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Projected changes in wave climate from a multi-model ensemble

Author

Listed:
  • Mark A. Hemer

    (CSIRO Wealth from Oceans National Research Flagship and the Centre of Australian Weather and Climate Research: A Partnership between CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology)

  • Yalin Fan

    (Princeton University/GFDL)

  • Nobuhito Mori

    (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)

  • Alvaro Semedo

    (Escola Naval, CINAV
    Uppsala University)

  • Xiaolan L. Wang

    (Science and Technology Branch, Environment Canada)

Abstract

Changing wind-wave climate has the potential to exacerbate, or negate, the impacts of sea-level rise in coastal zones. Results from the first community-derived multi-model ensemble of wind-wave climate projections show agreement over extended regions of the global ocean. Large uncertainty in available wave-climate projections is found to be due to downscaling methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark A. Hemer & Yalin Fan & Nobuhito Mori & Alvaro Semedo & Xiaolan L. Wang, 2013. "Projected changes in wave climate from a multi-model ensemble," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(5), pages 471-476, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:5:d:10.1038_nclimate1791
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1791
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    Cited by:

    1. Vanem, Erik, 2023. "Analysing multivariate extreme conditions using environmental contours and accounting for serial dependence," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 470-482.
    2. Siddharth Narayan & Michael W Beck & Borja G Reguero & Iñigo J Losada & Bregje van Wesenbeeck & Nigel Pontee & James N Sanchirico & Jane Carter Ingram & Glenn-Marie Lange & Kelly A Burks-Copes, 2016. "The Effectiveness, Costs and Coastal Protection Benefits of Natural and Nature-Based Defences," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(5), pages 1-17, May.
    3. Joan Pau Sierra & Ricard Castrillo & Marc Mestres & César Mösso & Piero Lionello & Luigi Marzo, 2020. "Impact of Climate Change on Wave Energy Resource in the Mediterranean Coast of Morocco," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, June.
    4. Jasper Verschuur & Dewi Bars & Caroline A. Katsman & Sierd de Vries & Roshanka Ranasinghe & Sybren S. Drijfhout & Stefan G. J. Aarninkhof, 2020. "Implications of ambiguity in Antarctic ice sheet dynamics for future coastal erosion estimates: a probabilistic assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 859-876, September.
    5. J. Sierra & M. Casas-Prat, 2014. "Analysis of potential impacts on coastal areas due to changes in wave conditions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(4), pages 861-876, June.
    6. deCastro, M. & Rusu, L. & Arguilé-Pérez, B. & Ribeiro, A. & Costoya, X. & Carvalho, D. & Gómez-Gesteira, M., 2024. "Different approaches to analyze the impact of future climate change on the exploitation of wave energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    7. Heather Baron & Peter Ruggiero & Nathan Wood & Erica Harris & Jonathan Allan & Paul Komar & Patrick Corcoran, 2015. "Incorporating climate change and morphological uncertainty into coastal change hazard assessments," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2081-2102, February.
    8. Ozkan, Cigdem & Mayo, Talea, 2019. "The renewable wave energy resource in coastal regions of the Florida peninsula," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 530-537.
    9. Liu, Jin & Meucci, Alberto & Liu, Qingxiang & Babanin, Alexander V. & Ierodiaconou, Daniel & Xu, Xingkun & Young, Ian R., 2023. "A high-resolution wave energy assessment of south-east Australia based on a 40-year hindcast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    10. Patrick Barnard & Maarten Ormondt & Li Erikson & Jodi Eshleman & Cheryl Hapke & Peter Ruggiero & Peter Adams & Amy Foxgrover, 2014. "Development of the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for predicting the impact of storms on high-energy, active-margin coasts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 1095-1125, November.
    11. Arguilé-Pérez, B. & Ribeiro, A.S. & Costoya, X. & deCastro, M. & Gómez-Gesteira, M., 2023. "Suitability of wave energy converters in northwestern Spain under the near future winter wave climate," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    12. Harshinie Karunarathna & Pravin Maduwantha & Bahareh Kamranzad & Harsha Rathnasooriya & Kasun De Silva, 2020. "Impacts of Global Climate Change on the Future Ocean Wave Power Potential: A Case Study from the Indian Ocean," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-22, June.
    13. Aydoğan, Burak & Görmüş, Tahsin & Ayat, Berna & Çarpar, Tunay, 2021. "Analysis of potential changes in the Black Sea wave power for the 21st century," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 512-526.
    14. Chatterjee, Snigdhansu, 2019. "The scale enhanced wild bootstrap method for evaluating climate models using wavelets," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 69-73.
    15. Tiffany Anderson & Charles Fletcher & Matthew Barbee & L. Frazer & Bradley Romine, 2015. "Doubling of coastal erosion under rising sea level by mid-century in Hawaii," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(1), pages 75-103, August.
    16. Liu, Jin & Li, Rui & Li, Shuo & Meucci, Alberto & Young, Ian R., 2024. "Increasing wave power due to global climate change and intensification of Antarctic Oscillation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    17. Walter Dragani & Paula Martin & Guadalupe Alonso & Jorge Codignotto & Bárbara Prario & Guido Bacino, 2013. "Wind wave climate change: Impacts on the littoral processes at the Northern Buenos Aires Province Coast, Argentina," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(4), pages 649-660, December.
    18. Naoto Inagaki & Tomoya Shibayama & Miguel Esteban & Tomoyuki Takabatake, 2021. "Effect of translate speed of typhoon on wind waves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(1), pages 841-858, January.
    19. Wilkie, David & Galasso, Carmine, 2020. "Impact of climate-change scenarios on offshore wind turbine structural performance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).

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