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Do Remittances Induce Inflation? Fresh Evidence from Developing Countries

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan
  • Seema Narayan
  • Sagarika Mishra

Abstract

The goal of this article is to examine the determinants of inflation in both the short run and the long run for 54 developing countries using a panel data set covering the 1995–2004 period. Apart from the commonly used economic determinants of inflation, we model the impact of remittances and institutional variables on inflation. Using the Arellano and Bond panel dynamic estimator and the Arellano and Bover and the Blundell and Bond system generalized method of moments estimator, we find evidence that in developing countries remittances generate inflation. The effect of remittances on inflation is more pronounced in the long run. Moreover, we find that openness, debt, current account deficits, the agricultural sector, and the short‐term U.S. interest rate have a positive effect on inflation. We also find that improvements in democracy reduce inflation.

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan & Sagarika Mishra, 2011. "Do Remittances Induce Inflation? Fresh Evidence from Developing Countries," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 77(4), pages 914-933, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:soecon:v:77:y:2011:i:4:p:914-933
    DOI: 10.4284/0038-4038-77.4.914
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    2. Oriol Sabaté & Sara Torregrosa-Hetland, 2024. "War inflation and taxation," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2024/463, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. Bashier Al-Abdulrazag & Musa Foudeh, 2022. "Does inflation reduce remittance outflows in Saudi Arabia?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2141424-214, December.
    4. Abbas, Syed Ali & Selvanathan, Saroja & Selvanathan, Eliyathamby A., 2023. "Structural transformation, urbanization, and remittances in developing countries: A panel VAR analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 55-69.
    5. Irfan Ahmad Shah, 2024. "The effect of remittances on the Indian economy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 771-785, October.

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