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Future changes in coastal upwelling and biological production in eastern boundary upwelling systems

Author

Listed:
  • Tianshi Du

    (Laoshan Laboratory)

  • Shengpeng Wang

    (Laoshan Laboratory)

  • Zhao Jing

    (Laoshan Laboratory
    Ocean University of China)

  • Lixin Wu

    (Laoshan Laboratory
    Ocean University of China)

  • Chao Zhang

    (Ocean University of China)

  • Bihan Zhang

    (Ocean University of China)

Abstract

Upwelling along oceanic eastern boundaries has attracted significant attention due to its profound effects on ocean productivity and associated biological and socioeconomic implications. However, uncertainty persists regarding the evolution of coastal upwelling with climate change, particularly its impact on future biological production. Here, using a series of state-of-the-art climate models, we identify a significant seasonal advancement and prolonged duration of upwelling in major upwelling systems. Nevertheless, the upwelling intensity (total volume of upwelled water) exhibits complex changes in the future. In the North Pacific, the upwelling is expected to attenuate, albeit with a minor magnitude. Conversely, in other basins, coastal upwelling diminishes significantly in equatorward regions but displays a slight decline or even an enhancement at higher latitudes. The climate simulations also reveal a robust connection between changes in upwelling intensity and net primary production, highlighting the crucial impact of future coastal upwelling alterations on marine ecosystems.

Suggested Citation

  • Tianshi Du & Shengpeng Wang & Zhao Jing & Lixin Wu & Chao Zhang & Bihan Zhang, 2024. "Future changes in coastal upwelling and biological production in eastern boundary upwelling systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-50570-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-50570-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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