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Why Did the Number of Young Farm Entrants Decline?

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  • H. Fred Gale

Abstract

The influence of demographic and economic factors on the number of young farm entrants is investigated. After controlling for the demographic effect, it is found that higher commodity prices, lower real interest rates, and lower land values are associated with greater entry. Regional effects suggest lower entry in states with better nonfarm opportunities. Demographic factors suggest that the shrinking pool of potential entrants will lead to further decline in farm entry. The decline in farm entry has important implications for the future structure of farming in the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • H. Fred Gale, 1993. "Why Did the Number of Young Farm Entrants Decline?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(1), pages 138-146.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:75:y:1993:i:1:p:138-146.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1242962
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    1. Lynch, Lori & Gray, Wayne & Geoghegan, Jacqueline, 2007. "An Evaluation of Working Land and Open Space Preservation Programs in Maryland: Are They Paying Too Much?," Working Papers 6887, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    2. Huffman, Wallace E. & Evenson, Robert E., 2000. "Structural and productivity change in US agriculture, 1950-1982," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 127-147, January.
    3. Mann, Stefan, 2003. "Theorie und Empirie agrarstrukturellen Wandels?," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 52(03), pages 1-9.
    4. Cynthia J. Nickerson & Lori Lynch, 2001. "The Effect of Farmland Preservation Programs on Farmland Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(2), pages 341-351.
    5. Vare, Minna, 2005. "Timing of the Early Retirement Decisions of Farming Couples," 94th Seminar, April 9-10, 2005, Ashford, UK 24412, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Andermann, Gerhard & Schmitt, Günther, 1996. "Die Bestimmungsgründe der Beschäftigung in der Landwirtschaft : eine quantitative Analyse der kurzfristigen Anpassung der Größe und Struktur des Arbeitskräftebestandes der Landwirtschaft im früheren B," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 29(4), pages 630-655.
    7. Hennessy, Thia C., 2002. "Modeling Succession on Irish Dairy Farms," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24953, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Pavel, Ferdinand, 1997. "Analyse der Bestandsentwicklung landwirtschafticher Familienarbeitskrafte in Westdeutschland," Discussion Papers 18779, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    9. Robert E. Evenson & Wallace B. Huffman, 1997. "Long-Run Structural and Productivity Change in U.S. Agriculture: Effects of Prices and Policies," Working Papers 773, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    10. Schilling, Brian J. & Sullivan, Kevin P. & Duke, Joshua M., 2013. "Do Residual Development Options Increase Preserved Farmland Values?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 38(3), pages 1-17.
    11. Temel, Tugrul, 2011. "New facts for old debates: Farm size and productivity in US agriculture," MPRA Paper 31920, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Fertő, Imre, 2002. "A mezőgazdasági termelés szerkezetének változásai a fejlett országokban, I. Miért a családi gazdaság a meghatározó üzemforma a fejlett országok mezőgazdaságában? [Changes in the structure of agricu," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 574-596.
    13. Andermann, Gerhard & Schmitt, Günther, 1996. "Die Bestimmungsgründe der Beschäftigung in der Landwirtschaft : eine quantitative Analyse der kurzfristigen Anpassung der Größe und Struktur des Arbeitskräftebestandes der Landwirtschaft im früheren B," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 29(4), pages 630-655.
    14. Nickerson, Cynthia J. & Lynch, Lori, 1998. "Capitalization Of Farmland Preservation Programs Into Farmland Prices," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20877, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    15. Lori Lynch & Wayne Gray & Jacqueline Geoghegan, 2007. "Are Farmland Preservation Program Easement Restrictions Capitalized into Farmland Prices? What Can a Propensity Score Matching Analysis Tell Us?," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 29(3), pages 502-509.
    16. Vare, Minna & Weiss, Christoph R. & Pietola, Kyosti, 2005. "Should One Trust a Farmer's Succession Plan? Empirical Evidence on the Intention-Behaviour Discrepancy from Finland," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24622, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    17. Sullivan, Patrick & Hellerstein, Daniel & Hansen, LeRoy T. & Johansson, Robert C. & Koenig, Steven R. & Lubowski, Ruben N. & McBride, William D. & McGranahan, David A. & Roberts, Michael J. & Vogel, S, 2004. "The Conservation Reserve Program: Economic Implications for Rural America," Agricultural Economic Reports 33987, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    18. Stefan Mann, 2007. "Tracing the process of becoming a farm successor on Swiss family farms," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 24(4), pages 435-443, December.
    19. Evenson, Robert E. & Huffman, Wallace E., 1997. "Long-Run Structural and Productivity Change in U.S. Agriculture: Effects of Prices and Policies," Center Discussion Papers 28518, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
    20. Mann, Stefan & Mante, Juliane, 2004. "Occupational Choice And Structural Change," Working Papers 30707, Agroscope Reckenholz Tanikon (ART).
    21. Boštjan KERBLER, 2012. "Factors affecting farm succession: the case of Slovenia," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 58(6), pages 285-298.
    22. Laura Brad & Gabriel Popescu & Alina Zaharia & Maria Claudia Diaconeasa & Daniela Mihai, 2018. "Exploring the Road to Agricultural Sustainability by Assessing the EU Debt Influencing Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-46, July.
    23. Chacattrai Rayasawath, 2018. "Factors Affecting the Household Succession in Agricultural Occupation in Nakhon Ratchasima Province, Thailand," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-14, July.

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