IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v23y2021i10d10.1007_s10668-021-01299-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial analysis of drought severity and magnitude using the standardized precipitation index and streamflow drought index over the Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Sohail Abbas

    (Konkuk University)

  • Shazia Kousar

    (University of Jhang)

Abstract

Droughts are one of the multidimensional extreme events that negatively influence agriculture, water availability and food security in the World. The Upper Indus Basin (UIB) is the major river system in the world that contributes 80% of the surface water availability in Pakistan. The objective of the current study is to analyze the spatial patterns of drought severity and magnitude using the standardized precipitation index and streamflow drought index. These drought indices were used to estimate the characteristics and a variation of the droughts annual, pre-monsoon and post-monsoon seasons for the period of 1991–2017. Results revealed that the northeastern side of the Upper Indus Basin was greatly influenced by the droughts as compared to the southwestern side. The duration from 1997 to 1998 was strongly correlated with El Nino and La Nina (ENSO) in a strong way. This type of ENSO indicates the severe drought for 5 years from 1998 to 2002 in the UIB. The episode of the warm water oceans mechanism was also strengthened in 1996, 1997, 1998, 2000, 2001 and 2002 drought years. La Nina effect has been observed in the wet and cold phase during the year of 1999. The study indicated the severe SDI drought in the years of 1991 and 2001. The study also indicated that the streamflow drought index in the post-monsoon season was marked by extreme level drought magnitude at G. Habibullah (2001), Muzaffarabad (2001), Yogo (1993) and Dhok Pathan (1998). The results of the current investigation would help policymakers to introduce new types of drought risk reduction measures for drought preparedness at the regional and the national level in Pakistan. Graphic Abstract

Suggested Citation

  • Sohail Abbas & Shazia Kousar, 2021. "Spatial analysis of drought severity and magnitude using the standardized precipitation index and streamflow drought index over the Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(10), pages 15314-15340, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:23:y:2021:i:10:d:10.1007_s10668-021-01299-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-021-01299-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-021-01299-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-021-01299-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. C. S. Murthy & Jyoti Singh & Pavan Kumar & M. V. R. Sesha Sai, 2016. "Meteorological drought analysis over India using analytical framework on CPC rainfall time series," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 573-587, March.
    2. Parsons, David J. & Rey, Dolores & Tanguy, Maliko & Holman, Ian P., 2019. "Regional variations in the link between drought indices and reported agricultural impacts of drought," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 119-129.
    3. Muhammad Athar Haroon & Jiahua Zhang & Fengmei Yao, 2016. "Drought monitoring and performance evaluation of MODIS-based drought severity index (DSI) over Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(2), pages 1349-1366, November.
    4. C. Murthy & Jyoti Singh & Pavan Kumar & M. Sesha Sai, 2016. "Meteorological drought analysis over India using analytical framework on CPC rainfall time series," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 573-587, March.
    5. Hua Xie & Claudia Ringler & Tingju Zhu & Ahmad Waqas, 2013. "Droughts in Pakistan: a spatiotemporal variability analysis using the Standardized Precipitation Index," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 620-631, September.
    6. I. Nalbantis & G. Tsakiris, 2009. "Assessment of Hydrological Drought Revisited," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(5), pages 881-897, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Amit Kumar & Raghvender Pratap Singh & Swatantra Kumar Dubey & Kumar Gaurav, 2022. "Streamflow of the Betwa River under the Combined Effect of LU-LC and Climate Change," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-15, November.
    2. Shazia Kousar & Muhammad Afzal & Farhan Ahmed & Štefan Bojnec, 2022. "Environmental Awareness and Air Quality: The Mediating Role of Environmental Protective Behaviors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Yingying Guan & Xueming Li & Jun Yang & Songbo Li & Shenzhen Tian, 2022. "Spatial differentiation of comprehensive suitability of urban human settlements based on GIS: a case study of Liaoning Province, China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 4150-4174, March.
    4. Wilian Rodrigues Ribeiro & Morgana Scaramussa Gonçalves & Daniel Soares Ferreira & Dalila Costa Gonçalves & Samira Luns Hatum Almeida & Ramon Amaro Sales & Felipe Cunha Siman & Luan Peroni Venancio & , 2022. "Water demand of central pivot-irrigated areas in Bahia, Brazil: management of water resources applied to sustainable production," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 12340-12366, October.
    5. Amit Kumar & Abhilash Singh & Kumar Gaurav, 2023. "Assessing the synergic effect of land use and climate change on the upper Betwa River catchment in Central India under present, past, and future climate scenarios," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(6), pages 5163-5184, June.
    6. B. Anand & R. Shanmathi Rekha & K. R. Remitha & V. Maniyammai & K. Ramaswamy & Sneha Gautam, 2024. "Dynamic change analysis of water spread region and its impact assessment using spectral indices of remotely sensed data," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 17635-17652, July.
    7. Dilshad Ahmad & Malika Kanwal & Muhammad Afzal, 2023. "Climate change effects on riverbank erosion Bait community flood-prone area of Punjab, Pakistan: an application of livelihood vulnerability index," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(9), pages 9387-9415, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bilel Zerouali & Mohamed Chettih & Zaki Abda & Mohamed Mesbah & Celso Augusto Guimarães Santos & Reginaldo Moura Brasil Neto & Richarde Marques Silva, 2021. "Spatiotemporal meteorological drought assessment in a humid Mediterranean region: case study of the Oued Sebaou basin (northern central Algeria)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 689-709, August.
    2. Nazla Bushra & Robert V. Rohli & Nina S. N. Lam & Lei Zou & Rubayet Bin Mostafiz & Volodymyr Mihunov, 2019. "The relationship between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and drought indices in the South Central United States," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(2), pages 791-808, March.
    3. Nayan D. Zagade & Bhavana N. Umrikar, 2021. "Drought severity modeling of upper Bhima river basin, western India, using GIS–AHP tools for effective mitigation and resource management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 1165-1188, January.
    4. N. Subash & H. Mohan, 2011. "A Simple Rationally Integrated Drought Indicator for Rice–Wheat Productivity," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(10), pages 2425-2447, August.
    5. Mansoor Ahmed & Ghulam Hussain Dars & Suhail Ahmed & Nir Y. Krakauer, 2023. "Analyzing drought trends over Sindh Province, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 643-661, October.
    6. Lampros Vasiliades & Athanasios Loukas & Nikos Liberis, 2011. "A Water Balance Derived Drought Index for Pinios River Basin, Greece," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(4), pages 1087-1101, March.
    7. Youxin Wang & Tao Peng & Qingxia Lin & Vijay P. Singh & Xiaohua Dong & Chen Chen & Ji Liu & Wenjuan Chang & Gaoxu Wang, 2022. "A New Non-stationary Hydrological Drought Index Encompassing Climate Indices and Modified Reservoir Index as Covariates," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(7), pages 2433-2454, May.
    8. Javad Bazrafshan & Somayeh Hejabi & Jaber Rahimi, 2014. "Drought Monitoring Using the Multivariate Standardized Precipitation Index (MSPI)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1045-1060, March.
    9. Hossein Tabari & Jaefar Nikbakht & P. Hosseinzadeh Talaee, 2013. "Hydrological Drought Assessment in Northwestern Iran Based on Streamflow Drought Index (SDI)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(1), pages 137-151, January.
    10. Jie Yang & Yimin Wang & Jun Yao & Jianxia Chang & Guoxin Xu & Xin Wang & Hui Hu, 2020. "Coincidence probability analysis of hydrologic low-flow under the changing environment in the Wei River Basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 1711-1726, September.
    11. Nabeel Bani Hani & Fakher J. Aukour & Mohammed I. Al-Qinna, 2022. "Investigating the Pearl Millet ( Pennisetum glaucum ) as a Climate-Smart Drought-Tolerant Crop under Jordanian Arid Environments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-21, September.
    12. Dimitrios Myronidis & Konstantinos Ioannou & Dimitrios Fotakis & Gerald Dörflinger, 2018. "Streamflow and Hydrological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting in Cyprus," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1759-1776, March.
    13. Željka Brkić & Mladen Kuhta, 2022. "Lake Level Evolution of the Largest Freshwater Lake on the Mediterranean Islands through Drought Analysis and Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-28, August.
    14. N. W. Arnell & A. Freeman, 2021. "The effect of climate change on agro-climatic indicators in the UK," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-26, March.
    15. Jagadish Padhiary & Kanhu Charan Patra & Sonam Sandeep Dash, 2022. "A Novel Approach to Identify the Characteristics of Drought under Future Climate Change Scenario," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(13), pages 5163-5189, October.
    16. Peng Qi & Y. Jun Xu & Guodong Wang, 2020. "Quantifying the Individual Contributions of Climate Change, Dam Construction, and Land Use/Land Cover Change to Hydrological Drought in a Marshy River," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-16, May.
    17. da Silva, Antonio Samuel Alves & Stosic, Tatijana & Arsenić, Ilija & Menezes, Rômulo Simões Cezar & Stosic, Borko, 2023. "Multifractal analysis of standardized precipitation index in Northeast Brazil," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    18. Enes Gul & Efthymia Staiou & Mir Jafar Sadegh Safari & Babak Vaheddoost, 2023. "Enhancing Meteorological Drought Modeling Accuracy Using Hybrid Boost Regression Models: A Case Study from the Aegean Region, Türkiye," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-17, July.
    19. Dehghanipour, Amir Hossein & Schoups, Gerrit & Zahabiyoun, Bagher & Babazadeh, Hossein, 2020. "Meeting agricultural and environmental water demand in endorheic irrigated river basins: A simulation-optimization approach applied to the Urmia Lake basin in Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    20. Mohammad Nazeri Tahroudi & Yousef Ramezani & Carlo De Michele & Rasoul Mirabbasi, 2020. "A New Method for Joint Frequency Analysis of Modified Precipitation Anomaly Percentage and Streamflow Drought Index Based on the Conditional Density of Copula Functions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(13), pages 4217-4231, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:23:y:2021:i:10:d:10.1007_s10668-021-01299-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.