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Spatial market efficiency of grain markets in Russia: Implications of high trade costs for export potential

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  • Svanidze, Miranda
  • Götz, Linde

Abstract

Using a threshold vector error correction model approach, we find the wheat market of Russia to be segmented, with the primary grain export region poorly integrated with the domestic market. Results also indicate that trade costs are high, hindering the spatial market efficiency of wheat markets in Russia. This study demonstrates that an empirical benchmark allows for a more comprehensive assessment of the spatial market efficiency compared to the theoretical benchmark that is normally applied. The study shows that the distinction between grain production and export potential, especially for markets located in peripheral regions of Russia, is essential to correctly identify Russia's future role for global food security. As a general conclusion, apart from increasing agricultural production potential, it is also essential to strengthen spatial market efficiency in the agricultural sector to boost Russia's agricultural export potential and the country's prominent role in global food security.

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  • Svanidze, Miranda & Götz, Linde, 2019. "Spatial market efficiency of grain markets in Russia: Implications of high trade costs for export potential," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 21, pages 60-68.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:206538
    DOI: 10.1016/j.gfs.2019.07.004
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    Cited by:

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    5. Glauben Thomas & Svanidze Miranda, 2023. "Globaler Agrarhandel: robustes Sicherheitsnetz zur Reduktion von Hungerrisiken in Krisenzeiten," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 103(7), pages 491-499, July.
    6. Gulnara Nigmatullina & Olga Shilkina & Elina Kipchakbaeva & Oksana Frolova & Guzel Salimova, 2022. "Providing Conditions for the Development of Small Business in the Russian Agroindustry," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 164-177.
    7. Hamulczuk Mariusz & Cherevyk Denys & Makarchuk Oksana & Kuts Tetyana & Voliak Lesia, 2023. "Integration of Ukrainian Grain Markets with Foreign Markets During Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine," Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej / Problems of Agricultural Economics, Sciendo, vol. 377(4), pages 1-25, December.
    8. Tleubayev, Alisher & Jamali Jaghdani, Tinoush & Götz, Linde & Svanidze, Miranda, 2021. "The relationship between trade policies and macroeconomic adjustments in the Russian cheese market integration," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 22(3), pages 44-68.
    9. Svanidze, Miranda & Đurić, Ivan, 2021. "Global wheat market dynamics: What is the role of the EU and the Black Sea wheat exporters?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 11(8).
    10. Mu, Yali, 2024. "Measuring and benchmarking time-varying market efficiency," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344294, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    11. Yali Mu & Stephan von Cramon‐Taubadel, 2022. "Estimating dynamic market efficiency frontiers," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 633-653, September.
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    13. Alisher Tleubayev & Tinoush Jamali Jaghdani & Linde Gotz & Miranda Svanidze, 2021. "The relationship between trade policies and macroeconomic adjustments in the Russian cheese market integration," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 22(3), pages 44-68, October.
    14. Abay, Kibrom A. & Abdelfattah, Lina & Breisinger, Clemens & Siddig, Khalid, 2023. "Evaluating cereal market (dis)integration in less developed and fragile markets: The case of Sudan," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    15. Maximilian Heigermoser & Linde Götz & Miranda Svanidze, 2021. "Price formation within Egypt's wheat tender market: Implications for Black Sea exporters," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(5), pages 819-831, September.
    16. Prince, Ehsanur Rauf & Barmon, Basanta Kumar & Islam, Teresa, 2022. "An Investigation into the Spatial Rice Market Integration in Bangladesh: Application of Vector Error Correction Approach," MPRA Paper 115927, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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