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A laboratory perspective on accelerating preparatory processes before earthquakes and implications for foreshock detectability

Author

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  • Thomas H. W. Goebel

    (Center for Earthquake Research and Information)

  • Valerian Schuster

    (Section 4.2 Geomechanics and Scientific Drilling)

  • Grzegorz Kwiatek

    (Section 4.2 Geomechanics and Scientific Drilling)

  • Kiran Pandey

    (Center for Earthquake Research and Information)

  • Georg Dresen

    (Section 4.2 Geomechanics and Scientific Drilling)

Abstract

Dynamic failure in the laboratory is commonly preceded by many foreshocks which accompany premonitory aseismic slip. Aseismic slip is also thought to govern earthquake nucleation in nature, yet, foreshocks are rare. Here, we examine how heterogeneity due to different roughness, damage and pore pressures affects premonitory slip and acoustic emission characteristics. High fluid pressures increase stiffness and reduce heterogeneity which promotes more rapid slip acceleration and shorter precursory periods, similar to the effect of low geometric heterogeneity on smooth faults. The associated acoustic emission activity in low-heterogeneity samples becomes increasingly dominated by earthquake-like double-couple focal mechanisms. The similarity of fluid pressure increase and roughness reduction suggests that increased stress and geometric homogeneity may substantially shorten the duration of foreshock activity. Gradual fault activation and extended foreshock activity is more likely observable on immature faults at shallow depth.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas H. W. Goebel & Valerian Schuster & Grzegorz Kwiatek & Kiran Pandey & Georg Dresen, 2024. "A laboratory perspective on accelerating preparatory processes before earthquakes and implications for foreshock detectability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-49959-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49959-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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