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Flood hazard and damage assessment in the Ebro Delta (NW Mediterranean) to relative sea level rise

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  • Dagoberto Alvarado-Aguilar
  • José Jiménez
  • Robert Nicholls

Abstract

The impact of relative sea-level rise (RSLR), damage to and possible responses in the Ebro Delta (NW Mediterranean) has been analyzed. Impact was determined by delineating delta areas prone to flooding under different RSLR scenarios. The surface areas of the different habitats were then quantified for flooding impact and affected ecosystems were assessed. The obtained results enabled us to characterize the Ebro Delta as a coastal environment that is highly sensitive to changes in sea level, with affected flooded areas likely to range between about 45 and 60 % for different RSLR scenarios, from which about 26 % would be inundated by subsidence only. In absolute terms, the habitat most likely to be affected by flooding was cropland. In relative terms, the most affected habitats were those typical of the lowest areas: saltwater wetlands, riparian buffer and areas of saline vegetation. Under present deltaic evolution with no sediment supply, adaptation is considered a plausible option for managing the Ebro delta under a RSLR scenario. This implies permitting surface area losses or land use changes in the lower parts of the delta, where natural values will be reinforced, and concentrating agriculture in the higher parts of the deltaic plain. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

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  • Dagoberto Alvarado-Aguilar & José Jiménez & Robert Nicholls, 2012. "Flood hazard and damage assessment in the Ebro Delta (NW Mediterranean) to relative sea level rise," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(3), pages 1301-1321, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:62:y:2012:i:3:p:1301-1321
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0149-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richard Klein & Robert Nicholls & Nobuo Mimura, 1999. "Coastal Adaptation to Climate Change: Can the IPCC Technical Guidelines be applied?," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 239-252, September.
    2. R. J. Nicholls & S. Hanson & Celine Herweijer & Nicola Patmore & Stéphane Hallegatte & Jan Corfee-Morlot & Jean Château & Robert Muir-Wood, 2008. "Ranking Port Cities with High Exposure and Vulnerability to Climate Extremes: Exposure Estimates," OECD Environment Working Papers 1, OECD Publishing.
    3. Dasgupta, Susmita & Laplante, Benoit & Meisner, Craig & Wheeler, David & Jianping Yan, 2007. "The impact of sea level rise on developing countries : a comparative analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4136, The World Bank.
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    1. Ronghui Ye & Yong He & Shunchao Yu & Zhiyao Song, 2019. "Effects of recent morphodynamic evolution on flood regimes in the Pearl River Delta," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(3), pages 1091-1119, April.
    2. Marina Hernandez-Mora & Oliver Meseguer-Ruiz & Cyrus Karas & Fabrice Lambert, 2021. "Estimating coastal flood hazard of Tossa de Mar, Spain: a combined model – data interviews approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(3), pages 2153-2171, December.
    3. Caridad Ballesteros & José A. Jiménez & Christophe Viavattene, 2018. "A multi-component flood risk assessment in the Maresme coast (NW Mediterranean)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(1), pages 265-292, January.
    4. Khabat Khosravi & Ebrahim Nohani & Edris Maroufinia & Hamid Reza Pourghasemi, 2016. "A GIS-based flood susceptibility assessment and its mapping in Iran: a comparison between frequency ratio and weights-of-evidence bivariate statistical models with multi-criteria decision-making techn," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(2), pages 947-987, September.
    5. Omid Rahmati & Hamid Reza Pourghasemi, 2017. "Identification of Critical Flood Prone Areas in Data-Scarce and Ungauged Regions: A Comparison of Three Data Mining Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(5), pages 1473-1487, March.

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