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Departure from independence and stationarity in a handball match

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  • Montezuma Dumangane
  • Nicoletta Rosati
  • Anna Volossovitch

Abstract

This paper analyses direct and indirect forms of dependence in the probability of scoring in a handball match, taking into account the mutual influence of both playing teams. Non-identical distribution (i.d.) and non-stationarity, which are commonly observed in sport games, are studied through the specification of time-varying parameters. The model accounts for the binary character of the dependent variable, and for unobserved heterogeneity. The parameter dynamics is specified by a first-order auto-regressive process. Data from the Handball World Championships 2001-2005 show that the dynamics of handball violate both independence and i.d., in some cases having a non-stationary behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Montezuma Dumangane & Nicoletta Rosati & Anna Volossovitch, 2009. "Departure from independence and stationarity in a handball match," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(7), pages 723-741.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:36:y:2009:i:7:p:723-741
    DOI: 10.1080/02664760802499329
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. László Csató, 2020. "Optimal Tournament Design: Lessons From the Men’s Handball Champions League," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 21(8), pages 848-868, December.
    2. Leonardo Lamas & José Vitor Senatore & Gilbert Fellingham, 2020. "Two steps for scoring a point: Creating and converting opportunities in invasion team sports," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(10), pages 1-16, October.
    3. Singh, Aaditya & Scarf, Phil & Baker, Rose, 2023. "A unified theory for bivariate scores in possessive ball-sports: The case of handball," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1099-1112.

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