James Mitchell
Personal Details
First Name: | James |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Mitchell |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | pmi127 |
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public] | |
https://sites.google.com/view/jamesmitchell | |
Terminal Degree: | 1999 Faculty of Economics; University of Cambridge (from RePEc Genealogy) |
Affiliation
Economic Research
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Cleveland, Ohio (United States)https://www.clevelandfed.org/our-research/
RePEc:edi:efrbcus (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers Articles ChaptersWorking papers
- Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation," Working Papers 24-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Edward S. Knotek & James Mitchell & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff, 2024.
"The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance,"
Working Papers
24-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Knotek, Edward S & Mitchell, James & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Shiroff, Taylor, 2024. "The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers’ Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13758, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Ilias Chronopoulos & Katerina Chrysikou & George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos, 2023.
"Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models,"
Papers
2305.19921, arXiv.org.
- Ilias Chronopoulos & Katerina Chrysikou & George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos, 2023. "Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models," Working Papers 23-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Gary Koop & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023.
"Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting,"
Working Papers
23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023. "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers 2311, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Ilias Filippou & James Mitchell & My T. Nguyen, 2023. "The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales?," Working Papers 23-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Saeed Zaman, 2023. "The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 23-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Tony Chernis & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023.
"Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function,"
Papers
2311.12671, arXiv.org.
- Tony Chernis & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function," Working Papers 23-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Tony Chernis & Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function," Staff Working Papers 23-61, Bank of Canada.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022. "Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-04, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics,"
Working Papers
22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 790-812, August.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US,"
Working Papers
22-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2022.
"Bayesian Modeling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees,"
Papers
2209.11970, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2020. "Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 2308, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2023.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates,"
Working Papers
22-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2024. "Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 626-640.
- James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2021.
"Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation,"
Working Papers
21-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 16 Aug 2022.
- James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2023. "Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 714-734, August.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2021.
"Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16417, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2024. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 81-114, February.
- Ana Galvao & James Mitchell, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-06, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Ana B. Galvão & James Mitchell, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP," Working Papers 21-28R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 13 Jul 2022.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2021.
"Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2021. "Nowcasting ‘True’ Monthly U.S. Gdp During The Pandemic," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 256, pages 44-70, April.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 35, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," EMF Research Papers 37, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?," EMF Research Papers 33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," EMF Research Papers 20, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James & Runge, Johnny, 2019. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," EMF Research Papers 30, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2019. "Forecasting with Unknown Unknowns: Censoring and Fat Tails on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee," EMF Research Papers 27, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- van der Bles, Anne Marthe & van der Liden, Sander & Freeman, Alessandra L. J. & Mitchell, James & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Spiegelhalter, David J., 2019. "Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science," EMF Research Papers 22, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell & Johnny Runge, 2019. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-20, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty : An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth," EMF Research Papers 24, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell, 2018.
"UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model,"
Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers
ESCoE DP-2018-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell, 2018. "UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model," Working Papers 1805, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Knut Are Aastveit & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2018. "The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018.
"R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019. "R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
- Mitchell, James & Robertson, Donald & Wright, Stephen, 2016. "What univariate models tell us about multivariate macroeconomic models," EMF Research Papers 08, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Fawcett, Nicholas & Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Price, Simon, 2014.
"Generalised density forecast combinations,"
Bank of England working papers
492, Bank of England.
- Kapetanios, G. & Mitchell, J. & Price, S. & Fawcett, N., 2015. "Generalised density forecast combinations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 150-165.
- N. Fawcett & G. Kapetanios & J. Mitchell & S. Price, 2014. "Generalised Density Forecast Combinations," CAMA Working Papers 2014-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Probability Forecasting for Inflation Warnings from the Federal Reserve," EMF Research Papers 07, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Fawcett, Nicholas & Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Price, Simon, 2013. "Generalised Density Forecast Combinations," EMF Research Papers 05, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Kapetanios, George & James Mitchell & Yongcheol Shin, 2013. "A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence," EMF Research Papers 03, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Mitchell, James, 2013. "The Recalibrated and Copula Opinion Pools," EMF Research Papers 02, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun, 2013. "Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 01, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- James Mitchell & George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin, 2012.
"A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
12/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Shin, Yongcheol, 2014. "A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(2), pages 134-157.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2010. "A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 370, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2011. "Mortality in the British Panel Household Survey: a Test of a Standard Treatment for Non-Response," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 384, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2011.
"Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty,"
CAMA Working Papers
2011-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 268-279.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2011.
"Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
11/53, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2013. "Efficient Aggregation Of Panel Qualitative Survey Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 580-603, June.
- Mitchell, J. & Solomou, S. & Weale, M., 2011.
"Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
1155, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Mitchell, James & Solomou, Solomos & Weale, Martin, 2012. "Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 543-556.
- James Mitchell & Solomos Solomou & Martin Weale, 2011. "Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain," CESifo Working Paper Series 3602, CESifo.
- George Kapetanios & James Mitchell & Yongcheol Shin, 2010. "A Nonlinear Panel Model of Cross-sectional Dependence," Working Papers 673, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009.
"Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
0910, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2011. "Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 77-87, January.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2010. "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," CAMA Working Papers 2010-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ida Wolden Bache & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009.
"Macro modelling with many models,"
Working Paper
2009/15, Norges Bank.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Macro Modelling with Many Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 337, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Mitchell, J. & Solomou, S. & Weale, M., 2009.
"Monthly and Quarterly GDP Estimates for Interwar Britain,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0949, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Monthly and quarterly GDP estimates for interwar Britain," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 348_2, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2009.
"The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
343, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2011. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1128-1146, October.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009.
"Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
0909, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring output gap uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 7742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 342, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009.
"Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities,"
Working Paper
2009/23, Norges Bank.
- Wolden Bache, Ida & Sofie Jore, Anne & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2011. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 1659-1670, October.
- Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2008.
"Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise?,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
323, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Silvia Lui & James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2011. "Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise?," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 174(2), pages 327-348, April.
- Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2008.
"Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities,"
Working Paper
2008/01, Norges Bank.
- Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 621-634.
- Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/18, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2007. "Qualitative Expectational Data as Predictors of Income and Consumption Growth: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 286, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2007.
"The Rationality and Reliability of Expectations Reported by British Households: Micro Evidence from the British Household Panel Survey,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
287, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin R., 2007. "The rationality and reliability of expectations reported by British households: micro evidence from the British household panel survey," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,19, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Troy Matheson & James Mitchell & Brian Silverstone, 2007. "Nowcasting and predicting data revisions in real time using qualitative panel survey data," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2005. "Poverty and Debt," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 263, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- James Mitchell, 2005. "Should we be surprised by the unreliability of real-time output gap estimates? Density estimates for the Euro area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 52, Society for Computational Economics.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2005.
"Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
266, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Mitchell, James & Mouratidis, Kostas & Weale, Martin, 2007. "Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 245-252, February.
- Brian Silverstone & James Mitchell, 2005. "Insights into Business Confidence from Firm-Level Panel Data," Working Papers in Economics 05/09, University of Waikato.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2004. "Optimal combination of density forecasts," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 248, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- James Mitchell & Michael Massmann, 2004.
"Reconsidering the evidence: are Eurozone business cycles converging?,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003
67, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Massmann, Michael & Mitchell, James, 2003. "Reconsidering the evidence: Are Eurozone business cycles converging," ZEI Working Papers B 05-2003, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2001.
"Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data,"
National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers
181, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2002. "Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(478), pages 117-135, March.
repec:fip:fedcwq:98080 is not listed on IDEAS
repec:qmw:qmwecw:wp673 is not listed on IDEAS
Articles
- Ilias Filippou & Christian Garciga & James Mitchell & My T. Nguyen, 2024. "Regional Economic Sentiment: Constructing Quantitative Estimates from the Beige Book and Testing Their Ability to Forecast Recessions," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2024(08), pages 1-8, April.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2024.
"Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 626-640.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022. "Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," Working Papers 22-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024.
"Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 790-812, August.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2024.
"Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multiwave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 81-114, February.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 16417, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ana Galvao & James Mitchell, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2021-06, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Ana B. Galvão & James Mitchell, 2021. "Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP," Working Papers 21-28R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 13 Jul 2022.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023. "Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
- James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2023.
"Censored density forecasts: Production and evaluation,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 714-734, August.
- James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2021. "Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation," Working Papers 21-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 16 Aug 2022.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2023. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the United States," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 563-577, April.
- Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell, 2022. "A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2022(14), pages 1-7, October.
- Mazzi Gian Luigi & Mitchell James & Carausu Florabela, 2021.
"Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics,"
Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 37(2), pages 289-316, June.
- Mazzi Gian Luigi & Mitchell James & Carausu Florabela, 2021. "Measuring and Communicating the Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 37(2), pages 289-316, June.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2021.
"Nowcasting ‘True’ Monthly U.S. Gdp During The Pandemic,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 256, pages 44-70, April.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2021. "Nowcasting 'true' monthly US GDP during the pandemic," CAMA Working Papers 2021-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates And Nowcasts Of Regional Output In The Uk," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 253, pages 44-59, August.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell, 2020. "UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(1), pages 91-119, January.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 176-197, March.
- James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019.
"R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
- Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018. "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Kapetanios, G. & Mitchell, J. & Price, S. & Fawcett, N., 2015.
"Generalised density forecast combinations,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 150-165.
- N. Fawcett & G. Kapetanios & J. Mitchell & S. Price, 2014. "Generalised Density Forecast Combinations," CAMA Working Papers 2014-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Fawcett, Nicholas & Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Price, Simon, 2014. "Generalised density forecast combinations," Bank of England working papers 492, Bank of England.
- Kapetanios, George & Mitchell, James & Shin, Yongcheol, 2014.
"A nonlinear panel data model of cross-sectional dependence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(2), pages 134-157.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2010. "A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-sectional Dependence," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 370, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- James Mitchell & George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin, 2012. "A Nonlinear Panel Data Model of Cross-Sectional Dependence," Discussion Papers in Economics 12/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Gian Luigi Mazzi & James Mitchell & Gaetana Montana, 2014. "Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(2), pages 233-256, April.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014.
"Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 268-279.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2011. "Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2011-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2013.
"Efficient Aggregation Of Panel Qualitative Survey Data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 580-603, June.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2011. "Efficient Aggregation of Panel Qualitative Survey Data," Discussion Papers in Economics 11/53, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Mitchell, James & Solomou, Solomos & Weale, Martin, 2012.
"Monthly GDP estimates for inter-war Britain,"
Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 543-556.
- James Mitchell & Solomos Solomou & Martin Weale, 2011. "Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain," CESifo Working Paper Series 3602, CESifo.
- Mitchell, J. & Solomou, S. & Weale, M., 2011. "Monthly GDP Estimates for Inter-War Britain," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1155, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Silvia Lui & James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2011.
"Qualitative business surveys: signal or noise?,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 174(2), pages 327-348, April.
- Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2008. "Qualitative Business Surveys: Signal or Noise?," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 323, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2011.
"The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1128-1146, October.
- Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 343, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Wolden Bache, Ida & Sofie Jore, Anne & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2011.
"Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 1659-1670, October.
- Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Working Paper 2009/23, Norges Bank.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2011.
"Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 77-87, January.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2010. "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," CAMA Working Papers 2010-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009. "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0910, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- James Mitchell & Nigel Pain & Rebecca Riley, 2011. "The drivers of international migration to the UK: A panel‐based Bayesian model averaging approach," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 121(557), pages 1398-1444, December.
- James Mitchell & Kenneth F. Wallis, 2011. "Evaluating density forecasts: forecast combinations, model mixtures, calibration and sharpness," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 1023-1040, September.
- Troy D. Matheson & James Mitchell & Brian Silverstone, 2010. "Nowcasting and predicting data revisions using panel survey data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 313-330.
- Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010.
"Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 621-634.
- Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2008. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Working Paper 2008/01, Norges Bank.
- Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/18, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Mitchell, James, 2009.
"Confidence and Leading Indicators: Introduction,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 210, pages 61-62, October.
- James Mitchell, 2009. "Confidence And Leading Indicators: Introduction," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 210(1), pages 61-62, October.
- Holmes, Mark J. & Mitchell, James & Silverstone, Brian, 2009.
"Architects as Nowcasters of Housing Construction,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 210, pages 111-122, October.
- Mark J. Holmes & James Mitchell & Brian Silverstone, 2009. "Architects As Nowcasters Of Housing Construction," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 210(1), pages 111-122, October.
- Mitchell, James, 2009.
"Where are we now? The UK Recession and Nowcasting GDP Growth Using Statistical Models,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 209, pages 60-69, July.
- James Mitchell, 2009. "Where Are We Now? The Uk Recession And Nowcasting Gdp Growth Using Statistical Models," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 209(1), pages 60-69, July.
- Ehsan Khoman & James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2008. "Incidence‐based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK: coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life‐tables," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(1), pages 203-222, January.
- James Mitchell, 2008. "Introduction: Recent Developments in Economic Forecasting," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203(1), pages 57-58, January.
- Mitchell, James & Mouratidis, Kostas & Weale, Martin, 2007.
"Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: Evidence from qualitative survey data,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 245-252, February.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2005. "Uncertainty in UK manufacturing: evidence from qualitative survey data," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 266, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Hall, Stephen G. & Mitchell, James, 2007. "Combining density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 1-13.
- Kirby, Simon & Mitchell, James, 2006.
"Prudence and UK Trend Growth,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 197, pages 58-64, July.
- Simon Kirby & James Mitchell, 2006. "Prudence and UK Trend Growth," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 197(1), pages 58-64, July.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale & Stephen Wright & Eduardo L. Salazar, 2005. "An Indicator of Monthly GDP and an Early Estimate of Quarterly GDP Growth," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(501), pages 108-129, February.
- Mitchell, James, 2005.
"The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 193, pages 60-69, July.
- James Mitchell, 2005. "The National Institute Density Forecasts of Inflation," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 193(1), pages 60-69, July.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2005. "Forecasting Manufacturing Output Growth Using Firm‐Level Survey Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 73(4), pages 479-499, July.
- James Mitchell & Stephen G. Hall, 2005. "Evaluating, Comparing and Combining Density Forecasts Using the KLIC with an Application to the Bank of England and NIESR ‘Fan’ Charts of Inflation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 995-1033, December.
- Michael Massmann & James Mitchell, 2005. "Reconsidering the Evidence: Are Euro Area Business Cycles Converging?," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2004(3), pages 275-307.
- Massmann, Michael & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2003.
"Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 183, pages 90-106, January.
- Michael Massmann & James Mitchell & Martin Weale, 2003. "Business Cycles and Turning Points: A Survey of Statistical Techniques," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 183(1), pages 90-106, January.
- James Mitchell & Richard J. Smith & Martin R. Weale, 2002.
"Quantification of Qualitative Firm-Level Survey Data,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(478), pages 117-135, March.
- Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2001. "Quantification of qualitative firm-level survey data," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 181, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Massmann, Michael & Mitchell, James, 2002.
"Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated?,"
National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 182, pages 58-71, October.
- Michael Massmann & James Mitchell, 2002. "Have UK and Eurozone Business Cycles Become More Correlated?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 182(1), pages 58-71, October.
- Mitchell, James, 2002. "The use of non-normal distributions in quantifying qualitative survey data on expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 101-107, June.
Chapters
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2022. "Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth Using Bayesian Quantile Regression," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 51-72, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Stephen G. Hall & James Mitchell, 2009.
"Recent Developments in Density Forecasting,"
Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terence C. Mills & Kerry Patterson (ed.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, chapter 5, pages 199-239,
Palgrave Macmillan.
RePEc:eme:aeco11:s0731-90532021000043a004 is not listed on IDEAS
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 63 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (29) 2005-11-19 2006-02-26 2007-02-10 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-11-07 2010-04-04 2010-04-11 2010-12-18 2018-04-30 2018-08-13 2018-12-17 2019-04-22 2019-06-10 2019-06-17 2020-01-06 2020-01-13 2020-06-15 2020-08-10 2020-11-02 2020-12-14 2021-06-14 2022-01-03 2022-01-31 2022-04-04 2022-06-20 2022-07-18 2022-07-25 2023-12-18. Author is listed
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (25) 2005-10-29 2005-11-19 2007-02-10 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-11-07 2009-12-19 2009-12-19 2010-04-04 2010-04-11 2010-04-11 2012-02-01 2014-03-15 2014-04-18 2017-03-19 2018-04-30 2018-09-17 2019-08-12 2020-06-15 2021-03-22 2021-06-14 2022-06-20 2023-12-18 2024-01-01 2024-01-29. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (24) 2005-10-29 2007-02-10 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-12-19 2009-12-19 2010-04-11 2010-11-13 2012-02-01 2012-02-27 2014-03-15 2017-03-19 2018-04-30 2018-09-17 2019-06-17 2019-08-12 2021-06-14 2022-04-04 2022-06-20 2022-07-18 2022-10-31 2023-06-19 2023-07-24 2023-12-18. Author is listed
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (18) 2005-10-29 2007-02-10 2009-12-19 2010-12-18 2012-02-27 2014-03-15 2014-04-18 2017-03-19 2018-08-13 2018-12-17 2020-08-10 2020-11-02 2021-03-22 2022-04-04 2022-10-31 2023-01-30 2023-06-19 2024-01-29. Author is listed
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (13) 2007-08-08 2007-09-30 2009-08-30 2009-11-07 2009-11-07 2009-12-19 2009-12-19 2010-04-04 2010-04-11 2010-04-11 2011-07-02 2023-09-18 2024-01-22. Author is listed
- NEP-BIG: Big Data (9) 2018-04-30 2018-07-16 2018-12-17 2022-07-25 2022-10-31 2023-01-30 2023-07-17 2023-07-24 2023-09-18. Author is listed
- NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (7) 2009-08-30 2009-12-19 2010-04-04 2010-12-18 2023-09-18 2023-12-18 2024-01-22. Author is listed
- NEP-GEO: Economic Geography (6) 2010-11-13 2018-08-13 2019-04-22 2022-04-04 2022-07-18 2023-08-28. Author is listed
- NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (6) 2018-12-17 2019-04-22 2022-04-04 2022-07-18 2023-06-19 2023-08-28. Author is listed
- NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (5) 2018-07-16 2023-01-30 2023-07-17 2023-07-24 2023-09-18. Author is listed
- NEP-EXP: Experimental Economics (5) 2020-01-06 2020-01-13 2022-01-03 2022-07-25 2024-01-22. Author is listed
- NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (4) 2009-11-21 2011-10-01 2019-04-22 2020-12-14
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (4) 2020-06-15 2020-08-10 2022-01-31 2022-04-04
- NEP-BAN: Banking (3) 2023-09-18 2023-12-18 2024-01-22
- NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (3) 2009-08-30 2009-12-19 2010-04-04
- NEP-EEC: European Economics (3) 2005-11-19 2007-09-30 2020-06-15
- NEP-DEM: Demographic Economics (2) 2012-04-17 2022-07-18
- NEP-HPE: History and Philosophy of Economics (2) 2019-05-13 2023-09-18
- NEP-AGE: Economics of Ageing (1) 2012-04-17
- NEP-DCM: Discrete Choice Models (1) 2012-02-01
- NEP-EUR: Microeconomic European Issues (1) 2022-01-03
- NEP-FDG: Financial Development and Growth (1) 2022-06-20
- NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2006-06-03
- NEP-GRO: Economic Growth (1) 2019-06-17
- NEP-HEA: Health Economics (1) 2012-04-17
- NEP-HME: Heterodox Microeconomics (1) 2012-02-01
- NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (1) 2018-07-16
- NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (1) 2007-08-08
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