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Computer-based scenario modeling: Application to swine industry

Author

Listed:
  • Peter D. Goldsmith

    (Department of Agricultural Economics at McGill University)

  • Jean-Christophe Dissart

    (Department of Agricultural Economics at McGill University, and Ecole Superieure d'Agriculture de Purpan)

Abstract

There are four recent trends in agriculture that affect the research and strategy environment: the industrialization of the sector, the privatization of data, the decline of government's role in the sector, and the increase in industrial partners in research. In light of the changes in the industry and their affects on the research environment, this article explores the potential for computer-based scenario modeling for agribusiness research and strategic planning. To accomplish this and drawing on the theory of organizational ecology, a prototypical model of the swine industry is developed and then tested by applying a series of exogenous shocks to the system. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter D. Goldsmith & Jean-Christophe Dissart, 1998. "Computer-based scenario modeling: Application to swine industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(4), pages 281-298.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:14:y:1998:i:4:p:281-298
    DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6297(199807/08)14:4<281::AID-AGR3>3.0.CO;2-O
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Don West & Odette Vaughan, 1995. "Globalization and the Food and Beverage Processing Industry," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 43(4), pages 565-578, December.
    2. Alan Barkema & Mark Drabenstott & Kelly Welch, 1991. "The quiet revolution in the U.S. food market," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 76(May), pages 25-41.
    3. Thomas L. Sporleder, 1992. "Managerial Economics of Vertically Coordinated Agricultural Firms," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 74(5), pages 1226-1231.
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