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The Role of Strategic Threats in Refugee Resettlement

Author

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  • Lester A. Zeager

    (Department of Economics, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 27858-4353, USA zeagerl@mail.ecu.edu)

Abstract

The Indochinese refugee crisis of 1978-79 is modeled as a prisoners' dilemma, with Thailand choosing whether to permit first asylum and the United States choosing whether to allow resettlement. A threat power analysis from the theory of moves helps to explain: (1) the threats by Thailand and other countries in the region to deny first asylum, and (2) the decision by the United States to (eventually) accept over 750,000 refugees for resettlement. The threats by Thailand shocked and outraged the international community, but the threat power analysis suggests that they were instrumental in escaping the prisoners' dilemma.

Suggested Citation

  • Lester A. Zeager, 2002. "The Role of Strategic Threats in Refugee Resettlement," Rationality and Society, , vol. 14(2), pages 159-191, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ratsoc:v:14:y:2002:i:2:p:159-191
    DOI: 10.1177/1043463102014002002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brams Steven J., 2000. "Game Theory: Pitfalls and Opportunities in Applying It to International Relations," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-11, April.
    2. Steven J. Brams, 1997. "Game Theory And Emotions," Rationality and Society, , vol. 9(1), pages 91-124, February.
    3. Steven J. Brams, 2001. "Response to Randall Stone," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 45(2), pages 245-254, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. John H.P. Williams & Lester A. Zeager, 2004. "Macedonian Border Closings in the Kosovo Refugee Crisis: A Game-Theoretic Perspective," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 21(4), pages 233-254, September.

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