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Failure probability analysis by employing fuzzy fault tree analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammad Yazdi

    (Eastern Mediterranean University)

  • Farzaneh Nikfar

    (Shahid Tondgouyan Petrochemical Company)

  • Mahnaz Nasrabadi

    (Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University)

Abstract

A significant number of accidents occur every year in chemical plants because of the failure of components. In order to manage this risk, fault tree analysis (FTA), a well-known method, was employed for failure probability analysis in the mentioned field. A complete access to the failure data is vital for quantitative FTA. There is always a shortage of information for computing failure probability of the components in high-tech industries such as chemical plants. However, the failure data is not always available, thus FTA can be extended by using the fuzzy set theory to overcome this problem. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to extend fuzzy FTA by considering common cause failure and dependency between the components. In fact, the present study was designed to consider the theoretical and practical aspect of the chemical storage tank as one of the important units in chemical plants.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Yazdi & Farzaneh Nikfar & Mahnaz Nasrabadi, 2017. "Failure probability analysis by employing fuzzy fault tree analysis," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 8(2), pages 1177-1193, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ijsaem:v:8:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s13198-017-0583-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s13198-017-0583-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arman Nedjati & Bela Vizvari & Gokhan Izbirak, 2016. "Post-earthquake response by small UAV helicopters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1669-1688, February.
    2. Arman Nedjati & Bela Vizvari & Gokhan Izbirak, 2016. "Post-earthquake response by small UAV helicopters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1669-1688, February.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Weiliang Qiao & Yu Liu & Xiaoxue Ma & Yang Liu, 2020. "Human Factors Analysis for Maritime Accidents Based on a Dynamic Fuzzy Bayesian Network," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(5), pages 957-980, May.
    3. Weiliang Qiao & Yang Liu & Xiaoxue Ma & He Lan, 2021. "Cognitive Gap and Correlation of Safety-I and Safety-II: A Case of Maritime Shipping Safety Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-24, May.
    4. Özgür-Ünlüakın, Demet & Türkali, Busenur, 2021. "Evaluation of proactive maintenance policies on a stochastically dependent hidden multi-component system using DBNs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    5. Hamzeh Soltanali & Mehdi Khojastehpour & José Torres Farinha & José Edmundo de Almeida e Pais, 2021. "An Integrated Fuzzy Fault Tree Model with Bayesian Network-Based Maintenance Optimization of Complex Equipment in Automotive Manufacturing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-21, November.
    6. Wen Li & Xuesong Lu & Menglong Wu, 2024. "Safety risk assessment model of a subway tunnel collapse system based on improved DOW-FFTA method," International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies, Oxford University Press, vol. 19, pages 171-184.
    7. Chemweno, Peter & Pintelon, Liliane & Muchiri, Peter Nganga & Van Horenbeek, Adriaan, 2018. "Risk assessment methodologies in maintenance decision making: A review of dependability modelling approaches," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 64-77.
    8. Wen Li & Yicheng Ye & Nanyan Hu & Xianhua Wang & Qihu Wang, 2019. "Real-Time Warning and Risk Assessment of Tailings Dam Disaster Status Based on Dynamic Hierarchy-Grey Relation Analysis," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-14, April.
    9. Varsha Sehgal & Naval Garg & Jagvinder Singh, 2023. "Impact of sustainability reporting and performance on organization legitimacy," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 14(1), pages 143-153, March.

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