IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v31y2017i7d10.1007_s11269-017-1628-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Self-Optimization System Dynamics Simulation of Real-Time Short Term Cascade Hydropower System Considering Uncertainties

Author

Listed:
  • Liu Yuan

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology)

  • Jianzhong Zhou

    (Huazhong University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

Uncertainties of inflow and temporary power instructions always make it intractable to make decisions in real-time short term hydropower operation. To deal with the problems caused by uncertainties and realize self-optimization for real-time short term hydropower operation, relevant measurement indexes are firstly discussed and deduced. Then the self-optimization system dynamics simulation of real-time short term cascade hydropower system is developed by taking advantages of feedback loops in system dynamics simulation. Finally, the proposed self-optimization system dynamics simulation model is illustrated in Shuibuya-Geheyan-Gaobazhou cascade hydropower system on Qing River in China. Three typical scenarios are analyzed and different dispatching strategies are simulated in feedback loops. The results indicate that system dynamics simulation is an effective way to simulate a complex cascade hydropower system with feedback and causal loops. Moreover, it makes a contribution to making up a daily schedule and making decisions in real-time short time operation. Also, operation rules can be extracted for the cascade dispatching center by SD simulation.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu Yuan & Jianzhong Zhou, 2017. "Self-Optimization System Dynamics Simulation of Real-Time Short Term Cascade Hydropower System Considering Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(7), pages 2127-2140, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1628-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-017-1628-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-017-1628-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-017-1628-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xin-Ming Zhang & Li-ping Wang & Ji-wei Li & Yan-ke Zhang, 2013. "Self-Optimization Simulation Model of Short-Term Cascaded Hydroelectric System Dispatching Based on the Daily Load Curve," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5045-5067, December.
    2. E. Fallah-Mehdipour & O. Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2012. "Real-Time Operation of Reservoir System by Genetic Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4091-4103, November.
    3. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
    4. Jan H. Kwakkel & Erik Pruyt, 2015. "Using System Dynamics for Grand Challenges: The ESDMA Approach," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 358-375, May.
    5. Junfeng Yang & Kun Lei & Soonthiam Khu & Wei Meng, 2015. "Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity for Sustainable Development Based on a System Dynamics Model: A Case Study of Tieling City, China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(3), pages 885-899, February.
    6. Tang, Wenzhe & Li, Zhuoyu & Qiang, Maoshan & Wang, Shuli & Lu, Youmei, 2013. "Risk management of hydropower development in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 316-324.
    7. Altunkaynak, Abdüsselam & Erdik, Tarkan & Dabanlı, İsmail & Şen, Zekai, 2012. "Theoretical derivation of wind power probability distribution function and applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 809-814.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. He, Zhongzheng & Zhou, Jianzhong & Xie, Mengfei & Jia, Benjun & Bao, Zhengfeng & Qin, Hui & Zhang, Hairong, 2019. "Study on guaranteed output constraints in the long term joint optimal scheduling for the hydropower station group," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1210-1224.
    2. Xinyi Zhang & Guohua Fang & Jian Ye & Jin Liu & Xin Wen & Chengjun Wu, 2022. "Risk Control in Optimization of Cascade Hydropower: Considering Water Abandonment Risk Probability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-14, August.
    3. He, Zhongzheng & Wang, Chao & Wang, Yongqiang & Wei, Bowen & Zhou, Jianzhong & Zhang, Hairong & Qin, Hui, 2021. "Dynamic programming with successive approximation and relaxation strategy for long-term joint power generation scheduling of large-scale hydropower station group," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    4. Ali Thaeer Hammid & Omar I. Awad & Mohd Herwan Sulaiman & Saraswathy Shamini Gunasekaran & Salama A. Mostafa & Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar & Bashar Ahmad Khalaf & Yasir Amer Al-Jawhar & Raed Abdulkareem A, 2020. "A Review of Optimization Algorithms in Solving Hydro Generation Scheduling Problems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, June.
    5. Liu Yuan & Jianzhong Zhou & Zijun Mai & Yuanzheng Li, 2017. "Random Fuzzy Optimization Model for Short-Term Hydropower Scheduling Considering Uncertainty of Power Load," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(9), pages 2713-2728, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yutong Tian & Chunhui Li & Yujun Yi & Xuan Wang & Anping Shu, 2020. "Dynamic Model of a Sustainable Water Resources Utilization System with Coupled Water Quality and Quantity in Tianjin City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-20, May.
    2. Liu Yuan & Jianzhong Zhou & Chunlong Li & Mengfei Xie & Li Mo, 2016. "Benefit and Risk Balance Optimization for Stochastic Hydropower Scheduling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(10), pages 3347-3361, August.
    3. Zhiying Shao & Fengping Wu & Fang Li & Yue Zhao & Xia Xu, 2020. "System Dynamics Model for Evaluating Socio-Economic Impacts of Different Water Diversion Quantity from Transboundary River Basins—A Case Study of Xinjiang," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Ramtin Moeini & Kamran Nasiri & Seyed Hossein Hosseini, 2024. "Predicting the Water Inflow Into the Dam Reservoir Using the Hybrid Intelligent GP-ANN- NSGA-II Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(11), pages 4137-4159, September.
    5. Jeonghwa Cha & Kyungbo Park & Hangook Kim & Jongyi Hong, 2023. "Crisis Index Prediction Based on Momentum Theory and Earnings Downside Risk Theory: Focusing on South Korea’s Energy Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-20, February.
    6. Karen Minyard & Tina A. Smith & Richard Turner & Bobby Milstein & Lori Solomon, 2018. "Community and programmatic factors influencing effective use of system dynamic models," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(1-2), pages 154-171, January.
    7. Munir Ali Elfarra & Mustafa Kaya, 2018. "Comparison of Optimum Spline-Based Probability Density Functions to Parametric Distributions for the Wind Speed Data in Terms of Annual Energy Production," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, November.
    8. Jesus R. Gastelum & Ganesh Krishnamurthy & Nemesciano Ochoa & Shane Sibbett & Margie Armstrong & Parag Kalaria, 2018. "The Use of System Dynamics Model to Enhance Integrated Resources Planning Implementation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(7), pages 2247-2260, May.
    9. Mohammad Ehteram & Hojat Karami & Saeed Farzin, 2018. "Reducing Irrigation Deficiencies Based Optimizing Model for Multi-Reservoir Systems Utilizing Spider Monkey Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(7), pages 2315-2334, May.
    10. Saskia Ellenbeck & Peter Schmidt & Antonella Battaglini & Johan Lilliestam, 2013. "Der Strommarkt als soziale Institution: eine erweiterte Perspektive auf die deutsche Diskussion um Kapazitätsmechanismen," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(3), pages 171-182.
    11. Wimhurst, Joshua J. & Greene, J. Scott, 2019. "Oklahoma's future wind energy resources and their relationship with the Central Plains low-level jet," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    12. Bob Walrave, 2016. "Determining intervention thresholds that change output behavior patterns," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 32(3-4), pages 261-278, July.
    13. Jesús Gastélum & Juan Valdés & Steven Stewart, 2010. "A System Dynamics Model to Evaluate Temporary Water Transfers in the Mexican Conchos Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(7), pages 1285-1311, May.
    14. Liang-Cheng Chang & Chih-Chao Ho & Ming-Sheng Yeh & Chao-Chung Yang, 2011. "An Integrating Approach for Conjunctive-Use Planning of Surface and Subsurface Water System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(1), pages 59-78, January.
    15. Jesús Gastélum & Juan Valdés & Steven Stewart, 2009. "A Decision Support System to Improve Water Resources Management in the Conchos Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(8), pages 1519-1548, June.
    16. Xu, Xu & Huang, Guanhua & Qu, Zhongyi & Pereira, Luis S., 2010. "Assessing the groundwater dynamics and impacts of water saving in the Hetao Irrigation District, Yellow River basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 301-313, December.
    17. Chao-Chung Yang & Liang-Cheng Chang & Chih-Chao Ho, 2008. "Application of System Dynamics with Impact Analysis to Solve the Problem of Water Shortages in Taiwan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(11), pages 1561-1577, November.
    18. Esther Barrios-Crespo & Saúl Torres-Ortega & Pedro Díaz-Simal, 2021. "Developing a Dynamic Model for Assessing Green Infrastructure Investments in Urban Areas," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(20), pages 1-24, October.
    19. Chih-Chiang Wei & Nien-Sheng Hsu & Chien-Lin Huang, 2014. "Two-Stage Pumping Control Model for Flood Mitigation in Inundated Urban Drainage Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 425-444, January.
    20. Wang Xiao-jun & Zhang Jian-yun & Wang Jian-hua & He Rui-min & Amgad ElMahdi & Liu Jin-hua & Wang Xin-gong & David King & Shamsuddin Shahid, 2014. "Climate change and water resources management in Tuwei river basin of Northwest China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 107-120, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1628-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.