo Kim, 2019. "Forecasting Dollar Real Exchange Rates and the Role of Real Activity Factors," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2019-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Anh Nguyen & Efthymios Pavlidis & David Alan Peel, 2016. "Modeling changes in U.S. monetary policy," Working Papers 127876159, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Chiara Scotti, 2011. "A Bivariate Model of Federal Reserve and ECB Main Policy Rates," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(3), pages 37-78, September.
- Biswas, Anindya, 2014. "The output gap and expected security returns," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 131-140.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mise, Emi, 2014. "Forecasting exchange rates using panel model and model averaging," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 32-40.
- F. Pancotto & G. Pignataro & D. Raggi, 2014. "Higher order beliefs and the dynamics of exchange rates," Working Papers wp957, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Tobias Rühl, 2015. "Taylor rules revisited: ECB and Bundesbank in comparison," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 951-967, May.
- Hokuto Ishii, 2018. "Modeling and Predictability of Exchange Rate Changes by the Extended Relative Nelson–Siegel Class of Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-15, August.
- Kenneth Rogoff, 2009. "Exchange rates in the modern floating era: what do we really know?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 145(1), pages 1-12, April.
- Ahmad, Saad, 2016. "A multiple threshold analysis of the Fed's balancing act during the Great Moderation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 343-358.
- Kenneth S. Rogoff & Vania Stavrakeva, 2008. "The Continuing Puzzle of Short Horizon Exchange Rate Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 14071, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Francisco Muñoz, 2012. "Monetary policy decisions by the world's central banks using real-time data," Documentos de Trabajo 426, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
- Marek Rusnak, 2013.
"Nowcasting Czech GDP in Real Time,"
Working Papers
2013/06, Czech National Bank.
- Rusnák, Marek, 2016. "Nowcasting Czech GDP in real time," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 26-39.
- Pranjal Rawat & Naveen Srinivasan, 2020. "Inflation Targeting in the United Kingdom: Is there evidence for Asymmetric Preferences?," Working Papers 2020-196, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
- Huber, Florian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2019. "Threshold cointegration in international exchange rates:A Bayesian approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 458-473.
- Frydman, Roman & Stillwagon, Joshua R., 2018. "Fundamental factors and extrapolation in stock-market expectations: The central role of structural change," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 189-198.
- Hürtgen, Patrick & Cloyne, James, 2014.
"The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy: A new measure for the United Kingdom,"
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy
100304, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Cloyne, James & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2014. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy: a new measure for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 493, Bank of England.
- James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy: A New Measure for the United Kingdom," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(4), pages 75-102, October.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017.
"Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168291, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017. "Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 283-300.
- Fernandez, Adriana Z. & Koenig, Evan F. & Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex, 2010. "Can alternative Taylor-rule specifications describe Federal Reserve policy decisions?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 733-757, November.
- Eleftheriou, Maria, 2017. "Did the Bundesbank react to the US dollar exchange rate?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 235-244.
- Berg, Kimberly A. & Mark, Nelson C., 2015.
"Third-country effects on the exchange rate,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 227-243.
- Nelson Mark & Kimberly Berg, 2013. "Third-Country Effects on the Exchange Rate," 2013 Meeting Papers 1050, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2011.
"Monetary Policy Analysis in Real-Time. Vintage Combination from a Real-Time Dataset,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
3372, CESifo.
- Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2011. "Monetary Policy Analysis in Real-Time. Vintage combination from a real-time dataset," CSEF Working Papers 274, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Klaassen, Franc & Jager, Henk, 2011. "Definition-consistent measurement of exchange market pressure," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 74-95, February.
- Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95, October –.
- Andersson, Fredrik N. G. & Kilman, Josefin, 2021. "A Study of the Romer and Romer Monetary Policy Shocks Using Revised Data," Working Papers 2021:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
- Michael Jetter & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2013. "Monetary Policy Shifts and the Forward Discount Puzzle," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10729, Universidad EAFIT.
- Michael Jetter & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy & Olena Ogrokhina, 2019. "Can policy shifts explain the forward discount puzzle?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1891-1909, December.
- Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2013.
"Adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 493-509.
- Leonardo Morales-Arias & Alexander Dross, 2010. "Adaptive Forecasting of Exchange Rates with Panel Data," Research Paper Series 285, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Granville, Brigitte & Mallick, Sushanta, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Russia: Identifying exchange rate shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 432-444, January.
- Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2011. "A real-time historical database for the OECD," Globalization Institute Working Papers 96, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Florian Huber & Thomas Zörner, 2017.
"Threshold cointegration and adaptive shrinkage,"
Department of Economics Working Papers
wuwp250, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Zörner, Thomas, 2017. "Threshold cointegration and adaptive shrinkage," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 250, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Rudan Wang & Bruce Morley & Javier Ordóñez, 2015.
"The Taylor Rule, Wealth Effects and the Exchange Rate,"
Working Papers
2015/08, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
- Rudan Wang & Bruce Morley & Javier Ordóñez, 2016. "The Taylor Rule, Wealth Effects and the Exchange Rate," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 282-301, May.
- Zisimos Koustas & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2010.
"Estimation of a nonlinear Taylor rule using real-time U.S. data,"
Working Papers
1005, Brock University, Department of Economics.
- Lamarche Jean-Francois & Koustasy Zisimos, 2012. "Estimation of a Nonlinear Taylor Rule Using Real-Time U.S. Data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(5), pages 1-26, December.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Claessens, Stijn, 2017.
"Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: A survey," CAMA Working Papers 2017-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1718, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Claessens,Stijn & Kose,Ayhan, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes : a survey," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8259, The World Bank.
- Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2017. "Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: a survey," BIS Working Papers 676, Bank for International Settlements.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova, 2013. "Real-Time Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 13-03, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Lebogang Mateane & Christian R. Proaño, 2020. "Does monetary policy react asymmetrically to exchange rate misalignments? Evidence for South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1639-1658, April.
- Carlos J. García & Pablo González M. & Antonio Moncado S., 2013. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Chile: a Structural Bayesian Approach," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 16(1), pages 24-63, April.
- Yu-Hsi Chou, 2017. "Dissecting Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in the Modern Floating Era: The Role of Permanent and Transitory Shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 165-194, February.
- Moccero, Diego & Gnabo, Jean-Yves, 2015. "The risk management approach to monetary policy, nonlinearity and aggressiveness: the case of the US Fed," Working Paper Series 1792, European Central Bank.
- Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2009. "Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability with Taylor rule fundamentals," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 167-180, April.
- Ince, Onur & Molodtsova, Tanya & Papell, David H., 2016.
"Taylor rule deviations and out-of-sample exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 22-44.
- Onur Ince & Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2015. "Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 15-02, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
- Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Alex & Prodan, Ruxandra, 2012. "Markov switching and exchange rate predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 353-365.
- Krystian Jaworski, 2021. "Forecasting exchange rates for Central and Eastern European currencies using country‐specific factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 977-999, September.
- Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Moccero, Diego Nicolas, 2015. "Risk management, nonlinearity and aggressiveness in monetary policy: The case of the US Fed," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 281-294.
- Adriana Fernandez & Evan F. Koenig & Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, 2008. "The relative performance of alternative Taylor rule specifications," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jun.
- Haskamp, Ulrich, 2017. "Forecasting exchange rates: The time-varying relationship between exchange rates and Taylor rule fundamentals," Ruhr Economic Papers 704, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Yan, Isabel K. & Kakkar, Vikas, 2010. "The equilibrium real exchange rate of China: a productivity approach," MPRA Paper 35229, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Alan Peel & Pantelis Promponas, 2016. "Forecasting the nominal exchange rate movements in a changing world. The case of the U.S. and the U.K," Working Papers 144439514, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Salem Abo‐Zaid & Huiying Chen & Ahmed Kamara, 2021. "A fiscal perspective on nominal GDP targeting," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(4), pages 1641-1660, October.
- Yu Guo And Wei Ma, 2016. "Time-Varying Coefficient Taylor Rule and Chinese Monetary Policy: Evidence from the Time-Varying Cointegration," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 41(4), pages 27-44, December.
- Joscha Beckmann & Michael Kühl, 2017. "The Role for Long-run Target Values of the Exchange Rate in the Bank of Japan's Policy Reaction Function," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(9), pages 1836-1865, September.
Chapters
- Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2012.
"Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis,"
NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2012, pages 55-97,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tanya Molodtsova & David H. Papell, 2013. "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 9(1), pages 55-97.
See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.- Tanya Molodtsova & David Papell, 2012. "Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting During the Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 18330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.