IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v15y2024i1d10.1038_s41467-024-51462-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impacts of current and climate induced changes in atmospheric stagnation on Indian surface PM2.5 pollution

Author

Listed:
  • Mi Zhou

    (Princeton University)

  • Yuanyu Xie

    (Princeton University)

  • Chenggong Wang

    (Princeton University)

  • Lu Shen

    (Peking University)

  • Denise L. Mauzerall

    (Princeton University
    Princeton University)

Abstract

Severe PM2.5 pollution threatens public health in India. Atmospheric stagnation traps emitted pollutants, worsening their health impacts. Global warming is anticipated to alter future stagnation patterns, impacting the effectiveness of air quality policies. Here, we develop a region-specific index that characterizes meteorological conditions driving stagnation and associated PM2.5 increases. Applying this index to an ensemble of climate models and global warming scenarios, we find that future stagnation changes result from both global CO2-driven circulation changes and local aerosol-driven meteorological responses. By 2100, we project an increase in winter stagnation in the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) of 7 ± 3 days that leads to an increase in PM2.5 of ~7 ug/m3 in a high-warming and high-aerosol scenario. However, annual stagnation occurrences decrease across most of India. Thus, stringent air quality regulations in the IGP during winters will be critical to reduce surface PM2.5 concentrations as climate warms. Such regulations will directly improve air quality while reducing future stagnation occurrences, providing additional air quality benefits.

Suggested Citation

  • Mi Zhou & Yuanyu Xie & Chenggong Wang & Lu Shen & Denise L. Mauzerall, 2024. "Impacts of current and climate induced changes in atmospheric stagnation on Indian surface PM2.5 pollution," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-51462-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-51462-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-51462-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-024-51462-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wenju Cai & Ke Li & Hong Liao & Huijun Wang & Lixin Wu, 2017. "Weather conditions conducive to Beijing severe haze more frequent under climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 257-262, April.
    2. Daniel E. Horton & Christopher B. Skinner & Deepti Singh & Noah S. Diffenbaugh, 2014. "Occurrence and persistence of future atmospheric stagnation events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(8), pages 698-703, August.
    3. Andrew G. Turner & H. Annamalai, 2012. "Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 587-595, August.
    4. Camilla W. Stjern & Øivind Hodnebrog & Gunnar Myhre & Ignacio Pisso, 2023. "The turbulent future brings a breath of fresh air," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. J. Lelieveld & J. S. Evans & M. Fnais & D. Giannadaki & A. Pozzer, 2015. "The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale," Nature, Nature, vol. 525(7569), pages 367-371, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Cuiping & Zhang, Feng & Miao, Lijuan & Lei, Yadong & Yang, Quan, 2020. "Future haze events in Beijing, China: When climate warms by 1.5 and 2.0°C," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 40(8), pages 3689-3700.
    2. Muxue Liang & Hong Liao & Yue Huang & Zifang Qiao & Chenchen Tan & Ruoxin Liu, 2021. "A Questionnaire Case Study of Opinions of Chinese Agricultural Workers on the Coordinated Control of Emissions of Ammonia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Huanbi Yue & Chunyang He & Qingxu Huang & Da Zhang & Peijun Shi & Enayat A. Moallemi & Fangjin Xu & Yang Yang & Xin Qi & Qun Ma & Brett A. Bryan, 2024. "Substantially reducing global PM2.5-related deaths under SDG3.9 requires better air pollution control and healthcare," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Zhiyuan Wang & Xiaoyi Shi & Chunhua Pan & Sisi Wang, 2021. "Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Environmental Air Quality and Its Relationship with Seasonal Climatic Conditions in Eastern China during 2015–2018," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-17, April.
    5. Guoliang Yun & Chen Yang & Shidong Ge, 2022. "Understanding Anthropogenic PM 2.5 Concentrations and Their Drivers in China during 1998–2016," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-18, December.
    6. Ying Zhang & Song Xi Chen & Le Bao, 2023. "Air pollution estimation under air stagnation—A case study of Beijing," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), September.
    7. Xuechen Zhang & Huanfeng Shen & Tongwen Li & Liangpei Zhang, 2020. "The Effects of Fireworks Discharge on Atmospheric PM 2.5 Concentration in the Chinese Lunar New Year," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(24), pages 1-19, December.
    8. Qianwen Cheng & Manchun Li & Feixue Li & Haoqing Tang, 2019. "Response of Global Air Pollutant Emissions to Climate Change and Its Potential Effects on Human Life Expectancy Loss," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-17, July.
    9. Lanzi, Elisa & Dellink, Rob & Chateau, Jean, 2018. "The sectoral and regional economic consequences of outdoor air pollution to 2060," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 89-113.
    10. Ellen Banzhaf & Sally Anderson & Gwendoline Grandin & Richard Hardiman & Anne Jensen & Laurence Jones & Julius Knopp & Gregor Levin & Duncan Russel & Wanben Wu & Jun Yang & Marianne Zandersen, 2022. "Urban-Rural Dependencies and Opportunities to Design Nature-Based Solutions for Resilience in Europe and China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, March.
    11. Rogers Kanee & Precious Ede & Omosivie Maduka & Golden Owhonda & Eric Aigbogun & Khalaf F. Alsharif & Ahmed H. Qasem & Shadi S. Alkhayyat & Gaber El-Saber Batiha, 2021. "Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon Levels in Wistar Rats Exposed to Ambient Air of Port Harcourt, Nigeria: An Indicator for Tissue Toxicity," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-21, May.
    12. Stefani Kulebanova & Jana Prodanova & Aleksandra Dedinec & Trifce Sandev & Desheng Wu & Ljupco Kocarev, 2024. "Media Sentiment on Air Pollution: Seasonal Trends in Relation to PM10 Levels," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-20, July.
    13. Sowmya Malamardi & Katrina A. Lambert & Attahalli Shivanarayanaprasad Praveena & Mahesh Padukudru Anand & Bircan Erbas, 2022. "Time Trends of Greenspaces, Air Pollution, and Asthma Prevalence among Children and Adolescents in India," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-17, November.
    14. Liu, Haoming & Salvo, Alberto, 2017. "Severe Air Pollution and School Absences: Longitudinal Data on Expatriates in North China," IZA Discussion Papers 11134, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Junhua Yang & Shichang Kang & Deliang Chen & Lin Zhao & Zhenming Ji & Keqin Duan & Haijun Deng & Lekhendra Tripathee & Wentao Du & Mukesh Rai & Fangping Yan & Yuan Li & Robert R. Gillies, 2022. "South Asian black carbon is threatening the water sustainability of the Asian Water Tower," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    16. Matteo Scortichini & Manuela De Sario & Francesca K. De’Donato & Marina Davoli & Paola Michelozzi & Massimo Stafoggia, 2018. "Short-Term Effects of Heat on Mortality and Effect Modification by Air Pollution in 25 Italian Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-12, August.
    17. Li, Shanjun & Liu, Yanyan & Purevjav, Avralt-Od & Yang, Lin, 2019. "Does subway expansion improve air quality?," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 213-235.
    18. K. K. Shukla & Raju Attada & Aman W. Khan & Prashant Kumar, 2022. "Evaluation of extreme dust storm over the northwest Indo-Gangetic plain using WRF-Chem model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 1887-1910, February.
    19. Singh, Amarendra Pratap & Narayanan, Krishnan, 2016. "How can weather affect crop area diversity? Panel data evidence from Andhra Pradesh, a rice growing state of India," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 118(2), pages 1-10, August.
    20. Qianqian Yang & Qiangqiang Yuan & Tongwen Li & Huanfeng Shen & Liangpei Zhang, 2017. "The Relationships between PM 2.5 and Meteorological Factors in China: Seasonal and Regional Variations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-51462-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.