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Automatic identification of general vector error correction models

Author

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  • Arbués, Ignacio
  • Ledo, Ramiro
  • Matilla-García, Mariano

Abstract

There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different types of situations in which cointegration can appear: I(1), I(2), seasonal, polyno- mial, etc. There are also different kinds of Vector Error Correction models related to these situations. The authors propose a unified theoretical and practical framework to deal with many of these situations. To this aim: (i) they introduce a general class of models and (ii) provide an automatic method to identify models, based on estimating the Smith form of an autoregressive model. Their simulations suggest the power of the new proposed methodology. An empirical example illustrates the methodology.

Suggested Citation

  • Arbués, Ignacio & Ledo, Ramiro & Matilla-García, Mariano, 2016. "Automatic identification of general vector error correction models," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-41.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201626
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2016-26
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Time series; unit root; cointegration; error correction; model identification; Smith form;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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