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Quantitative tools and simultaneous actions needed for species conservation under climate change–reply to Shoo et al. (2013)

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  • Marko Ahteensuu
  • Sami Aikio
  • Pedro Cardoso
  • Marko Hyvärinen
  • Maria Hällfors
  • Susanna Lehvävirta
  • Leif Schulman
  • Elina Vaara

Abstract

We identify four issues in the decision framework for species conservation management under climate change proposed by Shoo et al. ( 2013 ) Clim Chan 119:239–246 and suggest ways to address them. First, binary-decision flow charts require Yes/No answers, which are not appropriate in most conservation decisions. A quantitative framework is preferable and action-guidance should be obtained even when the realistic answer to some questions remains “we simply do not know”. Second, the proposed flow chart imposes an a priori order of precedence and does not explicitly allow simultaneous actions. A workable framework should enable optimal allocation between multiple kinds of conservation efforts and permit complementary actions. Third, the probability of success, co-benefit to non-target species, and cost are unlikely to have a simple, consistent relationship across taxa. These variables need to be assessed case-by-case for each conservation measure and species. Finally, the decision framework disregards the legal, social, and ethical aspects pertaining to decision-making. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Marko Ahteensuu & Sami Aikio & Pedro Cardoso & Marko Hyvärinen & Maria Hällfors & Susanna Lehvävirta & Leif Schulman & Elina Vaara, 2015. "Quantitative tools and simultaneous actions needed for species conservation under climate change–reply to Shoo et al. (2013)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 1-7, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:129:y:2015:i:1:p:1-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1311-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. R. Warren & J. VanDerWal & J. Price & J. A. Welbergen & I. Atkinson & J. Ramirez-Villegas & T. J. Osborn & A. Jarvis & L. P. Shoo & S. E. Williams & J. Lowe, 2013. "Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 678-682, July.
    2. John Harte & Annette Ostling & Jessica L. Green & Ann Kinzig, 2004. "Climate change and extinction risk," Nature, Nature, vol. 430(6995), pages 34-34, July.
    3. Luke Shoo & Ary Hoffmann & Stephen Garnett & Robert Pressey & Yvette Williams & Martin Taylor & Lorena Falconi & Colin Yates & John Scott & Diogo Alagador & Stephen Williams, 2013. "Making decisions to conserve species under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 239-246, July.
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    1. Adriano Mazziotta & María Triviño & Olli-Pekka Tikkanen & Jari Kouki & Harri Strandman & Mikko Mönkkönen, 2016. "Habitat associations drive species vulnerability to climate change in boreal forests," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 585-595, April.

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