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Performance of a Monthly Streamflow Prediction Model for Ungauged Watersheds in Spain

Author

Listed:
  • J. Vicente-Guillén
  • E. Ayuga-Telléz
  • D. Otero
  • J. Chávez
  • F. Ayuga
  • A. García

Abstract

Climate change, drought and the world’s growing population are increasing the demand for water which in turn requires improved water resources management. The sustainable management of a watershed requires a thorough knowledge of its water resources, including monthly streamflow. Spain is home to a large number of ungauged watersheds, the streamflows of which are often unknown. Chavez et al. (2007) reported a model for predicting monthly streamflow in ungauged watersheds that was validated for use in areas of tropical climate in Central America and a dry area in South America. This work reports an attempt to assess the performance of this model for eventual use with ungauged watersheds in Spain, using data for a number of watersheds for which gauging data were available. The proposed model took into account physical characteristics such us the soil infiltration rate, the slope of the terrain, plant fractional cover, the monthly moisture adequacy index, and the leaf area index. Comparisons of model-predicted monthly streamflows and those actually measured showed the Chavez et al. model unable to make reliable predictions for Spanish watersheds in its current form. A new approach has been developed considering only smaller watersheds in Spanish conditions, changing parameters in the original model. These parameters have been calibrated and validated, reaching adequate adjustment of results. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • J. Vicente-Guillén & E. Ayuga-Telléz & D. Otero & J. Chávez & F. Ayuga & A. García, 2012. "Performance of a Monthly Streamflow Prediction Model for Ungauged Watersheds in Spain," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(13), pages 3767-3784, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:13:p:3767-3784
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0102-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hüseyin Yavuz & Saffet Erdoğan, 2012. "Spatial Analysis of Monthly and Annual Precipitation Trends in Turkey," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(3), pages 609-621, February.
    2. Dave Deckers & Martijn Booij & Tom Rientjes & Maarten Krol, 2010. "Catchment Variability and Parameter Estimation in Multi-Objective Regionalisation of a Rainfall–Runoff Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(14), pages 3961-3985, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yan Jiang & Xin Bao & Shaonan Hao & Hongtao Zhao & Xuyong Li & Xianing Wu, 2020. "Monthly Streamflow Forecasting Using ELM-IPSO Based on Phase Space Reconstruction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(11), pages 3515-3531, September.

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