IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/toueco/v30y2024i4p876-899.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

High tide, low price? Flooding alerts and hotel prices in Venice

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco Angelini
  • Paolo Figini
  • Veronica Leoni

Abstract

This research explores the effects of High Tide alerts on hotel prices in Venice, a city that is vulnerable to the impacts of extreme climate events due to its fragile ecosystem and a long history of floods in the city center. By analyzing and combining price data from Booking.com with publicly available information on tides and weather, this study uses regression discontinuity design to test for changes in hotel prices when tide levels reach a critical threshold. The results offer insights into the sensitivity of hotel prices to weather alerts and provide valuable information on the potential impact of climate change on Venice’s tourism-driven economy, with implications for the cost–benefit analysis of activating protective barriers for lagoon protection.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Angelini & Paolo Figini & Veronica Leoni, 2024. "High tide, low price? Flooding alerts and hotel prices in Venice," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(4), pages 876-899, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:30:y:2024:i:4:p:876-899
    DOI: 10.1177/13548166231174270
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13548166231174270
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/13548166231174270?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thiago Christiano Silva & Pedro Vicente da Silva Neto & Benjamin Miranda Tabak, 2023. "Tourism and the economy: evidence from Brazil," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 851-862, March.
    2. Masiero, Lorenzo & Viglia, Giampaolo & Nieto-Garcia, Marta, 2020. "Strategic consumer behavior in online hotel booking," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. David Hirshleifer & Tyler Shumway, 2003. "Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1009-1032, June.
    4. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Rocio Titiunik, 2014. "Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression‐Discontinuity Designs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82, pages 2295-2326, November.
    5. Ashenfelter, Orley, 2010. "Predicting the Quality and Prices of Bordeaux Wine," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 40-52, April.
    6. Imbens, Guido W. & Lemieux, Thomas, 2008. "Regression discontinuity designs: A guide to practice," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 615-635, February.
    7. Andrew Gelman & Guido Imbens, 2019. "Why High-Order Polynomials Should Not Be Used in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 447-456, July.
    8. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2014. "What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(3), pages 740-798, September.
    9. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D. Cattaneo & Max H. Farrell, 2018. "Optimal Bandwidth Choice for Robust Bias Corrected Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 1809.00236, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
    10. Deng, Taotao & Hu, Yukun & Ma, Mulan, 2019. "Regional policy and tourism: A quasi-natural experiment," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-16.
    11. Fontini, Fulvio & Umgiesser, Georg & Vergano, Lucia, 2010. "The role of ambiguity in the evaluation of the net benefits of the MOSE system in the Venice lagoon," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(10), pages 1964-1972, August.
    12. Mu, Xiaoyi, 2007. "Weather, storage, and natural gas price dynamics: Fundamentals and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 46-63, January.
    13. Bozana Zekan & Irem Önder & Ulrich Gunter, 2019. "Benchmarking of Airbnb listings: How competitive is the sharing economy sector of European cities?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(7), pages 1029-1046, November.
    14. Ridderstaat, Jorge & Oduber, Marck & Croes, Robertico & Nijkamp, Peter & Martens, Pim, 2014. "Impacts of seasonal patterns of climate on recurrent fluctuations in tourism demand: Evidence from Aruba," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 245-256.
    15. Koster, Hans R.A. & van Ommeren, Jos & Volkhausen, Nicolas, 2021. "Short-term rentals and the housing market: Quasi-experimental evidence from Airbnb in Los Angeles," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    16. repec:oup:emjrnl:v:23:y:2020:i:2:p:192-210. is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Guizzardi, Andrea & Mariani, Marcello M. & Stacchini, Annalisa, 2022. "A temporal construal theory explanation of the price-quality relationship in online dynamic pricing," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 32-44.
    18. Bernstein, Asaf & Gustafson, Matthew T. & Lewis, Ryan, 2019. "Disaster on the horizon: The price effect of sea level rise," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 253-272.
    19. Uri Simonsohn, 2010. "Weather To Go To College," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(543), pages 270-280, March.
    20. Robert Steiger & Daniel Scott & Bruno Abegg & Marc Pons & Carlo Aall, 2019. "A critical review of climate change risk for ski tourism," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(11), pages 1343-1379, July.
    21. Leif Brandes & Yaniv Dover, 2022. "Offline Context Affects Online Reviews: The Effect of Post-Consumption Weather [Mobile Ad Effectiveness: Hyper-Contextual Targeting with Crowdedness]," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 49(4), pages 595-615.
    22. Okuyama, Tadahiro, 2018. "Analysis of optimal timing of tourism demand recovery policies from natural disaster using the contingent behavior method," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 37-54.
    23. J.M. Espinet & M. Saez & G. Coenders & M. FluviÃ, 2003. "Effect on Prices of the Attributes of Holiday Hotels: A Hedonic Prices Approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 9(2), pages 165-177, June.
    24. Fleischer, Aliza, 2012. "A room with a view—A valuation of the Mediterranean Sea view," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 598-602.
    25. Viglia, Giampaolo & De Canio, Francesca & Stoppani, Anna & Invernizzi, Anna Chiara & Cerutti, Stefania, 2021. "Adopting revenue management strategies and data sharing to cope with crises," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 336-344.
    26. Aliza Fleischer, 2012. "A Room with a View — A Valuation of the Mediterranean Sea View," ERSA conference papers ersa12p144, European Regional Science Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paolo Figini & Simona Cicognani & Lorenzo Zirulia, 2023. "Booking in the Rain. Testing the Impact of Public Information on Prices," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 9(3), pages 1329-1364, November.
    2. Hasan, Rana & Jiang, Yi & Rafols, Radine Michelle, 2021. "Place-based preferential tax policy and industrial development: Evidence from India’s program on industrially backward districts," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    3. Mauricio Villamizar‐Villegas & Freddy A. Pinzon‐Puerto & Maria Alejandra Ruiz‐Sanchez, 2022. "A comprehensive history of regression discontinuity designs: An empirical survey of the last 60 years," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1130-1178, September.
    4. Xingchi Shen & Yueming Lucy Qiu & Pengfei Liu & Anand Patwardhan, 2022. "The Effect of Rebate and Loan Incentives on Residential Heat Pump Adoption: Evidence from North Carolina," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(3), pages 741-789, July.
    5. Christina Korting & Carl Lieberman & Jordan Matsudaira & Zhuan Pei & Yi Shen, 2023. "Visual Inference and Graphical Representation in Regression Discontinuity Designs," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 138(3), pages 1977-2019.
    6. David Wuepper & Robert Finger, 2023. "Regression discontinuity designs in agricultural and environmental economics," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 50(1), pages 1-28.
    7. Babii, Andrii & Kumar, Rohit, 2023. "Isotonic regression discontinuity designs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 371-393.
    8. Jun Ma & Zhengfei Yu, 2020. "Empirical Likelihood Covariate Adjustment for Regression Discontinuity Designs," Papers 2008.09263, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    9. Thushyanthan Baskaran & Sonia Bhalotra & Brian Min & Yogesh Uppal, 2024. "Women legislators and economic performance," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 151-214, June.
    10. Sun, Ang & Zhao, Yaohui, 2016. "Divorce, abortion, and the child sex ratio: The impact of divorce reform in China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 53-69.
    11. Koichiro Ito & Shuang Zhang, 2020. "Willingness to Pay for Clean Air: Evidence from Air Purifier Markets in China," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(5), pages 1627-1672.
    12. Adam C. Sales & Ben B. Hansen, 2020. "Limitless Regression Discontinuity," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 45(2), pages 143-174, April.
    13. Christelis, Dimitris & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Sanz-de-Galdeano, Anna, 2020. "The impact of health insurance on stockholding: A regression discontinuity approach," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Pastore, Chiara & Jones, Andrew M., 2023. "Human capital consequences of missing out on a grammar school education," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    15. Stefan Lamp, 2023. "Sunspots That Matter: The Effect of Weather on Solar Technology Adoption," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(4), pages 1179-1219, April.
    16. Alegre, Joaquín & Cladera, Magdalena & Sard, Maria, 2013. "Tourist areas: Examining the effects of location attributes on tour-operator package holiday prices," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 131-141.
    17. Lena Abou El-Komboz & Anna Kerkhof & Johannes Loh, 2023. "Platform Partnership Programs and Content Supply: Evidence from the YouTube “Adpocalypse”," CESifo Working Paper Series 10363, CESifo.
    18. Meltem Dayioglu & Müşerref Küçükbayrak & Semih Tumen, 2022. "The impact of age-specific minimum wages on youth employment and education: a regression discontinuity analysis," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(6), pages 1352-1377, March.
    19. Andrew McEachin & Thurston Domina & Andrew Penner, 2020. "Heterogeneous Effects of Early Algebra across California Middle Schools," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 772-800, June.
    20. Peter Ganong & Simon Jäger, 2018. "A Permutation Test for the Regression Kink Design," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 494-504, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:30:y:2024:i:4:p:876-899. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.