IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v34y2020i3d10.1007_s11269-020-02490-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Coupled Hydrodynamic and Geospatial Model for Assessing Resiliency of Coastal Structures under Extreme Storm Scenarios

Author

Listed:
  • Md Golam Rabbani Fahad

    (University of Alabama at Birmingham)

  • Rouzbeh Nazari

    (University of Alabama at Birmingham)

  • M. H. Motamedi

    (BaseHealth, Inc.)

  • Maryam E. Karimi

    (University of Alabama at Birmingham)

Abstract

The hydrodynamic effects of flooding during extreme storm events are the leading cause of structural damage to impacted properties and due to their complexity, it is difficult to accurately estimate structural damage and flood vulnerability. We propose a robust structural damage assessment model that considers the dynamic behavior of flooding coupled with the structural and regional characteristics of buildings by using of a pair hydrodynamic model i.e., the advanced circulation (ADCIRC) and two-dimensional unsteady flow (TUFLOW). Fine-scale inland flooding scenarios were developed to simulate heavily impacted areas of coastal New Jersey in the United States (US) based on the historical storm Hurricane Sandy (2012). The models were calibrated and validated using multiple sets of observed data as well as using several performance metrics. The corresponding Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and R-squared (R2) values were found to be in the range of 0.426–0.81 and 0.56–0.91, respectively, during the ADCIRC calibration process. A spatial comparison with the observed inundation data revealed that the correlation coefficient and root mean square error (RMSE) for the inland flood modelling by TUFLOW were 0.79 and 0.71, respectively, with a 96.49% coefficient of similarity. A structural damage model was developed by combining the hydrodynamic components of flooding with several structural characteristics. In a comparison of the observed and model-simulated damage counts, the results indicate the conservative nature of the damage-prediction model with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 40.26 and RMSE of 58.67. Using a GIS framework, the damage assessment results for a particular type of storm were mapped to illustrate the damage levels of individual properties.

Suggested Citation

  • Md Golam Rabbani Fahad & Rouzbeh Nazari & M. H. Motamedi & Maryam E. Karimi, 2020. "Coupled Hydrodynamic and Geospatial Model for Assessing Resiliency of Coastal Structures under Extreme Storm Scenarios," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(3), pages 1123-1138, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02490-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-020-02490-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-020-02490-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-020-02490-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephane Hallegatte & Colin Green & Robert J. Nicholls & Jan Corfee-Morlot, 2013. "Future flood losses in major coastal cities," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(9), pages 802-806, September.
    2. Vasilis Bellos & George Tsakiris, 2015. "Comparing Various Methods of Building Representation for 2D Flood Modelling In Built-Up Areas," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 379-397, January.
    3. Aimilia Pistrika & Sebastiaan Jonkman, 2010. "Damage to residential buildings due to flooding of New Orleans after hurricane Katrina," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 54(2), pages 413-434, August.
    4. K. Söderholm & M. Pihlajamäki & T. Dubrovin & N. Veijalainen & B. Vehviläinen & M. Marttunen, 2018. "Collaborative Planning in Adaptive Flood Risk Management under Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1383-1397, March.
    5. Wen Zhang & Jing Li & Yunhao Chen & Yang Li, 2019. "A Surrogate-Based Optimization Design and Uncertainty Analysis for Urban Flood Mitigation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4201-4214, September.
    6. Adam Hatzikyriakou & Ning Lin, 2017. "Simulating storm surge waves for structural vulnerability estimation and flood hazard mapping," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 89(2), pages 939-962, November.
    7. Jae Yeol Song & Eun-Sung Chung, 2016. "Robustness, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of the TOPSIS Method for Quantitative Climate Change Vulnerability: a Case Study of Flood Damage," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4751-4771, October.
    8. Ismail Haltas & Sebnem Elçi & Gokmen Tayfur, 2016. "Numerical Simulation of Flood Wave Propagation in Two-Dimensions in Densely Populated Urban Areas due to Dam Break," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(15), pages 5699-5721, December.
    9. Bing-Chen Jhong & Jung Huang & Ching-Pin Tung, 2019. "Spatial Assessment of Climate Risk for Investigating Climate Adaptation Strategies by Evaluating Spatial-Temporal Variability of Extreme Precipitation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(10), pages 3377-3400, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fahad, Md Golam Rabbani & Nazari, Rouzbeh & Motamedi, M.H. & Karimi, Maryam, 2022. "A Decision-Making Framework Integrating Fluid and Solid Systems to Assess Resilience of Coastal Communities Experiencing Extreme Storm Events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fatemeh Yavari & Seyyed Ali Salehi Neyshabouri & Jafar Yazdi & Amir Molajou & Adam Brysiewicz, 2022. "A Novel Framework for Urban Flood damage Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(6), pages 1991-2011, April.
    2. Fahad, Md Golam Rabbani & Nazari, Rouzbeh & Motamedi, M.H. & Karimi, Maryam, 2022. "A Decision-Making Framework Integrating Fluid and Solid Systems to Assess Resilience of Coastal Communities Experiencing Extreme Storm Events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Neslihan Beden & Asli Ulke Keskin, 2021. "Estimation of the local financial costs of flood damage with different methodologies in Unye (Ordu), Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(3), pages 2835-2854, September.
    4. Francesco Macchione & Gianluca De Lorenzo & Pierfranco Costabile & Babak Razdar, 2016. "The Power Function for Representing the Reservoir Rating Curve: Morphological Meaning and Suitability for Dam Breach Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4861-4881, October.
    5. Abinash Bhattachan & Matthew D. Jurjonas & Priscilla R. Morris & Paul J. Taillie & Lindsey S. Smart & Ryan E. Emanuel & Erin L. Seekamp, 2019. "Linking residential saltwater intrusion risk perceptions to physical exposure of climate change impacts in rural coastal communities of North Carolina," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(3), pages 1277-1295, July.
    6. Denis Maragno & Michele Dalla Fontana & Francesco Musco, 2020. "Mapping Heat Stress Vulnerability and Risk Assessment at the Neighborhood Scale to Drive Urban Adaptation Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, February.
    7. Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf & Alfred Kalyanapu & Eun-Sung Chung, 2015. "Evaluating the Effects of Inundation Duration and Velocity on Selection of Flood Management Alternatives Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2543-2561, June.
    8. Ping Lan & Li Guo & Yaling Zhang & Guanghua Qin & Xiaodong Li & Carlos R. Mello & Elizabeth W. Boyer & Yehui Zhang & Bihang Fan, 2024. "Updating probable maximum precipitation for Hong Kong under intensifying extreme precipitation events," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(2), pages 1-20, February.
    9. Allan Beltrán & David Maddison & Robert J. R. Elliott, 2018. "Assessing the Economic Benefits of Flood Defenses: A Repeat‐Sales Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(11), pages 2340-2367, November.
    10. N. Zhang & H. Huang, 2018. "Assessment of world disaster severity processed by Gaussian blur based on large historical data: casualties as an evaluating indicator," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(1), pages 173-187, May.
    11. Céline Grislain-Letrémy & Bertrand Villeneuve, 2019. "Natural disasters, land-use, and insurance," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Theory, Springer;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 44(1), pages 54-86, March.
    12. Fabian Quichimbo-Miguitama & David Matamoros & Leticia Jiménez & Pablo Quichimbo-Miguitama, 2022. "Influence of Low-Impact Development in Flood Control: A Case Study of the Febres Cordero Stormwater System of Guayaquil (Ecuador)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, June.
    13. Martin Vezér & Alexander Bakker & Klaus Keller & Nancy Tuana, 2018. "Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(1), pages 1-10, March.
    14. Shuyu Yang & Jiaju Lin & Xiongzhi Xue, 2024. "Climate Change May Increase the Impact of Coastal Flooding on Carbon Storage in China’s Coastal Terrestrial Ecosystems," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, November.
    15. Sadie J. Ryan & Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra & Eunice Ordóñez-Enireb & Winnie Chu & Julia L. Finkelstein & Christine A. King & Luis E. Escobar & Christina Lupone & Froilan Heras & Erica Tauzer & Egan Waggon, 2018. "Spatiotemporal Variation in Environmental Vibrio cholerae in an Estuary in Southern Coastal Ecuador," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-13, March.
    16. Ke Wang & Yongsheng Yang & Genserik Reniers & Quanyi Huang, 2021. "A study into the spatiotemporal distribution of typhoon storm surge disasters in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 1237-1256, August.
    17. Adriana Kocornik-Mina & Thomas K. J. McDermott & Guy Michaels & Ferdinand Rauch, 2020. "Flooded Cities," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 35-66, April.
    18. Matthias Garschagen & Gusti Ayu Ketut Surtiari & Mostapha Harb, 2018. "Is Jakarta’s New Flood Risk Reduction Strategy Transformational?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, August.
    19. Mark Zandvoort & Nora Kooijmans & Paul Kirshen & Adri van den Brink, 2019. "Designing with Pathways: A Spatial Design Approach for Adaptive and Sustainable Landscapes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-24, January.
    20. Weijiang Li & Jiahong Wen & Bo Xu & Xiande Li & Shiqiang Du, 2018. "Integrated Assessment of Economic Losses in Manufacturing Industry in Shanghai Metropolitan Area Under an Extreme Storm Flood Scenario," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02490-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.