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Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss

Author

Listed:
  • R. Warren

    (Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia)

  • J. VanDerWal

    (Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University
    eResearch Centre, James Cook University)

  • J. Price

    (Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia)

  • J. A. Welbergen

    (Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University)

  • I. Atkinson

    (Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University
    eResearch Centre, James Cook University)

  • J. Ramirez-Villegas

    (International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)
    CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
    Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science (ICAS), School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds)

  • T. J. Osborn

    (Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia)

  • A. Jarvis

    (International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)
    CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS))

  • L. P. Shoo

    (Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University
    School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland)

  • S. E. Williams

    (Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University)

  • J. Lowe

    (Met Office Hadley Centre, University of Reading)

Abstract

Climate change is expected to significantly influence biodiversity, but the performance of climate change mitigation strategies in reducing these impacts is not yet known. Simulations of the future ranges of common and widespread species indicate that mitigation could reduce range loss by 60% if emissions peak in 2016, or by 40% if emissions peak in 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • R. Warren & J. VanDerWal & J. Price & J. A. Welbergen & I. Atkinson & J. Ramirez-Villegas & T. J. Osborn & A. Jarvis & L. P. Shoo & S. E. Williams & J. Lowe, 2013. "Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 678-682, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate1887
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1887
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    1. repec:sae:envval:v:25:y:2016:i:4:p:465-483 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. R. Warren & J. Price & J. VanDerWal & S. Cornelius & H. Sohl, 2018. "The implications of the United Nations Paris Agreement on climate change for globally significant biodiversity areas," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 395-409, April.
    3. Haruka Ohashi & Tomoko Hasegawa & Akiko Hirata & Shinichiro Fujimori & Kiyoshi Takahashi & Ikutaro Tsuyama & Katsuhiro Nakao & Yuji Kominami & Nobuyuki Tanaka & Yasuaki Hijioka & Tetsuya Matsui, 2019. "Biodiversity can benefit from climate stabilization despite adverse side effects of land-based mitigation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. F. Castro-Llanos & G. Hyman & J. Rubiano & J. Ramirez-Villegas & H. Achicanoy, 2019. "Climate change favors rice production at higher elevations in Colombia," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 1401-1430, December.
    5. Ayllón, Daniel & Railsback, Steven F. & Vincenzi, Simone & Groeneveld, Jürgen & Almodóvar, Ana & Grimm, Volker, 2016. "InSTREAM-Gen: Modelling eco-evolutionary dynamics of trout populations under anthropogenic environmental change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 36-53.
    6. Marcela Pimid & Mohammad Rusdi Mohd Nasir & Joanna Scian & A. Ghafar Ahmad & Aini Hasanah Abdul Mutalib & Jimli Perijin, 2022. "Indigenous Kinabatangan Perspectives on Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations: Factors Influencing Their Support and Participation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, May.
    7. Marko Ahteensuu & Sami Aikio & Pedro Cardoso & Marko Hyvärinen & Maria Hällfors & Susanna Lehvävirta & Leif Schulman & Elina Vaara, 2015. "Quantitative tools and simultaneous actions needed for species conservation under climate change–reply to Shoo et al. (2013)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 1-7, March.
    8. Gary W. Yohe, 2017. "Characterizing transient temperature trajectories for assessing the value of achieving alternative temperature targets," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 469-479, December.
    9. CISCAR MARTINEZ Juan Carlos & FEYEN Luc & SORIA RAMIREZ Antonio & LAVALLE Carlo & PERRY Miles & RAES Frank & NEMRY Francoise & DEMIREL Hande & RÓZSAI Máté & DOSIO Alessandro & DONATELLI Marcello & SRI, 2014. "Climate Impacts in Europe. The JRC PESETA II Project," JRC Research Reports JRC87011, Joint Research Centre.
      • Ciscar, Juan-Carlos & Feyen, Luc & Soria, Antonio & Lavalle, Carlo & Raes, Frank & Perry, Miles & Nemry, Françoise & Demirel, Hande & Rozsai, Máté & Dosio, Alessandro & Donatelli, Marcello & Srivastav, 2014. "Climate Impacts in Europe - The JRC PESETA II Project," MPRA Paper 55725, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Rachel Warren & Oliver Andrews & Sally Brown & Felipe J. Colón-González & Nicole Forstenhäusler & David E. H. J. Gernaat & P. Goodwin & Ian Harris & Yi He & Chris Hope & Desmond Manful & Timothy J. Os, 2022. "Quantifying risks avoided by limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial levels," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-16, June.
    11. Galeotti, Fabio & Hopfensitz, Astrid & Mantilla, César, 2024. "Climate change education through the lens of behavioral economics: A systematic review of studies on observed behavior and social norms," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    12. Paul Oldham & Stephen Hall & Oscar Forero, 2013. "Biological Diversity in the Patent System," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, November.
    13. Md. Hafiz All Amin & Most. Mottakina Akter & Warangkana Jutidamrongphan & Kua-anan Techato, 2023. "Okra tree crop agroforestry model: economic and environmental impact," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 12527-12542, November.
    14. D. A. Elston & M. J. Brewer & B. Martay & A. Johnston & P. A. Henrys & J. R. Bell & R. Harrington & D. Monteith & T. M. Brereton & K. L. Boughey & J. W. Pearce-Higgins, 2017. "A New Approach to Modelling the Relationship Between Annual Population Abundance Indices and Weather Data," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 427-445, December.
    15. Ana Lopez & Emma Suckling & Leonard Smith, 2014. "Robustness of pattern scaled climate change scenarios for adaptation decision support," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(4), pages 555-566, February.
    16. Feichtinger, Gustav & Lambertini, Luca & Leitmann, George & Wrzaczek, Stefan, 2022. "Managing the tragedy of commons and polluting emissions: A unified view," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(1), pages 487-499.
    17. James W. Pearce-Higgins & Patrick J. Lindley & Ian G. Johnstone & Reg I. Thorpe & David J.T. Douglas & Murray C. Grant, 2019. "Site-based adaptation reduces the negative effects of weather upon a southern range margin Welsh black grouse Tetrao tetrix population that is vulnerable to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 253-265, March.
    18. Castro-Santa, Juana & Moros, Lina & Exadaktylos, Filippos & Mantilla, César, 2024. "Early climate mitigation as a social dilemma," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 810-824.
    19. Beaumont, Linda J. & Graham, Erin & Duursma, Daisy Englert & Wilson, Peter D. & Cabrelli, Abigail & Baumgartner, John B. & Hallgren, Willow & Esperón-Rodríguez, Manuel & Nipperess, David A. & Warren, , 2016. "Which species distribution models are more (or less) likely to project broad-scale, climate-induced shifts in species ranges?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 342(C), pages 135-146.
    20. Taber Allison & Terry Root & Peter Frumhoff, 2014. "Thinking globally and siting locally – renewable energy and biodiversity in a rapidly warming world," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(1), pages 1-6, September.
    21. Ehsan Rahimi & Pinliang Dong, 2023. "Identifying barriers and pinch-points of large mammal corridors in Iran," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 13(2), pages 285-297, June.

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