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Janine Aron

Personal Details

First Name:Janine
Middle Name:
Last Name:Aron
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RePEc Short-ID:par29
http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Faculty/EconDetails.asp?Detailno=4
Centre for the Study of African Economics Department of Economies Manor Road Building Manor Road Oxford OX1 3UQ
44-1865-271084

Affiliation

(90%) Department of Economics
Oxford University

Oxford, United Kingdom
http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/
RePEc:edi:sfeixuk (more details at EDIRC)

(10%) Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE)
Department of Economics
Oxford University

Oxford, United Kingdom
http://www.csae.ox.ac.uk/
RePEc:edi:csaoxuk (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

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Working papers

  1. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2021. "Excess mortality versus COVID-19 death rates: a spatial analysis of socioeconomic disparities and political allegiance across US states," Economics Series Working Papers 955 JEL classification: I, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  2. Aron, Janine & Muellbauer, John, 2020. "Measuring excess mortality: the case of England during the Covid-19 Pandemic," INET Oxford Working Papers 2020-11, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
  3. ARON, JANINE & Muellbauer, John, 2020. "Transatlantic excess mortality comparisons in the pandemic," OSF Preprints 476mq, Center for Open Science.
  4. Janine Aron, 2017. "‘Leapfrogging’: a Survey of the Nature and Economic Implications of Mobile Money," CSAE Working Paper Series 2017-02, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  5. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2016. "Modelling and Forecasting Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure in the UK," CEPR Discussion Papers 11236, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Sebudde, Rachel, 2015. "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10739, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  7. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Rankin, Neil & Creamer, Kenneth, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 9735, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  8. Janine Aron & Greg Farrell & John Muellbauer & Peter Sinclair, 2012. "Exchange Rate Passthrough to Import Prices and Monetary Policy in South Africa," Working Papers 5152, South African Reserve Bank.
  9. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2012. "Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 8800, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  10. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2011. "Modelling and Forecasting with County Court Data: Regional Mortgage Possession Claims and Orders in England and Wales," SERC Discussion Papers 0070, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  11. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Duca, John V & Murata, Keiko & Murphy, Anthony, 2010. "Credit, Housing Collateral and Consumption: Evidence from the UK, Japan and the US," CEPR Discussion Papers 7876, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  12. Muellbauer, John & Sinclair, Peter & Aron, Janine & Farrell, Greg, 2010. "Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 8153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  13. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010. "Does aggregating forecasts by CPI component improve inflation forecast accuracy in South Africa?," CEPR Discussion Papers 7895, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  14. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010. "Modelling and Forecasting UK Mortgage Arrears and Possessions," CEPR Discussion Papers 7986, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  15. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010. "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US," CEPR Discussion Papers 7877, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  16. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2009. "Some Issues in Modeling and Forecasting Inflation in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 7183, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  17. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2008. "Multi-sector inflation forecasting - quarterly models for South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2008-27, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  18. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2008. "Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 6992, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  19. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2008. "New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA," Economics Series Working Papers 406, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  20. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Johan Prinsloo, 2007. "Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africas Household Sector from 1975 to 2005," Working Papers 3112, South African Reserve Bank.
  21. Tania Ajam & Janine Aron, 2007. "Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2007-10, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  22. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2007. "Inflation Dynamics and Trade Openness," CEPR Discussion Papers 6346, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  23. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2007. "Inflation dynamics and trade openness: with an application to South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2007-11, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  24. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Johan Prinsloo, 2006. "Towards Official Balance Sheet Estimates for South Africa’s Household Sector," CSAE Working Paper Series 2006-09, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  25. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Johan Prinsloo, 2006. "Estimating the Balance Sheet of the Personal Sector in an Emerging Market Country: South Africa 1975-2003," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2006-99, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  26. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2006. "Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa: 1994-2004," CEPR Discussion Papers 5831, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  27. Aron, Janine & Muellbauer, John & Murphy, Anthony, 2006. "Housing wealth, credit conditions and consumption," MPRA Paper 24485, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  28. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2006. "Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994," CSAE Working Paper Series 2006-07, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  29. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Coen Pretorius, 2004. "A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price Index: application to South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2004-07, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  30. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Coen Pretorius, 2004. "A Framework for Forecasting the Components of the Consumer Price," Development and Comp Systems 0409054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  31. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2004. "Construction of CPIX Data for Forecasting and Modelling in South Africa," Development and Comp Systems 0409056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  32. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2004. "Revised Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa," Development and Comp Systems 0409070, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  33. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2004. "Estimates of Personal Sector Wealth for South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 4646, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  34. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Benjamin Smit, 2004. "A Structural Model of the Inflation Process in South Africa," Development and Comp Systems 0409055, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  35. Janine Aron, 2002. "Building Institutions in Post-Conflict African Economies," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2002-124, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  36. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2002. "Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 3595, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  37. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2000. "Estimating Monetary Policy Rules for South Africa," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 89, Central Bank of Chile.
  38. Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2000. "Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 2656, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  39. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2000. "Financial liberalisation, consumption and debt in South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2000-22, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  40. Janine Aron, 2000. "Monetary Transmission and Policy Rules in South Africa," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1627, Econometric Society.
  41. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2000. "Inflation and output forecasts for South Africa: monetary transmission implications," CSAE Working Paper Series 2000-23, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  42. Janine Aron, 1999. "A recent history of Zambia's management of copper price shocks," CSAE Working Paper Series 1999-15, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  43. Janine Aron & Ibrahim Elbadawi, 1999. "Reflections on the South African rand crisis of 1996 and its consequences," CSAE Working Paper Series 1999-13, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  44. Janine Aron & Ibrahim Elbadawi & Brian Kahn, 1998. "Determinants of the real exchange rate in South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 1997-16, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  45. Janine Aron & Melvin Ayogu, 1998. "Efficiency tests in sub-Saharan African foreign exchange markets," CSAE Working Paper Series 1998-05, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  46. Janine Aron, 1998. "Policy rules and bidding behaviour in the Ethiopian foreign exchange auction," CSAE Working Paper Series 1998-11, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  47. Janine Aron, 1998. "Political, economic and social institutions: A review of growth evidence," CSAE Working Paper Series 1998-04, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  48. Janine Aron, 1997. "Africa in the 1990s: the institutional foundations of growth," CSAE Working Paper Series 1997-15, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  49. Aron, Janine & Elbadawi, Ibrahim, 1994. "A typology of foreign exchange auction markets in sub-Saharan Africa : dynamic models for auction exchange rates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1396, The World Bank.
  50. Aron, Janine & Elbadawi, Ibrahim, 1994. "A typology of foreign auction markets in sub-Saharan Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1395, The World Bank.
  51. Aron, Janine & Elbadawi, Ibrahim A., 1992. "Parallel markets, the foreign exchange auction, and exchange rate unification in Zambia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 909, The World Bank.

Articles

  1. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2022. "Excess Mortality Versus COVID‐19 Death Rates: A Spatial Analysis of Socioeconomic Disparities and Political Allegiance Across U.S. States," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 68(2), pages 348-392, June.
  2. Janine Aron, 2018. "Mobile Money and the Economy: A Review of the Evidence," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 33(2), pages 135-188.
  3. Aron, Janine & Muellbauer, John, 2016. "“Modelling and forecasting mortgage delinquency and foreclosure in the UK.”," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 32-53.
  4. Janine Aron, 2014. "Introduction to a Special Section on 'Exchange Rate Pass-through in Developing and Emerging Markets'," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 97-100, January.
  5. Janine Aron & Greg Farrell & John Muellbauer & Peter Sinclair, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Import Prices, and Monetary Policy in South Africa," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 144-164, January.
  6. Janine Aron & Kenneth Creamer & John Muellbauer & Neil Rankin, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 165-185, January.
  7. Janine Aron & Ronald Macdonald & John Muellbauer, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 101-143, January.
  8. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013. "Wealth, Credit Conditions, and Consumption: Evidence from South Africa," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 59, pages 161-196, October.
  9. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013. "New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 637-661, October.
  10. Janine Aron & John V. Duca & John Muellbauer & Keiko Murata & Anthony Murphy, 2012. "Credit, Housing Collateral, And Consumption: Evidence From Japan, The U.K., And The U.S," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 58(3), pages 397-423, September.
  11. Aron, Janine & Muellbauer, John, 2012. "Improving forecasting in an emerging economy, South Africa: Changing trends, long run restrictions and disaggregation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 456-476.
  12. Janine Aron & John N. J. Muellbauer & Coen Pretorius, 2009. "A Stochastic Estimation Framework For Components Of The South African Consumer Price Index," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(2), pages 282-313, June.
  13. Aron Janine & Muellbauer John, 2008. "The Next Collapse: U.S. Price Inflation," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 5(6), pages 1-4, November.
  14. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2007. "Review of Monetary Policy in South Africa since 1994," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 16(5), pages 705-744, November.
  15. Janine Aron & Geeta Kingdon, 2007. "South African Economic Policy Under Democracy," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 16(5), pages 661-667, November.
  16. Tania Ajam & Aron Janine, 2007. "Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 16(5), pages 745-781, November.
  17. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2006. "Estimates Of Household Sector Wealth For South Africa, 1970–2003," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 52(2), pages 285-307, June.
  18. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2005. "Monetary Policy, Macro-stability and Growth," World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE, vol. 6(4), pages 123-147, October.
  19. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2004. "Construction Of Cpix Data For Forecasting And Modelling In South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 72(5), pages 884-912, December.
  20. Janine Aron, 2003. "Building institutions in post-conflict African economies," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 471-485.
  21. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2002. "Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(Special i), pages 185-213.
  22. Aron, Janine, 2000. "Growth and Institutions: A Review of the Evidence," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 15(1), pages 99-135, February.
  23. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2000. "Personal and Corporate Saving in South Africa," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 14(3), pages 509-544, September.
  24. Janine Aron, 1998. "Policy Rules and Bidding Behavior in the Ethiopian Foreign Exchange Auction," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 13(1), pages 213-248, June.
  25. Aron, Janine & Ayogu, Melvin, 1997. "Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Tests in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 6(3), pages 150-192, Supplemen.

Chapters

  1. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Inflation Modeling in a More Open Economy in South Africa," Chapters, in: Gill Hammond & Ravi Kanbur & Eswar Prasad (ed.), Monetary Policy Frameworks for Emerging Markets, chapter 15, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  2. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2002. "Estimating Monetary Policy Rules for South Africa," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.),Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 15, pages 427-476, Central Bank of Chile.
  3. Janine Aron & Ibrahim A. Elbadawi, 1997. "The Parallel Market Premium and Exchange Rate Unification: a Macroeconomic Analysis for Zambia," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Miguel A. Kiguel & J. Saul Lizondo & Stephen A. O’Connell (ed.), Parallel Exchange Rates in Developing Countries, chapter 8, pages 291-332, Palgrave Macmillan.

Books

  1. Aron, Janine & Kahn, Brian & Kingdon, Geeta (ed.), 2009. "South African Economic Policy under Democracy," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199551460.

More information

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Statistics

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This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
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Co-authorship network on CollEc

Featured entries

This author is featured on the following reading lists, publication compilations, Wikipedia, or ReplicationWiki entries:
  1. Economic Growth and Change of African Countries

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 28 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (14) 2003-03-17 2004-10-18 2005-02-13 2006-10-28 2007-06-30 2009-02-28 2009-02-28 2010-06-04 2010-08-14 2014-06-02 2015-08-01 2015-08-13 2016-05-14 2016-06-04. Author is listed
  2. NEP-AFR: Africa (9) 2004-10-18 2004-10-18 2005-02-13 2006-10-28 2009-02-28 2009-02-28 2011-11-28 2012-03-28 2014-06-02. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (9) 2002-02-15 2006-10-28 2007-06-30 2009-02-28 2009-02-28 2010-06-04 2010-08-14 2015-08-01 2015-08-13. Author is listed
  4. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (9) 2002-02-15 2004-10-18 2004-10-18 2006-10-28 2007-06-30 2009-02-28 2009-02-28 2015-08-01 2015-08-13. Author is listed
  5. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (7) 2009-02-28 2010-09-03 2010-11-20 2011-03-26 2015-08-01 2015-08-13 2016-05-14. Author is listed
  6. NEP-HEA: Health Economics (4) 2020-09-21 2021-08-30 2021-08-30 2022-01-17
  7. NEP-BAN: Banking (3) 2010-09-03 2010-11-20 2016-06-04
  8. NEP-DEV: Development (2) 2011-11-28 2012-03-28
  9. NEP-EEC: European Economics (2) 2010-06-04 2010-09-03
  10. NEP-EUR: Microeconomic European Issues (2) 2016-05-14 2016-06-04
  11. NEP-INT: International Trade (2) 2007-06-30 2014-06-02
  12. NEP-ISF: Islamic Finance (2) 2021-08-30 2021-08-30
  13. NEP-ACC: Accounting and Auditing (1) 2005-02-13
  14. NEP-AGE: Economics of Ageing (1) 2022-01-17
  15. NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2010-08-14
  16. NEP-CIS: Confederation of Independent States (1) 2020-09-21
  17. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (1) 2004-10-18
  18. NEP-FIN: Finance (1) 2005-02-13
  19. NEP-GEO: Economic Geography (1) 2022-01-17
  20. NEP-IFN: International Finance (1) 2003-03-14
  21. NEP-INO: Innovation (1) 2017-03-05
  22. NEP-MFD: Microfinance (1) 2017-03-05
  23. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2014-06-02
  24. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (1) 2017-03-05
  25. NEP-PKE: Post Keynesian Economics (1) 2002-02-15

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