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Estimating the quadratic covariation of an asynchronously observed semimartingale with jumps

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  • Markus Bibinger
  • Mathias Vetter

Abstract

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod for regularly spaced observations are generalized to the case of irregular observations. In the two-dimensional setup under non-synchronous observations, we derive a stable central limit theorem for the Hayashi–Yoshida estimator in the presence of jumps. We reveal how idiosyncratic and simultaneous jumps affect the asymptotic distribution. Observation times generated by Poisson processes are explicitly discussed. Copyright The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Bibinger & Mathias Vetter, 2015. "Estimating the quadratic covariation of an asynchronously observed semimartingale with jumps," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 67(4), pages 707-743, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:aistmt:v:67:y:2015:i:4:p:707-743
    DOI: 10.1007/s10463-014-0473-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Hayashi, Takaki & Yoshida, Nakahiro, 2011. "Nonsynchronous covariation process and limit theorems," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(10), pages 2416-2454, October.
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    5. Zhang, Lan & Mykland, Per A. & Ait-Sahalia, Yacine, 2005. "A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility With Noisy High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 1394-1411, December.
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    7. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Designing Realized Kernels to Measure the ex post Variation of Equity Prices in the Presence of Noise," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1481-1536, November.
    8. Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2010. "Understanding limit theorems for semimartingales: a short survey," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 64(3), pages 329-351, August.
    9. Per A. Mykland & Lan Zhang, 2009. "Inference for Continuous Semimartingales Observed at High Frequency," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(5), pages 1403-1445, September.
    10. Andersen, Torben G & Bollerslev, Tim, 1998. "Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 885-905, November.
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    12. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280, May.
    13. Fukasawa, Masaaki & Rosenbaum, Mathieu, 2012. "Central limit theorems for realized volatility under hitting times of an irregular grid," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(12), pages 3901-3920.
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    15. Jacod, Jean, 2008. "Asymptotic properties of realized power variations and related functionals of semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(4), pages 517-559, April.
    16. Cecilia Mancini, 2009. "Non‐parametric Threshold Estimation for Models with Stochastic Diffusion Coefficient and Jumps," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(2), pages 270-296, June.
    17. Bibinger, Markus, 2011. "Asymptotics of asynchronicity," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-033, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
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    Cited by:

    1. Simon Clinet & Yoann Potiron, 2021. "Estimation for high-frequency data under parametric market microstructure noise," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(4), pages 649-669, August.
    2. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Xiu, Dacheng, 2019. "A Hausman test for the presence of market microstructure noise in high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(1), pages 176-205.
    3. Yuta Koike & Zhi Liu, 2019. "Asymptotic properties of the realized skewness and related statistics," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(4), pages 703-741, August.
    4. Zhao, X. & Hong, S. Y. & Linton, O. B., 2024. "Jumps Versus Bursts: Dissection and Origins via a New Endogenous Thresholding Approach," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2423, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Ole Martin & Mathias Vetter, 2019. "Laws of large numbers for Hayashi–Yoshida-type functionals," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 451-500, July.
    6. Ole Martin & Mathias Vetter, 2020. "The null hypothesis of (common) jumps in case of irregular and asynchronous observations," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(3), pages 711-756, September.

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