IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v107y2021i1d10.1007_s11069-021-04596-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment studies for Mumbai region

Author

Listed:
  • G. Surve

    (Indian Institute of Geomagnetism (IIG))

  • Jyotima Kanaujia

    (Indian Institute of Geomagnetism (IIG))

  • Nitin Sharma

    (CSIR-National Geophysical Research Institute (NGRI))

Abstract

The present study attempts to understand and assess the seismic hazard of Mumbai using probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) with an updated catalogue of earthquake clubbed with recent knowledge on seismotectonics of the region. An updated catalogue of instrumental and pre-instrumental earthquake data within 300 km radius around the city has been compiled from different sources. The PSHA has been computed using two different seismic source models, viz., a fault (linear) and zone model (areal). A hybrid of five suitable ground motion prediction models (GMPM) consisting of widely accepted and latest GMPMs is used to compute the PSHA of Mumbai. The results obtained from different methodologies are integrated with logic tree approach to minimize the epistemic uncertainties in hazard calculation. Probabilistic seismic hazard maps in terms of peak ground accelerations (PGA) at bedrock levels for 2% and 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years are developed for Mumbai. Uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) on bedrock at eight different sites within Mumbai for spectral periods of 0.01—2 s is also computed. The low seismic hazard is observed and reasonably compared with the previous PSHA studies done for Mumbai region.

Suggested Citation

  • G. Surve & Jyotima Kanaujia & Nitin Sharma, 2021. "Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment studies for Mumbai region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 575-600, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:107:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04596-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-021-04596-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-021-04596-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-021-04596-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sarika Desai & Deepankar Choudhury, 2014. "Spatial variation of probabilistic seismic hazard for Mumbai and surrounding region," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 1873-1898, April.
    2. P. Anbazhagan & J. Vinod & T. Sitharam, 2009. "Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for Bangalore," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 48(2), pages 145-166, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reshma Raskar Phule & Deepankar Choudhury, 2017. "Seismic reliability-based analysis and GIS mapping of cyclic mobility of clayey soils of Mumbai city, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(1), pages 139-169, January.
    2. Abhishek Kumar & Olympa Baro & N. H. Harinarayan, 2016. "Obtaining the surface PGA from site response analyses based on globally recorded ground motions and matching with the codal values," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 543-572, March.
    3. Abhishek Kumar & P. Anbazhagan & T. Sitharam, 2013. "Seismic hazard analysis of Lucknow considering local and active seismic gaps," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(1), pages 327-350, October.
    4. T. Sitharam & K. Vipin, 2011. "Evaluation of spatial variation of peak horizontal acceleration and spectral acceleration for south India: a probabilistic approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(2), pages 639-653, November.
    5. K. Vipin & T. Sitharam & S. Kolathayar, 2013. "Assessment of seismic hazard and liquefaction potential of Gujarat based on probabilistic approaches," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(2), pages 1179-1195, January.
    6. Ade Faisal & Taksiah Majid & Fauziah Ahmad & Felix Tongkul & Syafrina Sari, 2011. "Influence of large dam on seismic hazard in low seismic region of Ulu Padas Area, Northern Borneo," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(1), pages 237-269, October.
    7. Madan Mohan Rout & Josodhir Das & Kamal, 2018. "Probabilistic seismic hazard for Himalayan region using kernel estimation method (zone-free method)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(2), pages 967-985, September.
    8. Avik Paul & Suvam Gupta & Sima Ghosh & Deepankar Choudhury, 2020. "Probabilistic assessment and study of earthquake recurrence models for entire Northeast region of India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 15-45, May.
    9. Abhishek Kumar & Olympa Baro & N. H. Harinarayan, 2016. "Obtaining the surface PGA from site response analyses based on globally recorded ground motions and matching with the codal values," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 543-572, March.
    10. Abhishek Kumar & N. H. Harinarayan & Olympa Baro, 2017. "Nonlinear soil response to ground motions during different earthquakes in Nepal, to arrive at surface response spectra," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(1), pages 13-33, May.
    11. Asim Bashir & Dhiman Basu, 2018. "Revisiting probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Gujarat: an assessment of Indian design spectra," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(3), pages 1127-1164, April.
    12. Hing-Ho Tsang & Saman Yaghmaei-Sabegh & P. Anbazhagan & M. Neaz Sheikh, 2011. "A checking method for probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: case studies on three cities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 67-84, July.
    13. P. Anbazhagan & Ketan Bajaj & Satyajit Patel, 2015. "Seismic hazard maps and spectrum for Patna considering region-specific seismotectonic parameters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(2), pages 1163-1195, September.
    14. K. Vipin & T. Sitharam & P. Anbazhagan, 2010. "Probabilistic evaluation of seismic soil liquefaction potential based on SPT data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(3), pages 547-560, June.
    15. S. Elayaraja & S. Chandrasekaran & G. Ganapathy, 2015. "Evaluation of seismic hazard and potential of earthquake-induced landslides of the Nilgiris, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(3), pages 1997-2015, September.
    16. Diana L. Jaimes & Christian R. Escudero & Karen L. Flores & Araceli Zamora-Camacho, 2023. "Multicriteria seismic hazard and social vulnerability assessment in the Puerto Vallarta metropolitan area, Mexico: toward a comprehensive seismic risk analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2671-2692, March.
    17. Mohammad Ghobadi & Davood Fereidooni, 2012. "Seismic hazard assessment of the city of Hamedan and its vicinity, west of Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 63(2), pages 1025-1038, September.
    18. Jaykumar Shukla & Deepankar Choudhury, 2012. "Seismic hazard and site-specific ground motion for typical ports of Gujarat," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(2), pages 541-565, January.
    19. J. Wang & Yih-Min Wu & Duruo Huang & Su-Chin Chang, 2014. "A new procedure to best-fit earthquake magnitude probability distributions: including an example for Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 837-850, March.
    20. Ali Kavand & Hamid Alielahi, 2017. "Site-specific probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for northern part of the Qeshm Island, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(2), pages 919-946, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:107:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-021-04596-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.