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Prospects for the Evolution of the Economic Sectors’ Behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Scutaru, Cornelia

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

  • Fomin, Petre

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

  • Stanica, Cristian

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

Abstract

This paper is a synthesis of the research results obtained over the interval 2008- 20094. The problem we addressed was the following: how the evolution of an economic sector’s output was influenced when an exogenous shock occurred within its basic factors, namely the received intermediate consumptions, wage remuneration, taxes on products, gross fixed capital formation, foreign trade (expressed through the ratio of the sector’s imports to exports). The most significant distortions that may determine in circumstances of crisis severe disturbances in the functioning of the economic system were signaled.

Suggested Citation

  • Scutaru, Cornelia & Fomin, Petre & Stanica, Cristian, 2010. "Prospects for the Evolution of the Economic Sectors’ Behavior," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 120-142.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2010:i:5:p:120-142
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    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef_sup_2010/rjefSup_2010p120-142.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pauna, Bianca & Ghizdeanu, Ion & Scutaru, Cornelia & Fomin, Petre & Saman, Corina, 2007. "The "Dobrescu" Macromodel Of The Romanian Market Economy - 2005 Version - Yearly Forecast," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 4(1), pages 115-125, March.
    2. Dobrescu, Emilian, 1996. "Macromodels of the Romanian transition Economy," MPRA Paper 35810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Emilian Dobrescu, 2006. "Integration of Macroeconomic Behavioural Relationships and the Input-output Block (Romanian Modelling Experience)," EcoMod2006 272100018, EcoMod.
    4. Hall, S.G. & Yhap, B., 2008. "Measuring the Correlation of Shocks Between the UK and the Core of Europe," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 17-26, March.
    5. Pauna, Bianca & Ghizdeanu, Ion & Scutaru, Cornelia & Fomin, Petre & Saman, Corina, 2007. "The "Dobrescu" Macromodel of the Romanian Market Economy* - 2005 version - Yearly Forecast - The second actualised scenario," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 4(3), pages 124-129, September.
    6. Dobrescu, Emilian & Gaftea, Viorel & Scutaru, Cornelia, 2010. "Using the Leontief Matrix to Estimate the Impact of Investments upon the Global Output," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 176-187, July.
    7. Scutaru, Cornelia & Saman, Corina & Stanica, Cristian, 2009. "The Relation between Predictability and Complexity: Domestic and Public Consumption in the Romanian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(3), pages 34-46, September.
    8. Scutaru, Cornelia & Saman, Corina & Stanica, Cristian, 2008. "Predictability And Complexity In Macroeconomics. The Case Of Gross Fixed Capital Formation In The Romanian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(4), pages 196-205, December.
    9. Pauna, Bianca & Ghizdeanu, Ion & Scutaru, Cornelia & Fomin, Petre & Saman, Corina, 2007. "The "DOBRESCU” Macromodel of the Romanian Market Economy* - 2005 version - Yearly Forecast - actualised scenario," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 4(2), pages 118-123, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chilian, Mihaela Nona, 2012. "Evolution of Regional and Sub-Regional Disparities in Romania – A Sectoral Shift-Share Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 187-204, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic sectors; exogenous shock; macroeconomic simulations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models

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