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Assessment of seismic hazard and liquefaction potential of Gujarat based on probabilistic approaches

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  • K. Vipin
  • T. Sitharam
  • S. Kolathayar

Abstract

Gujarat is one of the fastest-growing states of India with high industrial activities coming up in major cities of the state. It is indispensable to analyse seismic hazard as the region is considered to be most seismically active in stable continental region of India. The Bhuj earthquake of 2001 has caused extensive damage in terms of causality and economic loss. In the present study, the seismic hazard of Gujarat evaluated using a probabilistic approach with the use of logic tree framework that minimizes the uncertainties in hazard assessment. The peak horizontal acceleration (PHA) and spectral acceleration (Sa) values were evaluated for 10 and 2 % probability of exceedance in 50 years. Two important geotechnical effects of earthquakes, site amplification and liquefaction, are also evaluated, considering site characterization based on site classes. The liquefaction return period for the entire state of Gujarat is evaluated using a performance-based approach. The maps of PHA and PGA values prepared in this study are very useful for seismic hazard mitigation of the region in future. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

Suggested Citation

  • K. Vipin & T. Sitharam & S. Kolathayar, 2013. "Assessment of seismic hazard and liquefaction potential of Gujarat based on probabilistic approaches," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(2), pages 1179-1195, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:65:y:2013:i:2:p:1179-1195
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0140-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. K. Vipin & T. Sitharam & P. Anbazhagan, 2010. "Probabilistic evaluation of seismic soil liquefaction potential based on SPT data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(3), pages 547-560, June.
    2. T. Sitharam & K. Vipin, 2011. "Evaluation of spatial variation of peak horizontal acceleration and spectral acceleration for south India: a probabilistic approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(2), pages 639-653, November.
    3. P. Anbazhagan & J. Vinod & T. Sitharam, 2009. "Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for Bangalore," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 48(2), pages 145-166, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Reshma Raskar Phule & Deepankar Choudhury, 2017. "Seismic reliability-based analysis and GIS mapping of cyclic mobility of clayey soils of Mumbai city, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(1), pages 139-169, January.
    2. Asim Bashir & Dhiman Basu, 2018. "Revisiting probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Gujarat: an assessment of Indian design spectra," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(3), pages 1127-1164, April.

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