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Understanding and managing connected extreme events

Author

Listed:
  • Colin Raymond

    (Jet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology
    Columbia University)

  • Radley M. Horton

    (Columbia University)

  • Jakob Zscheischler

    (University of Bern
    University of Bern)

  • Olivia Martius

    (University of Bern
    Institute of Geography, University of Bern)

  • Amir AghaKouchak

    (University of California, Irvine
    University of California, Irvine)

  • Jennifer Balch

    (University of Colorado-Boulder
    University of Colorado-Boulder)

  • Steven G. Bowen

    (Catastrophe Insight Division, Aon)

  • Suzana J. Camargo

    (Columbia University)

  • Jeremy Hess

    (University of Washington
    University of Washington)

  • Kai Kornhuber

    (Columbia University
    Columbia University)

  • Michael Oppenheimer

    (Princeton University
    Princeton University)

  • Alex C. Ruane

    (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)

  • Thomas Wahl

    (University of Central Florida
    University of Central Florida)

  • Kathleen White

    (United States Army Corps of Engineers)

Abstract

Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations, an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations, governance, markets and other decision-making structures—together with population exposure and vulnerability—create nonphysical interconnections among events by linking their impacts, to positive or negative effect. Various anthropogenic actions can also directly affect the severity of events, further complicating these feedback loops. Such relationships are rarely characterized or considered in physical-sciences-based research contexts. Here, we present a multidisciplinary argument for the concept of connected extreme events, and we suggest vantage points and approaches for producing climate information useful in guiding decisions about them.

Suggested Citation

  • Colin Raymond & Radley M. Horton & Jakob Zscheischler & Olivia Martius & Amir AghaKouchak & Jennifer Balch & Steven G. Bowen & Suzana J. Camargo & Jeremy Hess & Kai Kornhuber & Michael Oppenheimer & A, 2020. "Understanding and managing connected extreme events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(7), pages 611-621, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:10:y:2020:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-020-0790-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Jingbo & Wang, Yang & He, Yuan & Cui, Wenrui & Chao, Qingchen & Shan, Baoguo & Wang, Zheng & Yang, Xiaofan, 2024. "The energy security risk assessment of inefficient wind and solar resources under carbon neutrality in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    2. Rong, Liu & Wang, Zhenbo & Li, Zhijun, 2024. "Unraveling the role of Financial Risk, social globalization and Economic Risk towards attaining sustainable environment in China: Does resources curse still holds," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Ling Yu & Pengjun Zhao & Junqing Tang & Liang Pang & Zhaoya Gong, 2023. "Social inequality of urban park use during the COVID-19 pandemic," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Yufei Zou & Philip J. Rasch & Hailong Wang & Zuowei Xie & Rudong Zhang, 2021. "Increasing large wildfires over the western United States linked to diminishing sea ice in the Arctic," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Stads, Gert-Jan & Wiebe, Keith D. & Nin-Pratt, Alejandro & Sulser, Timothy B. & Benfica, Rui & Reda, Fasil & Khetarpal, Ravi, 2022. "Research for the future: Investments for efficiency, sustainability, and equity," IFPRI book chapters, in: 2022 Global food policy report: Climate change and food systems, chapter 4, pages 38-47, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Catherine Wright & Lacey J. Ritter & Caroline Wisse Gonzales, 2022. "Cultivating a Collaborative Culture for Ensuring Sustainable Development Goals in Higher Education: An Integrative Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-18, January.
    7. Emanuele Bevacqua & Laura Suarez-Gutierrez & Aglaé Jézéquel & Flavio Lehner & Mathieu Vrac & Pascal Yiou & Jakob Zscheischler, 2023. "Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    8. Urfels, Anton & Mausch, Kai & Harris, Dave & McDonald, Andrew J. & Kishore, Avinash & Balwinder-Singh, & van Halsema, Gerardo & Struik, Paul C. & Craufurd, Peter & Foster, Timothy & Singh, Vartika & K, 2023. "Farm size limits agriculture's poverty reduction potential in Eastern India even with irrigation-led intensification," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    9. Sourav Mukherjee & Ashok Kumar Mishra & Jakob Zscheischler & Dara Entekhabi, 2023. "Interaction between dry and hot extremes at a global scale using a cascade modeling framework," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, December.
    10. Glette-Iversen, Ingrid & Aven, Terje, 2021. "On the meaning of and relationship between dragon-kings, black swans and related concepts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    11. Ben S. Hague & Andy J. Taylor, 2021. "Tide-only inundation: a metric to quantify the contribution of tides to coastal inundation under sea-level rise," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 675-695, May.
    12. Jiping Liu & Mirong Song & Zhu Zhu & Radley M. Horton & Yongyun Hu & Shang-Ping Xie, 2022. "Arctic sea-ice loss is projected to lead to more frequent strong El Niño events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    13. Komali Kantamaneni & Sigamani Panneer & N.N.V. Sudha Rani & Udhayakumar Palaniswamy & Lekha D. Bhat & Carlos Jimenez-Bescos & Louis Rice, 2022. "Impact of Coastal Disasters on Women in Urban Slums: A New Index," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, March.
    14. Kairui Feng & Min Ouyang & Ning Lin, 2022. "Tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound hazard resilience in a changing climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    15. Haidong Zhao & Lina Zhang & M. B. Kirkham & Stephen M. Welch & John W. Nielsen-Gammon & Guihua Bai & Jiebo Luo & Daniel A. Andresen & Charles W. Rice & Nenghan Wan & Romulo P. Lollato & Dianfeng Zheng, 2022. "U.S. winter wheat yield loss attributed to compound hot-dry-windy events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Daniel Nohrstedt & Jacob Hileman & Maurizio Mazzoleni & Giuliano Baldassarre & Charles F. Parker, 2022. "Exploring disaster impacts on adaptation actions in 549 cities worldwide," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    17. Kai Kornhuber & Corey Lesk & Carl F. Schleussner & Jonas Jägermeyr & Peter Pfleiderer & Radley M. Horton, 2023. "Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    18. Soledad Collazo & Mariana Barrucand & Matilde Rusticucci, 2023. "Hot and dry compound events in South America: present climate and future projections, and their association with the Pacific Ocean," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 299-323, October.
    19. Venturini, Alessio, 2022. "Climate change, risk factors and stock returns: A review of the literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Osbat, Chiara & Smets, Frank, 2021. "Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019: cyclical and structural drivers," Occasional Paper Series 280, European Central Bank.
    21. Hazem Krichene & Thomas Vogt & Franziska Piontek & Tobias Geiger & Christof Schötz & Christian Otto, 2023. "The social costs of tropical cyclones," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    22. Christian Huggel & Laurens M. Bouwer & Sirkku Juhola & Reinhard Mechler & Veruska Muccione & Ben Orlove & Ivo Wallimann-Helmer, 2022. "The existential risk space of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 1-20, September.

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