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Primer on Medical Decision Analysis: Part 4-Analyzing the Model and Interpreting the Results

Author

Listed:
  • Murray D. Krahn
  • Gary Naglie
  • David Naimark
  • Donald A. Redelmeier
  • Allan S. Detsky

Abstract

This paper is the fourth of a five-part series that describes the principles of construction and evaluation of valid decision models. In this review, the authors describe the key principles of detecting and eliminating structural and programming errors in decision trees (debugging). In addition, they offer guidelines to facilitate the interpretation of analytic results of decision models. Key words: decision analysis; expected value; utility ; sensitivity analysis; decision trees; probability. (Med Decis Making 1997;17:142- 151)

Suggested Citation

  • Murray D. Krahn & Gary Naglie & David Naimark & Donald A. Redelmeier & Allan S. Detsky, 1997. "Primer on Medical Decision Analysis: Part 4-Analyzing the Model and Interpreting the Results," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 17(2), pages 142-151, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:medema:v:17:y:1997:i:2:p:142-151
    DOI: 10.1177/0272989X9701700204
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gregory C. Critchfield & Keith E. Willard, 1986. "Probabilistic Analysis of Decision Trees Using Monte Carlo Simulation," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 6(2), pages 85-92, June.
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    1. Allan S. Detsky & Gary Naglie & Murray D. Krahn & Donald A. Redelmeier & David Naimark, 1997. "Primer on Medical Decision Analysis: Part 2—Building a Tree," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 17(2), pages 126-135, April.
    2. Gary Naglie & Murray D. Krahn & David Naimark & Donald A. Redelmeier & Allan S. Detsky, 1997. "Primer on Medical Decision Analysis: Part 3—Estimating Probabilities and Utilities," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 17(2), pages 136-141, April.
    3. Donald A. Redelmeier & Allan S. Detsky & Murray D. Krahn & David Naimark & Gary Naglie, 1997. "Guidelines for Verbal Presentations of Medical Decision Analyses," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 17(2), pages 228-230, April.
    4. Juhee Lee & Peter F. Thall & Bora Lim & Pavlos Msaouel, 2022. "Utility‐based Bayesian personalized treatment selection for advanced breast cancer," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1605-1622, November.
    5. Tori Sutherland & Janelle Downing & Suellen Miller & David M Bishai & Elizabeth Butrick & Mohamed M F Fathalla & Mohammed Mourad-Youssif & Oladosu Ojengbede & David Nsima & James G Kahn, 2013. "Use of the Non-Pneumatic Anti-Shock Garment (NASG) for Life-Threatening Obstetric Hemorrhage: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Egypt and Nigeria," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-8, April.
    6. Allan S. Detsky & Gary Naglie & Murray D. Krahn & David Naimark & Donald A. Redelmeier, 1997. "Primer on Medical Decision Analysis: Part 1—Getting Started," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 17(2), pages 123-125, April.
    7. Kenneth J. Smith & Amber E. Barnato & Mark S. Roberts, 2006. "Teaching Medical Decision Modeling: A Qualitative Description of Student Errors and Curriculum Responses," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 26(6), pages 583-588, November.
    8. Douglas K. Owens, 2002. "Analytic Tools for Public Health Decision Making," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 22(1_suppl), pages 3-10, September.

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