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Seismic reliability-based analysis and GIS mapping of cyclic mobility of clayey soils of Mumbai city, India

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  • Reshma Raskar Phule

    (Indian Institute of Technology Bombay)

  • Deepankar Choudhury

    (Indian Institute of Technology Bombay)

Abstract

Cyclic mobility is a mechanism of ground failure due to lateral spreading of soils during an earthquake that usually occurs in soft or medium stiff saturated soils. The simplified procedures developed by the researchers give a factor of safety for judging the cyclic mobility potential. However, the simplified procedures do not take into account the uncertainty in the parameters required to estimate the cyclic stresses in the soil. In this study, a reliability framework based on the simplified procedure, considering the parameter uncertainty, has been proposed for computing the probability of cyclic mobility of clay deposits for a metro city of India, i.e., Mumbai city (latitudes 18°53′N–19°19′N and longitudes 72°47′E–72°58′E). Extensive geotechnical borehole data from 1028 boreholes across 50 locations in the city area of 390 km2 and laboratory test data are collected and analyzed thoroughly. A correlation between undrained shear strength (Su) and other parameters such as natural water content (w), SPT N value, liquid limit (LL) and plasticity index (PI) has been established for Mumbai city and has been used in the proposed approach. The sensitivity analysis of the proposed approach predicts that Su has significant influence in the evaluation of the cyclic mobility. Cyclic mobility hazard maps are prepared using the geo-statistical analysis tool in GIS, and it shows that the clayey soils at few locations have a 60–90 % probability of cyclic mobility for a moment magnitude (M w) of an earthquake of 7.5. These hazard maps can be used by the geotechnical engineers for the cyclic mobility hazard assessment of Mumbai city.

Suggested Citation

  • Reshma Raskar Phule & Deepankar Choudhury, 2017. "Seismic reliability-based analysis and GIS mapping of cyclic mobility of clayey soils of Mumbai city, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(1), pages 139-169, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:85:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2570-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2570-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jagabandhu Dixit & D. Dewaikar & R. Jangid, 2012. "Soil liquefaction studies at Mumbai city," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 375-390, September.
    2. Kaustav Chatterjee & Deepankar Choudhury, 2013. "Variations in shear wave velocity and soil site class in Kolkata city using regression and sensitivity analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 2057-2082, December.
    3. Sumedh Mhaske & Deepankar Choudhury, 2011. "Geospatial contour mapping of shear wave velocity for Mumbai city," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(1), pages 317-327, October.
    4. K. Vipin & T. Sitharam & P. Anbazhagan, 2010. "Probabilistic evaluation of seismic soil liquefaction potential based on SPT data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(3), pages 547-560, June.
    5. Sarika Desai & Deepankar Choudhury, 2014. "Spatial variation of probabilistic seismic hazard for Mumbai and surrounding region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 1873-1898, April.
    6. Ganapathy Ganapathy & Ajay Rajawat, 2012. "Evaluation of liquefaction potential hazard of Chennai city, India: using geological and geomorphological characteristics," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(2), pages 1717-1729, November.
    7. K. Vipin & T. Sitharam & S. Kolathayar, 2013. "Assessment of seismic hazard and liquefaction potential of Gujarat based on probabilistic approaches," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(2), pages 1179-1195, January.
    8. Miguel Jaimes & Mauro Niño & Eduardo Reinoso, 2015. "Regional map of earthquake-induced liquefaction hazard using the lateral spreading displacement index D LL," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 77(3), pages 1595-1618, July.
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