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The determinants of internal migration in a developing country: quantitative evidence for Indonesia, 1930-2000

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  • J. van Lottum
  • D. Marks

Abstract

This study specifies and estimates a gravity model for interprovincial migration in Indonesia. Analysing five cross-sections for Indonesia's 26 provinces for five survey years between 1930 and 2000 we show that throughout the twentieth century economic factors were more important in the explanation of interprovincial migration patterns in Indonesia than planned migration policy aimed at the redistribution of the population. In addition, our regression analysis demonstrates that the urban primacy of Jakarta, Indonesia's capital, had a strong effect on the direction and size of migration flows. Our findings thus suggest that the costly government-supported migration is not very successful and that a strongly centralized government induces migration flows to the capital. These findings have policy implications for other developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • J. van Lottum & D. Marks, 2012. "The determinants of internal migration in a developing country: quantitative evidence for Indonesia, 1930-2000," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(34), pages 4485-4494, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4485-4494
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591735
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    1. Krugman, Paul & Elizondo, Raul Livas, 1996. "Trade policy and the Third World metropolis," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 137-150, April.
    2. Riwanto Tirtosudarmo, 2009. "Mobility and Human Development in Indonesia," Human Development Research Papers (2009 to present) HDRP-2009-19, Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), revised Apr 2009.
    3. Tirtosudarmo, Riwanto, 2009. "Mobility and Human Development in Indonesia," MPRA Paper 19201, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Henderson, Vernon, 2000. "How urban concentration affects economic growth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2326, The World Bank.
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    2. Elsa GAUTRAIN & Hugues CHAMPEAUX & Karine MARAZYAN, 2024. "Men's premarital migration and marriage payments: Evidence from Indonesia," FSES Working Papers 534, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    3. Fatimah, Alfariany Milati & Kofol, Chiara, 2023. "Migrating for children’s better future: Intergenerational mobility of internal migrants’ children in Indonesia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    4. Muir, Jonathan A. & Cope, Michael R. & Angeningsih, Leslie R. & Jackson, Jorden & Brown, Ralph B., 2019. "Migration and Mental Health in the Aftermath of Disaster: Evidence from Mt. Merapi, Indonesia," OSF Preprints 2u6dg, Center for Open Science.
    5. Nurlinah, & Haryanto, & Sunardi,, 2020. "New development, old migration, and governance at two villages in Jeneponto, Indonesia," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    6. Chakrabarti, Averi, 2021. "Deforestation and infant mortality: Evidence from Indonesia," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    7. Goldbach, Carina & Schlüter, Achim, 2018. "Risk aversion, time preferences, and out-migration. Experimental evidence from Ghana and Indonesia," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 132-148.
    8. Yiyue Huangfu & Jenna Nobles, 2022. "Intergenerational support during the rise of mobile telecommunication in Indonesia," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(36), pages 1065-1108.
    9. Victor Agadjanian & Evgenia Gorina, 2019. "Economic Swings, Political Instability and Migration in Kyrgyzstan," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 35(2), pages 285-304, May.
    10. Tiwari, Smriti, 2017. "Does Local Development Influence Outmigration Decisions? Evidence from Indonesia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 108-124.
    11. Hera Susanti & Arie Damayanti, 2015. "Determinants of Internal Migration in Indonesia," Working Papers in Economics and Business 201505, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, revised Oct 2015.
    12. Muir, Jonathan A. & Cope, Michael R. & Jackson, Jorden E. & Angeningsih, Leslie R., 2019. "To Move Home or Move On? Investigating the Impact of Recovery Aid on Migration Status as a Potential Tool for Disaster Risk Reduction in the Aftermath of Volcanic Eruptions in Merapi, Indonesia," SocArXiv qcm58, Center for Open Science.

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