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The determinants of internal migration in a developing country: quantitative evidence for Indonesia, 1930-2000

Author

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  • Jelle van Lottum

    (Department of Geography [Cambridge, UK] - CAM - University of Cambridge [UK])

  • Daan Marks

    (International Institute of Social History - International Institute of Social History)

Abstract

This study specifies and estimates a gravity model for interprovincial migration in Indonesia. Analyzing five cross-sections for Indonesia's 26 provinces for 5 survey years between 1930 and 2000 we show that throughout the twentieth century economic factors were more important in the explanation of interprovincial migration patterns in Indonesia than planned migration policy aimed at the redistribution of the population. In addition, our regression analysis demonstrates that the urban primacy of Jakarta, Indonesia's capital, had a strong effect on the direction and size of migration flows. Our findings thus suggest that the costly government-supported migration is not very successful and that a strongly centralized government induces migration flows to the capital. These findings have policy implications for other developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Jelle van Lottum & Daan Marks, 2011. "The determinants of internal migration in a developing country: quantitative evidence for Indonesia, 1930-2000," Post-Print hal-00719482, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00719482
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591735
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00719482
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Parjiono & A.B.M. Rabiul Alam Beg & Richard Monypenny, 2013. "The driving forces of the level and the growth rate of real per capita income in Indonesia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(17), pages 2389-2400, June.

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