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Disentangling the relationship between Bitcoin and market attention measures

Author

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  • Gianna Figà-Talamanca

    (University of Perugia)

  • Marco Patacca

    (Léonard de Vinci Pôle Universitaire, Research Center)

Abstract

In the last few years Bitcoin price dynamics has been the subject of intense research. One of the main stream of investigation is the identification of relevant factors affecting its returns and volatility; empirical evidence suggests a positive association between returns and sentiment proxies about the Bitcoin network, such as Wikipedia inquiries, internet search intensity on the topic, trading volume in main exchanges or sentiment measures obtained via natural language processing algorithms applied on specialized forums comments or social media posts on the theme. In this paper we investigate the association of trading volume and internet search intensity with Bitcoin returns and volatility, complementing the outcomes in Figá-Talamanca and Patacca (Decis Econ Fin ISSN: 1129-6569, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10203-019-00258-7, 2019) and Urquhart (Econ Lett 166:40–44, ISSN: 0165-1765, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.02.017, 2018): we find no direct relationship between the two market attention measures and returns while both the trading volume and the internet search intensity affect positively Bitcoin volatility. Conversely, an increase in Bitcoin returns does increase both trading volume and internet search intensity, evidencing an inverse relationship between returns and attention measures. As a byproduct, we also detect a positive association between trading volume and the internet search intensity and no reverse relationship. Since market attention, especially internet search volume, do increase around relevant events and corresponding news or announcements for the Bitcoin market, we also analyze whether and to which extent the above relationships change, after specific events are taken into account. Indeed, by applying two different approaches, we show that the relationships may change significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Gianna Figà-Talamanca & Marco Patacca, 2020. "Disentangling the relationship between Bitcoin and market attention measures," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(1), pages 71-91, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:epolin:v:47:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s40812-019-00133-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s40812-019-00133-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Alessandra Cretarola & Gianna Figà-Talamanca & Cyril Grunspan, 2021. "Blockchain and cryptocurrencies: economic and financial research," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 781-787, December.
    2. Figà-Talamanca, Gianna & Focardi, Sergio & Patacca, Marco, 2021. "Regime switches and commonalities of the cryptocurrencies asset class," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Xun Zhang & Fengbin Lu & Rui Tao & Shouyang Wang, 2021. "The time-varying causal relationship between the Bitcoin market and internet attention," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, December.
    4. Gianna Figá-Talamanca & Sergio Focardi & Marco Patacca, 2021. "Common dynamic factors for cryptocurrencies and multiple pair-trading statistical arbitrages," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 863-882, December.
    5. Yarovaya, Larisa & Zięba, Damian, 2022. "Intraday volume-return nexus in cryptocurrency markets: Novel evidence from cryptocurrency classification," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    6. Raza, Syed Ali & Ahmed, Maiyra & Aloui, Chaker, 2022. "On the asymmetrical connectedness between cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the nonparametric quantile on quantile approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    7. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu, 2023. "Exploring the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news on the cryptocurrency market: evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach and frequency domain causality," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
    8. Giancarlo Giudici & Alistair Milne & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies: market analysis and perspectives," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(1), pages 1-18, March.
    9. Suardi, Sandy & Rasel, Atiqur Rahman & Liu, Bin, 2022. "On the predictive power of tweet sentiments and attention on bitcoin," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 289-301.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Investor attention; VAR models; GARCH models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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