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An estimator for the quadratic covariation of asynchronously observed Itô processes with noise: Asymptotic distribution theory

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  • Bibinger, Markus

Abstract

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed Itô processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic distribution theory for a generalized multiscale estimator including a feasible central limit theorem with optimal convergence rate on convenient regularity assumptions. The inevitably remaining impact of asynchronous deterministic sampling schemes and noise corruption on the asymptotic distribution is precisely elucidated. A case study for various important examples, several generalizations of the model and an algorithm for the implementation warrant the utility of the estimation method in applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Bibinger, Markus, 2012. "An estimator for the quadratic covariation of asynchronously observed Itô processes with noise: Asymptotic distribution theory," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(6), pages 2411-2453.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:122:y:2012:i:6:p:2411-2453
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2012.04.002
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yuta Koike, 2013. "Limit Theorems for the Pre-averaged Hayashi-Yoshida Estimator with Random Sampling," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-276, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    2. Koike, Yuta, 2014. "Limit theorems for the pre-averaged Hayashi–Yoshida estimator with random sampling," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(8), pages 2699-2753.
    3. Li, Yifan & Nolte, Ingmar & Vasios, Michalis & Voev, Valeri & Xu, Qi, 2022. "Weighted Least Squares Realized Covariation Estimation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Markus Bibinger & Per A. Mykland, 2016. "Inference for Multi-dimensional High-frequency Data with an Application to Conditional Independence Testing," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(4), pages 1078-1102, December.
    5. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-006 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Torben G. Andersen & Martin Thyrsgaard & Viktor Todorov, 2021. "Recalcitrant betas: Intraday variation in the cross‐sectional dispersion of systematic risk," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(2), pages 647-682, May.
    7. Yuta Koike, 2017. "Time endogeneity and an optimal weight function in pre-averaging covariance estimation," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 15-56, April.
    8. Giuseppe Buccheri & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2018. "A Score-Driven Conditional Correlation Model for Noisy and Asynchronous Data: an Application to High-Frequency Covariance Dynamics," Papers 1803.04894, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    9. Dai, Chaoxing & Lu, Kun & Xiu, Dacheng, 2019. "Knowing factors or factor loadings, or neither? Evaluating estimators of large covariance matrices with noisy and asynchronous data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 43-79.
    10. Hacène Djellout & Arnaud Guillin & Yacouba Samoura, 2014. "Large Deviations Of The Realized (Co-)Volatility Vector," Working Papers hal-01082903, HAL.
    11. Kim, Donggyu & Wang, Yazhen & Zou, Jian, 2016. "Asymptotic theory for large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(11), pages 3527-3577.
    12. Shephard, Neil & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: Estimation of the covariation of equity prices under asynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 19-42.
    13. Markus Bibinger & Markus Reiß, 2014. "Spectral Estimation of Covolatility from Noisy Observations Using Local Weights," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 41(1), pages 23-50, March.
    14. Kim, Donggyu & Wang, Yazhen, 2016. "Sparse PCA-based on high-dimensional Itô processes with measurement errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 172-189.
    15. Djellout, Hacène & Guillin, Arnaud & Samoura, Yacouba, 2017. "Estimation of the realized (co-)volatility vector: Large deviations approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(9), pages 2926-2960.
    16. Ogihara, Teppei & Yoshida, Nakahiro, 2014. "Quasi-likelihood analysis for nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(9), pages 2954-3008.
    17. Hacène Djellout & Arnaud Guillin & Yacouba Samoura, 2017. "Large Deviations Of The Realized (Co-)Volatility Vector," Post-Print hal-01082903, HAL.
    18. Bibinger, Markus & Mykland, Per A., 2013. "Inference for multi-dimensional high-frequency data: Equivalence of methods, central limit theorems, and an application to conditional independence testing," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-006, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    19. Hwang, Eunju & Shin, Dong Wan, 2018. "Two-stage stationary bootstrapping for bivariate average realized volatility matrix under market microstructure noise and asynchronicity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 202(2), pages 178-195.

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