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A Dynamic Analysis of Marketing Orders, Voting, and Welfare

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  • Peter Berck
  • Jeffrey M. Perloff

Abstract

This paper presents a dynamic model of how profit-maximizing farmers would vote on marketing order rules given that new firms will enter, based on rational expectations (perfect foresight) about the path profits follow. Early entrants make large short-run gains while, in the long run, marginal firms break even. Welfare analyses under a dynamic model differ substantially from the static analyses normally reported.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Berck & Jeffrey M. Perloff, 1985. "A Dynamic Analysis of Marketing Orders, Voting, and Welfare," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(3), pages 487-496.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:67:y:1985:i:3:p:487-496.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dahlgran, Roger A., 1981. "Dairy Marketing And Policy Analysis: A Critical Review Of Recent Empirical Studies," Department of Economics and Business - Archive 259651, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Ippolito, Richard A & Masson, Robert T, 1978. "The Social Cost of Government Regulation of Milk," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 21(1), pages 33-65, April.
    3. Jeffrey T. LaFrance & Harry de Gorter, 1985. "Regulation in a Dynamic Market: The U.S. Dairy Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(4), pages 821-832.
    4. Minami, Dwight D. & French, Ben C. & King, Gordon A., 1979. "An Econometric Analysis of Market Control in the California Cling Peach Industry," Monographs, University of California, Davis, Giannini Foundation, number 251909, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hayley H. Chouinard & David E. Davis & Jeffrey T. LaFrance & Jeffrey M. Perloff, 2010. "Milk Marketing Order Winners and Losers," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(1), pages 59-76.
    2. John M. Crespi & Adriana Chacón-Cascante, 2004. "Do U.S. marketing orders have much market power? An examination of the Almond Board of California," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 1-15.
    3. Zheng, Zijuan & Saghaian, Sayed H. & Reed, Michael R., 2012. "Factors Affecting the Export Demand for U.S. Pistachios," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 15(3), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Elizabeth Hoffman & Gary D. Libecap, 1994. "Political Bargaining and Cartelization in the New Deal: Orange Marketing Orders," NBER Chapters, in: The Regulated Economy: A Historical Approach to Political Economy, pages 189-222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Epperson, James E. & Huang, Wan-Tran, 1992. "The Potential For Intraseasonal Market Flow Management Of Southeastern Sweet Potatoes," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 23(2), pages 1-8, June.
    6. Balagtas, Joseph Valdes & Masters, William J. & Zimmer, Timothy, 2005. "Cartel Pricing with Entry: the Experience of the Far West Marketing Order for Spearmint," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19328, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Epperson, James E. & Huang, Wan-Tran, 1994. "The Potential For Supply Management Of Southeastern Sweet Onions," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 25(2), pages 1-7, September.
    8. Fan, Zaifeng & Jump, Jeff & Tse, Yiuman & Yu, Linda, 2023. "Volatility in US dairy futures markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    9. Makus, Larry D. & Guenthner, Joseph F. & Lin, Biing-Hwan, 1992. "Factors Influencing Producer Support For A State Mandatory Seed Law: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-8, December.
    10. Kinney, William & Green, Richard & Carman, Hoy & O'Connell, John, 1987. "An Analysis of Economic Adjustments in the California-Arizona Lemon Industry," Research Reports 251939, University of California, Davis, Giannini Foundation.
    11. Nicholas J. Powers, 1991. "Effects of marketing order prorate suspensions on California-Arizona navel oranges," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 203-229.

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