IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/quantf/v11y2011i6p917-932.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Joint analysis and estimation of stock prices and trading volume in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models

Author

Listed:
  • Friedrich Hubalek
  • Petra Posedel

Abstract

We introduce a variant of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility model where the non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes some measure of trading intensity like trading volume or number of trades instead of unobservable instantaneous variance. We develop an explicit estimator based on martingale estimating functions in a bivariate model that is not a diffusion, but admits jumps. It is assumed that both the quantities are observed on a discrete grid of fixed width, and the observation horizon tends to infinity. We show that the estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal and give explicit expressions of the asymptotic covariance matrix. Our method is illustrated by a finite sample experiment and a statistical analysis of IBM™ stock from the New York Stock Exchange and Microsoft Corporation™ stock from Nasdaq during a history of five years.

Suggested Citation

  • Friedrich Hubalek & Petra Posedel, 2011. "Joint analysis and estimation of stock prices and trading volume in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 917-932.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:11:y:2011:i:6:p:917-932
    DOI: 10.1080/14697680903547907
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14697680903547907
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/14697680903547907?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ernst Eberlein & Sebastian Raible, 1999. "Term Structure Models Driven by General Lévy Processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), pages 31-53, January.
    2. Elisa Nicolato & Emmanouil Venardos, 2003. "Option Pricing in Stochastic Volatility Models of the Ornstein‐Uhlenbeck type," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(4), pages 445-466, October.
    3. Jones, Charles M & Kaul, Gautam & Lipson, Marc L, 1994. "Transactions, Volume, and Volatility," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(4), pages 631-651.
    4. Mathieu Kessler, 2000. "Simple and Explicit Estimating Functions for a Discretely Observed Diffusion Process," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 27(1), pages 65-82, March.
    5. Mathieu Kessler & Silvestre Paredes, 2002. "Computational Aspects Related to Martingale Estimating Functions for a Discretely Observed Diffusion," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 29(3), pages 425-440, September.
    6. Griffin, J.E. & Steel, M.F.J., 2006. "Inference with non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 605-644, October.
    7. Friedrich Hubalek & Petra Posedel, 2008. "Asymptotic analysis for a simple explicit estimator in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models," Papers 0807.3479, arXiv.org.
    8. Friedrich Hubalek & Petra Posedel, 2011. "Joint analysis and estimation of stock prices and trading volume in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 917-932.
    9. Martin Jacobsen, 2001. "Discretely Observed Diffusions: Classes of Estimating Functions and Small Δ‐optimality," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 123-149, March.
    10. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Non‐Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck‐based models and some of their uses in financial economics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(2), pages 167-241.
    11. Masayuki Uchida, 2004. "Estimation for Discretely Observed Small Diffusions Based on Approximate Martingale Estimating Functions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 31(4), pages 553-566, December.
    12. Gallant, A Ronald & Rossi, Peter E & Tauchen, George, 1992. "Stock Prices and Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 199-242.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Indranil Sengupta, 2016. "Generalized Bn–S Stochastic Volatility Model For Option Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(02), pages 1-23, March.
    2. Szczepocki Piotr, 2020. "Application of iterated filtering to stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 21(2), pages 173-187, June.
    3. Piotr Szczepocki, 2020. "Application of iterated filtering to stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 21(2), pages 173-187, June.
    4. Michael Schröder, 2015. "Discrete-Time Approximation of Functionals in Models of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Type, with Applications to Finance," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 285-313, June.
    5. Friedrich Hubalek & Petra Posedel, 2011. "Joint analysis and estimation of stock prices and trading volume in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(6), pages 917-932.
    6. Petra Posedel Šimović & Azra Tafro, 2021. "Pricing the Volatility Risk Premium with a Discrete Stochastic Volatility Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-15, August.
    7. José Fajardo, 2014. "Symmetry and Bates’ rule in Ornstein–Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility models," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 319-327, October.
    8. 'Alvaro Guinea Juli'a & Alet Roux, 2024. "Higher order approximation of option prices in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard models," Papers 2401.14390, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Friedrich Hubalek & Petra Posedel, 2008. "Asymptotic analysis for a simple explicit estimator in Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility models," Papers 0807.3479, arXiv.org.
    2. Piotr Szczepocki, 2020. "Application of iterated filtering to stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 21(2), pages 173-187, June.
    3. Carl Lindberg, 2008. "The estimation of the Barndorff‐Nielsen and Shephard model from daily data based on measures of trading intensity," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 277-289, July.
    4. Michael Schröder, 2015. "Discrete-Time Approximation of Functionals in Models of Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Type, with Applications to Finance," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 285-313, June.
    5. Szczepocki Piotr, 2020. "Application of iterated filtering to stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 21(2), pages 173-187, June.
    6. Álvaro Cartea & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2010. "How Duration Between Trades of Underlying Securities Affects Option Prices," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(4), pages 749-785.
    7. Creal, Drew D., 2008. "Analysis of filtering and smoothing algorithms for Lévy-driven stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 2863-2876, February.
    8. Indranil Sengupta, 2016. "Generalized Bn–S Stochastic Volatility Model For Option Pricing," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(02), pages 1-23, March.
    9. Griffin, J.E. & Steel, M.F.J., 2010. "Bayesian inference with stochastic volatility models using continuous superpositions of non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2594-2608, November.
    10. Helle Sørensen, 2002. "Parametric Inference for Diffusion Processes Observed at Discrete Points in Time: a Survey," Discussion Papers 02-08, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    11. Hainaut, Donatien & Devolder, Pierre, 2008. "Mortality modelling with Lévy processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 409-418, February.
    12. Fred Espen Benth & Martin Groth & Rodwell Kufakunesu, 2007. "Valuing Volatility and Variance Swaps for a Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Stochastic Volatility Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 347-363.
    13. Finlay, Richard & Seneta, Eugene, 2012. "A Generalized Hyperbolic model for a risky asset with dependence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(12), pages 2164-2169.
    14. Griffin, J.E. & Steel, M.F.J., 2006. "Inference with non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 605-644, October.
    15. Michael Sørensen, 2008. "Parametric inference for discretely sampled stochastic differential equations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    16. Karl Friedrich Hofmann & Thorsten Schulz, 2016. "A General Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Stochastic Volatility Model With Lévy Jumps," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(08), pages 1-23, December.
    17. Raknerud, Arvid & Skare, Øivind, 2012. "Indirect inference methods for stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3260-3275.
    18. J. Jimenez & R. Biscay & T. Ozaki, 2005. "Inference Methods for Discretely Observed Continuous-Time Stochastic Volatility Models: A Commented Overview," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 12(2), pages 109-141, June.
    19. Koski, Jennifer Lynch, 1998. "Measurement Effects and the Variance of Returns after Stock Splits and Stock Dividends," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 143-162.
    20. Almut Veraart & Luitgard Veraart, 2012. "Stochastic volatility and stochastic leverage," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 205-233, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:11:y:2011:i:6:p:917-932. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/RQUF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.