IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v114y2022i2d10.1007_s11069-022-05425-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Benchmarking household storm surge risk perceptions to scientific models in the Philippines

Author

Listed:
  • Aaron Opdyke

    (The University of Sydney)

  • Desmond Chiang

    (The University of Sydney)

  • Anthony Tsang

    (The University of Sydney)

  • Jacob Smyth

    (The University of Sydney)

Abstract

Household perceptions of hazards play an important role in mobilizing efforts for disaster risk reduction. This research aimed to examine perceptions of storm surge in the Philippines through a case study of the Municipality of Carigara located in the province of Leyte. Surveys from 1,093 households were collected asking about perceived storm surge exposure. Building vulnerability indicators were combined with storm surge inundation models and household perceptions to compare differences in storm surge risk. More than half of households in modelled inundation zones either did not know their exposure or believed they were not exposed to 2-m surge heights and above. While there was alignment between modelled and perceived risk of low-level storm surge events, our results show a significant disconnect between household perceptions and probabilistic models for larger storm surge inundation events, pointing to continued gaps in storm surge knowledge in the Philippines.

Suggested Citation

  • Aaron Opdyke & Desmond Chiang & Anthony Tsang & Jacob Smyth, 2022. "Benchmarking household storm surge risk perceptions to scientific models in the Philippines," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1285-1305, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:114:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05425-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-022-05425-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-022-05425-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-022-05425-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Susmita Dasgupta & Benoit Laplante & Siobhan Murray & David Wheeler, 2009. "Climate Change and the Future Impacts of Storm-Surge Disasters in Developing Countries," Working Papers 182, Center for Global Development.
    2. Seunghoo Jeong & D. K. Yoon, 2018. "Examining Vulnerability Factors to Natural Disasters with a Spatial Autoregressive Model: The Case of South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-13, May.
    3. Jean-Claude Thouret & Susanne Ettinger & Mathieu Guitton & Olivier Santoni & Christina Magill & Kim Martelli & Giulio Zuccaro & Victor Revilla & Juan Charca & Anita Arguedas, 2014. "Assessing physical vulnerability in large cities exposed to flash floods and debris flows: the case of Arequipa (Peru)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1771-1815, September.
    4. Dale Dominey-Howes & Paula Dunbar & Jesse Varner & Maria Papathoma-Köhle, 2010. "Estimating probable maximum loss from a Cascadia tsunami," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 53(1), pages 43-61, April.
    5. Adam Hatzikyriakou & Ning Lin, 2017. "Simulating storm surge waves for structural vulnerability estimation and flood hazard mapping," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(2), pages 939-962, November.
    6. Alfredo Mahar Lagmay & Norman Kerle, 2015. "Storm-surge models helped for Hagupit," Nature, Nature, vol. 519(7544), pages 414-414, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ke Wang & Yongsheng Yang & Genserik Reniers & Quanyi Huang, 2021. "A study into the spatiotemporal distribution of typhoon storm surge disasters in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 1237-1256, August.
    2. Chipo Mudavanhu & Tawanda Manyangadze & Emmanuel Mavhura & Ezra Pedzisai & Desmond Manatsa, 2020. "Rural households’ vulnerability and risk of flooding in Mbire District, Zimbabwe," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 3591-3608, September.
    3. Duygu Tufekci & Mehmet Lutfi Suzen & Ahmet Cevdet Yalciner & Andrey Zaytsev, 2018. "Revised MeTHuVA method for assessment of tsunami human vulnerability of Bakirkoy district, Istanbul," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(2), pages 943-974, January.
    4. Julia Kloos & Niklas Baumert, 2015. "Preventive resettlement in anticipation of sea level rise: a choice experiment from Alexandria, Egypt," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(1), pages 99-121, March.
    5. Seunghoo Jeong & Byeong Je Kim & Young‐Joo Lee & Ji‐Bum Chung & Sung‐Han Sim, 2020. "Individual Disaster Assistance For Socially Vulnerable People: Lessons Learned From the Pohang Earthquake in the Republic of Korea," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(11), pages 2373-2389, November.
    6. Anawat Suppasri & Erick Mas & Ingrid Charvet & Rashmin Gunasekera & Kentaro Imai & Yo Fukutani & Yoshi Abe & Fumihiko Imamura, 2013. "Building damage characteristics based on surveyed data and fragility curves of the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(2), pages 319-341, March.
    7. Dane Wiebe & Daniel Cox, 2014. "Application of fragility curves to estimate building damage and economic loss at a community scale: a case study of Seaside, Oregon," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(3), pages 2043-2061, April.
    8. K. Qu & W. Yao & H. S. Tang & A. Agrawal & G. Shields & S. I. Chien & S. Gurung & Y. Imam & I. Chiodi, 2021. "Extreme storm surges and waves and vulnerability of coastal bridges in New York City metropolitan region: an assessment based on Hurricane Sandy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(3), pages 2697-2734, February.
    9. Bera, Subhas & Das, Arup & Mazumder, Taraknath, 2021. "Spatial dimensions of dichotomous adaptive responses to natural hazards in coastal districts of West Bengal, India," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    10. Teresa Vera San Martín & Gary Rodriguez Rosado & Patricia Arreaga Vargas & Leonardo Gutierrez, 2018. "Population and building vulnerability assessment by possible worst-case tsunami scenarios in Salinas, Ecuador," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 275-297, August.
    11. Pugatch, Todd, 2019. "Tropical storms and mortality under climate change," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 172-182.
    12. Juri Kim & Tae-Hyoung Tommy Gim, 2020. "Assessment of social vulnerability to floods on Java, Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 101-114, May.
    13. Fahad, Md Golam Rabbani & Nazari, Rouzbeh & Motamedi, M.H. & Karimi, Maryam, 2022. "A Decision-Making Framework Integrating Fluid and Solid Systems to Assess Resilience of Coastal Communities Experiencing Extreme Storm Events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    14. Xiaotong Sui & Mingzhao Hu & Haoyun Wang & Lingdi Zhao, 2023. "Improved elasticity estimation model for typhoon storm surge losses in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 2363-2381, March.
    15. Edna M. Rodríguez-Gaviria & Sol Ochoa-Osorio & Alejandro Builes-Jaramillo & Verónica Botero-Fernández, 2019. "Computational Bottom-Up Vulnerability Indicator for Low-Income Flood-Prone Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-19, August.
    16. Kerim Koc & Zeynep Işık, 2020. "A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 1079-1110, October.
    17. Young Seok Song & Moo Jong Park, 2018. "A Study on Estimation Equation for Damage and Recovery Costs Considering Human Losses Focused on Natural Disasters in the Republic of Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-16, August.
    18. Jon Rosales & Carol Cady & Glenn Juday & Claire Alix & Miho Morimoto & Jessica Chapman & Dakota Casserly & Sophia Katchatag, 2021. "Storm surge proxies in a data-poor landscape: a practical monitoring method for under-surveyed and -studied communities vulnerable to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-17, January.
    19. Pavel Tkalich & P. Vethamony & M. Babu & Paola Malanotte-Rizzoli, 2013. "Storm surges in the Singapore Strait due to winds in the South China Sea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 66(3), pages 1345-1362, April.
    20. Seungwon Kang & Jaeweon Yeom & Juchul Jung, 2021. "Urban Form and Natural Hazards: Exploring the Dual Aspect Concept of Urban Forms on Flood Damage," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-16, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:114:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-022-05425-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.