IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v15y2024i1d10.1038_s41467-024-47778-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

WindSeer: real-time volumetric wind prediction over complex terrain aboard a small uncrewed aerial vehicle

Author

Listed:
  • Florian Achermann

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Thomas Stastny

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Bogdan Danciu

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Andrey Kolobov

    (One Microsoft Way)

  • Jen Jen Chung

    (ETH Zurich
    The University of Queensland)

  • Roland Siegwart

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Nicholas Lawrance

    (ETH Zurich
    Data61)

Abstract

Real-time high-resolution wind predictions are beneficial for various applications including safe crewed and uncrewed aviation. Current weather models require too much compute and lack the necessary predictive capabilities as they are valid only at the scale of multiple kilometers and hours – much lower spatial and temporal resolutions than these applications require. Our work demonstrates the ability to predict low-altitude time-averaged wind fields in real time on limited-compute devices, from only sparse measurement data. We train a deep neural network-based model, WindSeer, using only synthetic data from computational fluid dynamics simulations and show that it can successfully predict real wind fields over terrain with known topography from just a few noisy and spatially clustered wind measurements. WindSeer can generate accurate predictions at different resolutions and domain sizes on previously unseen topography without retraining. We demonstrate that the model successfully predicts historical wind data collected by weather stations and wind measured by drones during flight.

Suggested Citation

  • Florian Achermann & Thomas Stastny & Bogdan Danciu & Andrey Kolobov & Jen Jen Chung & Roland Siegwart & Nicholas Lawrance, 2024. "WindSeer: real-time volumetric wind prediction over complex terrain aboard a small uncrewed aerial vehicle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-47778-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47778-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47778-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-024-47778-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mattuella, J.M.L. & Loredo-Souza, A.M. & Oliveira, M.G.K. & Petry, A.P., 2016. "Wind tunnel experimental analysis of a complex terrain micrositing," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 110-119.
    2. Kaifeng Bi & Lingxi Xie & Hengheng Zhang & Xin Chen & Xiaotao Gu & Qi Tian, 2023. "Author Correction: Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 621(7980), pages 45-45, September.
    3. Kaifeng Bi & Lingxi Xie & Hengheng Zhang & Xin Chen & Xiaotao Gu & Qi Tian, 2023. "Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 619(7970), pages 533-538, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fabian Dvorak & Regina Stumpf & Sebastian Fehrler & Urs Fischbacher, 2024. "Generative AI Triggers Welfare-Reducing Decisions in Humans," Papers 2401.12773, arXiv.org.
    2. Lei Chen & Xiaohui Zhong & Hao Li & Jie Wu & Bo Lu & Deliang Chen & Shang-Ping Xie & Libo Wu & Qingchen Chao & Chensen Lin & Zixin Hu & Yuan Qi, 2024. "A machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Hang Gao & Chun Shen & Xuesong Wang & Pak-Wai Chan & Kai-Kwong Hon & Jianbing Li, 2024. "Interpretable semi-supervised clustering enables universal detection and intensity assessment of diverse aviation hazardous winds," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Huijun Zhang & Mingjie Zhang & Ran Yi & Yaxin Liu & Qiuzi Han Wen & Xin Meng, 2024. "Growing Importance of Micro-Meteorology in the New Power System: Review, Analysis and Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-33, March.
    5. Mattia Cavaiola & Federico Cassola & Davide Sacchetti & Francesco Ferrari & Andrea Mazzino, 2024. "Hybrid AI-enhanced lightning flash prediction in the medium-range forecast horizon," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Chu, Yinghao & Wang, Yiling & Yang, Dazhi & Chen, Shanlin & Li, Mengying, 2024. "A review of distributed solar forecasting with remote sensing and deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    7. Zhenjia Chen & Zhenyuan Lin & Ji Yang & Cong Chen & Di Liu & Liuting Shan & Yuanyuan Hu & Tailiang Guo & Huipeng Chen, 2024. "Cross-layer transmission realized by light-emitting memristor for constructing ultra-deep neural network with transfer learning ability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Francesco Carlucci & Francesco Fiorito, 2024. "Simulation of Responsive Envelopes in Current and Future Climate Scenarios: A New Interactive Computational Platform for Energy Analyses," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-26, October.
    9. Wang, Tao & Zhou, Hanxu & Fang, Qing & Han, Yanan & Guo, Xingxing & Zhang, Yahui & Qian, Chao & Chen, Hongsheng & Barland, Stéphane & Xiang, Shuiying & Lippi, Gian Luca, 2024. "Reservoir computing-based advance warning of extreme events," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    10. Li, Qing’an & Kamada, Yasunari & Maeda, Takao & Yamada, Keisuke, 2020. "Investigations of flow field around two-dimensional simplified models with wind tunnel experiments," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 270-282.
    11. Gualtieri, Giovanni, 2019. "A comprehensive review on wind resource extrapolation models applied in wind energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 215-233.
    12. Alexandru Pîrjan & George Căruțașu & Dana-Mihaela Petroșanu, 2018. "Designing, Developing, and Implementing a Forecasting Method for the Produced and Consumed Electricity in the Case of Small Wind Farms Situated on Quite Complex Hilly Terrain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-42, October.
    13. Kamada, Yasunari & Li, Qing'an & Maeda, Takao & Yamada, Keisuke, 2019. "Wind tunnel experimental investigation of flow field around two-dimensional single hill models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1107-1118.
    14. Cheng Yang & Jun Jia & Ke He & Liang Xue & Chao Jiang & Shuangyu Liu & Bochao Zhao & Ming Wu & Haoyang Cui, 2023. "Comprehensive Analysis and Evaluation of the Operation and Maintenance of Offshore Wind Power Systems: A Survey," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-39, July.
    15. Antonini, Enrico G.A. & Romero, David A. & Amon, Cristina H., 2020. "Optimal design of wind farms in complex terrains using computational fluid dynamics and adjoint methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    16. Radünz, William Corrêa & Sakagami, Yoshiaki & Haas, Reinaldo & Petry, Adriane Prisco & Passos, Júlio César & Miqueletti, Mayara & Dias, Eduardo, 2021. "Influence of atmospheric stability on wind farm performance in complex terrain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-47778-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.