IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/finsto/v19y2015i4p849-889.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pricing and hedging Asian-style options on energy

Author

Listed:
  • Fred Benth
  • Nils Detering

Abstract

We solve the problem of pricing and hedging Asian-style options on energy with a quadratic risk criterion when trading in the underlying future is restricted. Liquid trading in the future is only possible up to the start of a so-called delivery period. After the start of the delivery period, the hedge positions cannot be adjusted any more until maturity. This reflects the trading situation at the Nordic energy market Nord Pool, for example. We show that there exists a unique solution to this combined continuous–discrete quadratic hedging problem if the future price process is a special semimartingale with bounded mean–variance tradeoff. Additionally, under the assumption that the future price process is a local martingale, the hedge positions before the averaging period are inherited from the market specification without trading restriction. As an application, we consider three models and derive their quadratic hedge positions in explicit form: a simple Black–Scholes model with time-dependent volatility, the stochastic volatility model of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard, and an exponential additive model. Based on an exponential spot price model driven by two NIG Lévy processes, we determine an exponential additive model for the future price by moment matching techniques. We calculate hedge positions and determine the quadratic hedging error in a simulation study. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Fred Benth & Nils Detering, 2015. "Pricing and hedging Asian-style options on energy," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 849-889, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:19:y:2015:i:4:p:849-889
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-015-0270-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00780-015-0270-2
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00780-015-0270-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ernst Eberlein & Sebastian Raible, 1999. "Term Structure Models Driven by General Lévy Processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), pages 31-53, January.
    2. Martin Schweizer, 1995. "Variance-Optimal Hedging in Discrete Time," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 1-32, February.
    3. St'ephane Goutte & Nadia Oudjane & Francesco Russo, 2013. "Variance optimal hedging for continuous time additive processes and applications," Papers 1302.1965, arXiv.org.
    4. Eduardo Schwartz & James E. Smith, 2000. "Short-Term Variations and Long-Term Dynamics in Commodity Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(7), pages 893-911, July.
    5. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11532 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Benth, Fred Espen & Klüppelberg, Claudia & Müller, Gernot & Vos, Linda, 2014. "Futures pricing in electricity markets based on stable CARMA spot models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 392-406.
    7. Rüdiger Kiesel & Matthias Scherer & Rudi Zagst (ed.), 2010. "Alternative Investments and Strategies," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 7373, August.
    8. St'ephane Goutte & Nadia Oudjane & Francesco Russo, 2012. "Variance Optimal Hedging for discrete time processes with independent increments. Application to Electricity Markets," Papers 1205.4089, arXiv.org.
    9. Schweizer, Martin, 1992. "Martingale densities for general asset prices," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 363-378.
    10. Weron, Rafal, 2008. "Market price of risk implied by Asian-style electricity options and futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 1098-1115, May.
    11. Jan Vecer & Mingxin Xu, 2004. "Pricing Asian options in a semimartingale model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 170-175.
    12. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Non‐Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck‐based models and some of their uses in financial economics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(2), pages 167-241.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Müller, Gernot & Seibert, Armin, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of stable CARMA spot models for electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 267-277.
    2. Panagiotis Christodoulou & Nils Detering & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2017. "Local risk-minimization with multiple assets under illiquidity with applications in energy markets," Papers 1705.06918, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
    3. Takuji Arai & Yuto Imai & Ryoichi Suzuki, 2017. "Local risk-minimization for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 551-592, April.
    4. Elisa Alòs & Jorge A. León, 2019. "A note on the implied volatility of floating strike Asian options," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 743-758, December.
    5. Panagiotis Christodoulou & Nils Detering & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2018. "Local Risk-Minimization With Multiple Assets Under Illiquidity With Applications In Energy Markets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(04), pages 1-44, June.
    6. Adland, Roar & Benth, Fred Espen & Koekebakker, Steen, 2018. "Multivariate modeling and analysis of regional ocean freight rates," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 194-221.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Julien Chevallier & Stéphane Goutte, 2017. "Estimation of Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes: application to modeling of $$\hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 and fuel-switching," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 255(1), pages 169-197, August.
    2. Hinderks, W.J. & Wagner, A., 2020. "Factor models in the German electricity market: Stylized facts, seasonality, and calibration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    3. Deschatre, Thomas & Féron, Olivier & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    4. Michel Culot & Valérie Goffin & Steve Lawford & Sébastien de Meten & Yves Smeers, 2013. "Practical stochastic modelling of electricity prices," Post-Print hal-01021603, HAL.
    5. Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2014. "On the Stochastic Properties of Carbon Futures Prices," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 58(1), pages 127-153, May.
    6. Algieri, Bernardina & Leccadito, Arturo & Tunaru, Diana, 2021. "Risk premia in electricity derivatives markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    7. Pham, Viet Son, 2020. "Lévy-driven causal CARMA random fields," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(12), pages 7547-7574.
    8. Fred Espen Benth & Hanna Zdanowicz, 2016. "Pricing And Hedging Of Energy Spread Options And Volatility Modulated Volterra Processes," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(01), pages 1-22, February.
    9. Friedrich Hubalek & Petra Posedel, 2011. "Joint analysis and estimation of stock prices and trading volume in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 917-932.
    10. Fred Espen Benth & Hanna Zdanowicz, 2014. "Pricing and hedging of energy spread options and volatility modulated Volterra processes," Papers 1409.5801, arXiv.org.
    11. Fred Espen Benth & Heidar Eyjolfsson, 2015. "Representation and approximation of ambit fields in Hilbert space," Papers 1509.08272, arXiv.org.
    12. Christian Laudag'e & Florian Aichinger & Sascha Desmettre, 2023. "A Comparative Study of Factor Models for Different Periods of the Electricity Spot Price Market," Papers 2306.07731, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    13. Stefan Trück & Rafał Weron, 2016. "Convenience Yields and Risk Premiums in the EU‐ETS—Evidence from the Kyoto Commitment Period," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 587-611, June.
    14. Rowińska, Paulina A. & Veraart, Almut E.D. & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A multi-factor approach to modelling the impact of wind energy on electricity spot prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    15. Friedrich Hubalek & Martin Keller-Ressel & Carlo Sgarra, 2014. "Geometric Asian Option Pricing in General Affine Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps," Papers 1407.2514, arXiv.org.
    16. de Oliveira, Denis Luis & Brandao, Luiz E. & Igrejas, Rafael & Gomes, Leonardo Lima, 2014. "Switching outputs in a bioenergy cogeneration project: A real options approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 74-82.
    17. Lorenzo Mercuri & Andrea Perchiazzo & Edit Rroji, 2020. "Finite Mixture Approximation of CARMA(p,q) Models," Papers 2005.10130, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    18. Nomikos, Nikos K. & Soldatos, Orestes A., 2010. "Analysis of model implied volatility for jump diffusion models: Empirical evidence from the Nordpool market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 302-312, March.
    19. Piergiacomo Sabino, 2021. "Normal Tempered Stable Processes and the Pricing of Energy Derivatives," Papers 2105.03071, arXiv.org.
    20. Adland, Roar & Benth, Fred Espen & Koekebakker, Steen, 2018. "Multivariate modeling and analysis of regional ocean freight rates," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 194-221.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asian options; Energy markets; Trading restrictions; Quadratic hedging; Moment matching; 91G20; 60G99; C61; G11; G12; G13;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:19:y:2015:i:4:p:849-889. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.