IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/lpe/efijnl/198807.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroeconomic Impacts on Indonesian Agricultural Exports

Author

Listed:
  • Kaman Nainggolan

    (Central of Agricultural Data Processing and Statistic, Ministry of Agriculture, Jakarta)

Abstract

Artikel ini mengkaji kebijaksanaan ekonomi makro terhadap ekspor komoditas pertanian. Model ekonometrika dibangun dengan menghubungkan variabel-variabel makro dengan ekspor melalui a) nilai tukar real, b) suku bunga, dan c) inflasi. Model ekonometrika dugaan digunakan untuk mensimulasi dampak kebijaksanaan moneter Indonesia dan pendapatan partner dagang kita terhadap ekspor pertanian. Hasil studi menunjukkan adanya hubungan yang kuat antara nilai tukar rupiah real dengan ekspor pertanian. Depresiasi rupiah ternyata berakibat peningkatan ekspor. Peningkatan pendapatan partner dagang juga meningkatkan ekspor pertanian kita. Sebaliknya supplai uang tidak memberikan pengaruh nyata terhadap nilai tukar real rupiah, dan karenanya tidak berpengaruh terhadap ekspor, tetapi menimbulkan inflasi. Inflasi cenderung menyebabkan rupiah menjadi mahal (overvalue). Kebijaksanaan untuk menghindari apresiasi rupiah tampaknya akan memberikan dorongan terhadap ekspor pertanian.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaman Nainggolan, 1988. "Macroeconomic Impacts on Indonesian Agricultural Exports," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 36, pages 163-189, Juni.
  • Handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:198807
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.lpem.org/repec/lpe/efijnl/198807.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anonymous, 1950. "International Trade Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 681-682, November.
    2. Anonymous, 1950. "International Trade Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 494-497, August.
    3. G. Edward Schuh, 1974. "The Exchange Rate and U. S. Agriculture," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 56(1), pages 1-13.
    4. Anonymous, 1950. "International Trade Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 136-138, February.
    5. Anonymous, 1950. "International Trade Organization," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 325-326, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chao, N.H. & Chang, C.F. & Chang, E.Y., 2002. "Responding to globalization trends in fisheries: assets of professional Taiwanese women," Monographs, The WorldFish Center, number 36248, April.
    2. Donges, Juergen B., 1987. "Trade protectionism and international monetary order: Recalling the relevance of past experience," Kiel Working Papers 304, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Arnade, Carlos & Grigsby, Elaine, 1988. "Foreign Borrowing and Agricultural Trade of Major Latin American Debtors," Staff Reports 278010, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Hiemstra, Stephen W., 1987. "Effect Of Spain'S Entry Into The European Community On The Demand For Imported Corn," Staff Reports 277993, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Lizzette ARROYO & Ramon A. CASTILLO-PONCE, 2019. "The Duration Of Trade Agreement Negotiations," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 19(2), pages 19-36.
    6. Gilbert Noël, 1988. "La participation de la France aux stratégies d'organisation internationale de l'agriculture," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 184(1), pages 63-70.
    7. Elaine Hartwick & Richard Peet, 2003. "Neoliberalism and Nature: The Case of the WTO," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 590(1), pages 188-211, November.
    8. Schiff, Maurice & Valdes, Alberto, 1998. "Agriculture and the macroeconomy," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1967, The World Bank.
    9. Cho, Guedae & Kim, MinKyoung & Koo, Won W., 2003. "Relative Agricultural Price Changes In Different Time Horizons," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22249, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Barrett, Christopher B., 1999. "The effects of real exchange rate depreciation on stochastic producer prices in low-income agriculture," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 215-230, May.
    11. William Edmondson & Matthew Shane & Agapi Somwaru, 2007. "Global Macroeconomic Shocks and U.S. Agriculture: An Interactive Matrix Approach," EcoMod2007 23900022, EcoMod.
    12. Longjiang Chen, 2011. "The effect of China's RMB exchange rate movement on its agricultural export: A case study of export to Japan," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 26-41, January.
    13. Petit, Michel, 1988. "Presidential Address," 1988 Conference, August 24-31, 1988, Buenos Aires, Argentina 183061, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    14. Andino, Jose & Mulik, Kranti & Koo, Won W., 2005. "The Impact Of Brazil And Argentina'S Currency Devaluation On U.S. Soybean Trade," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 23486, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    15. Abiola John Asaleye & Rotdelmwa Filibus Maimako & Adedoyin Isola Lawal & Henry Inegbedion & Olabisi Popoola, 2021. "Monetary Policy Channels and Agricultural Performance: Evidence from Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(3), pages 205-218, March.
    16. Richard E. Just & Gordon C. Rausser, 1989. "An Assessment of the Agricultural Economics Profession," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(5), pages 1177-1190.
    17. Binswanger, Hans P, 1974. "A Microeconomic Approach to Induced Innovation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 84(336), pages 940-958, December.
    18. Joan Moss & Seamus McErlean & Ziping Wu & Andrew Doherty & Jos IJpelaar, 2004. "The Long-run Impact of Different Exchange Rates on the Projected Agricultural Income of an Export Dependent Region of the UK," Others 0409003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Susanne Fricke & Lodovico Muratori, 2017. "Spatial price transmission and trade policies: new evidence for agricultural products from selected sub-Saharan African countries with high frequency data," Working Papers 5/17, Sapienza University of Rome, DISS.
    20. Pagoulatos, Emilio, 1981. "Discussion: The Role Of Food And Agriculture In The International Affairs Of The United States," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(1), pages 1-4, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    macro; economy; agriculture; foreign; rate;
    All these keywords.

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:198807. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Muhammad Halley Yudhistira (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feuinid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.