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Sea-level rise and storm surges : a comparative analysis of impacts in developing countries

Author

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  • Dasgupta, Susmita
  • Laplante, Benoit
  • Murray, Siobhan
  • Wheeler, David

Abstract

An increase in sea surface temperature is evident at all latitudes and in all oceans. The current understanding is that ocean warming plays a major role in intensified cyclone activity and heightened storm surges. The vulnerability of coastlines to intensified storm surges can be ascertained by overlaying Geographic Information System information with data on land, population density, agriculture, urban extent, major cities, wetlands, and gross domestic product for inundation zones likely to experience more intense storms and a 1 meter sea-level rise. The results show severe impacts are likely to be limited to a relatively small number of countries and a cluster of large cities at the low end of the international income distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Dasgupta, Susmita & Laplante, Benoit & Murray, Siobhan & Wheeler, David, 2009. "Sea-level rise and storm surges : a comparative analysis of impacts in developing countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4901, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4901
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Trung X. Hoang & Nga V. T. Le, 2021. "Natural disasters and risk aversion: Evidence from Vietnam," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(3), pages 211-229, August.
    2. Leonid Sorokin & Gérard Mondello, 2015. "Sea Level Rise, Radical Uncertainties and Decision-Maker's Liability: The European Coastal Airports Case," GREDEG Working Papers 2015-46, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    3. David Wheeler & Dan Hammer, 2010. "The Economics of Population Policy for Carbon Emissions Reduction in Developing Countries," Working Papers id:3231, eSocialSciences.
    4. Michael Jacobsen & Michael Webster & Kalanithy Vairavamoorthy, 2013. "The Future of Water in African Cities : Why Waste Water?," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 11964.
    5. Moh Shadiqur Rahman & Novil Dedy Andriatmoko & Moh Saeri & Herman Subagio & Afrizal Malik & Joko Triastono & Renie Oelviani & Juliana C. Kilmanun & Helena da Silva & Marietje Pesireron & Rein Estefanu, 2022. "Climate Disasters and Subjective Well-Being among Urban and Rural Residents in Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.
    6. Ahmed I. Mehrim & Mohamed M. Refaey, 2023. "An Overview of the Implication of Climate Change on Fish Farming in Egypt," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-29, January.
    7. Demirel, Hande & Kompil, Mert & Nemry, Françoise, 2015. "A framework to analyze the vulnerability of European road networks due to Sea-Level Rise (SLR) and sea storm surges," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 62-76.
    8. D. Babu & Siva Sivalingam & Terry Machado, 2012. "Need for adaptation strategy against global sea level rise: an example from Saudi coast of Arabian gulf," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 17(7), pages 821-836, October.
    9. Jonatan A. Lassa & Allen Yu-Hung Lai & Tian Goh, 2016. "Climate extremes: an observation and projection of its impacts on food production in ASEAN," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 19-33, November.
    10. Emmanuel Abeka & Felix A. Asante & Wolfram Laube & Samuel N. A. Codjoe, 2020. "Contested causes of flooding in poor urban areas in Accra, Ghana: an actor-oriented perspective," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 3033-3049, April.
    11. Fatima Shah & Federica Ranghieri, 2012. "A Workbook on Planning for Urban Resilience in the Face of Disasters : Adapting Experiences from Vietnam’s Cities to Other Cities," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2235.
    12. The Anh Luu & An Thinh Nguyen & Quoc Anh Trinh & Van Tuan Pham & Ba Bien Le & Duc Thanh Nguyen & Quoc Nam Hoang & Ha T.T. Pham & The Kien Nguyen & Van Nang Luu & Luc Hens, 2019. "Farmers’ Intention to Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture in the Red River Delta Biosphere Reserve (Vietnam): A Combination of Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Protection Motivation Theory ," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-17, May.
    13. Sakib Mahmud & Gazi Mainul Hassan, 2014. "Consequences of Public Programs and Private Transfers on Household Investment in Storm Protection," Working Papers in Economics 14/01, University of Waikato.
    14. Hoang, Trung Xuan & Nga, Van Thi Le, 2021. "The Impact of Natural Disasters on Womenʼs Empowerment in Rural Vietnam," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 62(2), pages 101-123, December.
    15. Fatima Shah & Federica Ranghieri, 2012. "A Workbook on Planning for Urban Resilience in the Face of Disasters : Adapting Experiences from Vietnam’s Cities to Other Cities," World Bank Publications - Reports 2235, The World Bank Group.
    16. Ernest Molua, 2009. "Accommodation of climate change in coastal areas of cameroon: selection of household-level protection options," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 14(8), pages 721-735, December.
    17. World Bank & United Nations, 2010. "Natural Hazards, UnNatural Disasters : The Economics of Effective Prevention," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2512.
    18. Bosello, Francesco & De Cian, Enrica, 2014. "Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 593-605.
    19. LeDang TRUNG, 2013. "Economic and Welfare Impacts of Disasters in East Asia and Policy ResponsesL The Case of Vietnam," Working Papers DP-2013-11, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    20. Ernest Molua, 2012. "Climate extremes, location vulnerability and private costs of property protection in Southwestern Cameroon," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 293-310, March.
    21. Barbier,Edward B., 2015. "Climate change impacts on rural poverty in low-elevation coastal zones," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7475, The World Bank.
    22. Thinh An Nguyen & Dung Anh Vu & Phai Vu & Thanh Ngoc Nguyen & Tam Minh Pham & Hang Thi Thuy Nguyen & Hai Le & Thanh Viet Nguyen & Lich Khac Hoang & Thanh Duc Vu & Tung Song Nguyen & Tuyen Thi Luong & , 2017. "Human ecological effects of tropical storms in the coastal area of Ky Anh (Ha Tinh, Vietnam)," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 745-767, April.
    23. Al-Maamary, Hilal M.S. & Kazem, Hussein A. & Chaichan, Miqdam T., 2017. "Climate change: The game changer in the Gulf Cooperation Council Region," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 555-576.

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    Keywords

    Wetlands; Hazard Risk Management; Climate Change; Water Resources Assessment; Population Policies;
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