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WindSeer: real-time volumetric wind prediction over complex terrain aboard a small uncrewed aerial vehicle

Author

Listed:
  • Florian Achermann

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Thomas Stastny

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Bogdan Danciu

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Andrey Kolobov

    (One Microsoft Way)

  • Jen Jen Chung

    (ETH Zurich
    The University of Queensland)

  • Roland Siegwart

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Nicholas Lawrance

    (ETH Zurich
    Data61)

Abstract

Real-time high-resolution wind predictions are beneficial for various applications including safe crewed and uncrewed aviation. Current weather models require too much compute and lack the necessary predictive capabilities as they are valid only at the scale of multiple kilometers and hours – much lower spatial and temporal resolutions than these applications require. Our work demonstrates the ability to predict low-altitude time-averaged wind fields in real time on limited-compute devices, from only sparse measurement data. We train a deep neural network-based model, WindSeer, using only synthetic data from computational fluid dynamics simulations and show that it can successfully predict real wind fields over terrain with known topography from just a few noisy and spatially clustered wind measurements. WindSeer can generate accurate predictions at different resolutions and domain sizes on previously unseen topography without retraining. We demonstrate that the model successfully predicts historical wind data collected by weather stations and wind measured by drones during flight.

Suggested Citation

  • Florian Achermann & Thomas Stastny & Bogdan Danciu & Andrey Kolobov & Jen Jen Chung & Roland Siegwart & Nicholas Lawrance, 2024. "WindSeer: real-time volumetric wind prediction over complex terrain aboard a small uncrewed aerial vehicle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-47778-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47778-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mattuella, J.M.L. & Loredo-Souza, A.M. & Oliveira, M.G.K. & Petry, A.P., 2016. "Wind tunnel experimental analysis of a complex terrain micrositing," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 110-119.
    2. Kaifeng Bi & Lingxi Xie & Hengheng Zhang & Xin Chen & Xiaotao Gu & Qi Tian, 2023. "Author Correction: Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 621(7980), pages 45-45, September.
    3. Kaifeng Bi & Lingxi Xie & Hengheng Zhang & Xin Chen & Xiaotao Gu & Qi Tian, 2023. "Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 619(7970), pages 533-538, July.
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